$ 1.1 nphom Patriot Missile Battery US xa mus rau Ukraine yog lub cim tab sis tsis yog Gamechanger

Raws li Vladimir Zelensky hais txog qhov tsim txiaj thiab qhov xav tau tseem ceeb rau Asmeskas kev txhawb nqa ntawm Ukraine ua ntej lub rooj sib tham rau hnub Wednesday hmo ntuj, kev npaj hloov lub roj teeb tiv thaiv huab cua Patriot mus rau Ukraine twb tau ua tiav lawm. Yog li yog Lavxias txoj kev npaj ua haujlwm ib puag ncig lossis rhuav tshem nws, lees paub tias ib qho Patriot system tsuas tuaj yeem nyob hauv ib qho chaw ntawm ib zaug.

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) missile defense project director, Tom Karako, hais tias Patriot system muaj peev xwm heev nyob rau hauv qhov chaw. "Nws yog ntau lub hom phiaj rau [tiv thaiv] cov dav hlau ya siab, rau cov foob pob hluav taws thiab qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws, rau cov foob pob hluav taws. Nws muab cov Ukrainians ib qib siab-tier tiv thaiv huab cua nyob rau hauv ib cheeb tsam. Nws yuav nyob ntawm Ukrainians txiav txim siab seb thaj chaw ntawd yog dab tsi. "

Tsuas yog ib lub roj teeb xwb, kev txiav txim siab dab tsi los tiv thaiv yuav nyuaj. Lavxias teb sab airstrikes tsis ntev los no tau tsom mus rau Ukrainian lub zog tsim infrastructure raws li txoj kev xav tias tig lub teeb tawm thiab cua sov yuav tsis tsuas yog cuam tshuam kev txom nyem thiab kev coj ncaj ncees ntawm cov pej xeem tab sis ua rau cov cheeb tsam uas puas ntsoog tawg yooj yim mus soften thiab thaum kawg nres.

Cov neeg Ukrainians ib txwm tso tus nqi siab ntawm cov txheej txheem tseem ceeb qhia tias lawv yuav pom cov roj teeb Patriot nyob ze nws. Qhov ntawd ua rau cov npe ntawm cov chaw uas cov neeg tawm tsam Lavxias yuav tau txhawj xeeb txog lawv tus kheej nrog qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm cov kab ke tam sim no. Cov npe luv luv kuj tseem ua kom yooj yim rau kev sib tw ntawm kev nrhiav Patriot roj teeb rau Russia cov cuab yeej txawj ntse suav nrog tib neeg cov cuab tam nws muaj hauv Ukraine.

Lavxias teb sab intel zej zog kuj muaj kev nkag siab txog kev ua haujlwm ntawm Patriot thiab tseem ceeb, nws cov radar thiab missile interceptor ntau yam. Cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm muab tso rau Patriot radar nrhiav pom nyob rau txhua qhov chaw ntawm 150 km txog 25o km (93-155 mais), qhov ntau ntawm cov missile interceptor nws siv ntawm 40-100-ntxiv km (25-62 mais), thiab qhov siab tshaj plaws lawv tuaj yeem ncav cuag li 80,000 ko taw.

Txawm hais tias cov lej no tsis pom qhov cim, lawv qhia txog qhov txwv lub khob ntawm kev tiv thaiv uas lub roj teeb Patriot tuaj yeem muab tau. Russia, tsis muaj qhov tsis ntseeg, muaj cov lej tseeb dua. Nws kuj muaj qee qhov kev ua haujlwm nyob ze rau Patriot systems uas Asmeskas tau xa mus rau Turkey sab qab teb ciam teb nrog Syria hauv 2013 thiab cov tub rog Lavxias ua haujlwm hauv Syria xyoo 2015 yuav raug ntsuas.

Raws li kev ceeb toom, "Patriot" sawv cev rau Phased Array Tracking Radar rau cuam tshuam ntawm Lub Hom Phiaj. Ua los ntawm Raytheon Missiles & Defense, txhua lub roj teeb suav nrog radar, chaw nres tsheb tswj, lub tshuab hluav taws xob, 5-8 launchers, txhawb nqa tsheb / khoom siv thiab xav tau txog 90 tus neeg ua haujlwm. Karako hais tias suav tias yog kev ua yeeb yaj kiab-txhim kho qhov chaw tiv thaiv huab cua, nws yog lub xov tooj ntawm tes txawm tias "tsis yog super-mobile vim nws hneev taw," Karako hais.

Lub kaw lus tuaj yeem tua ntau yam kev cuam tshuam cov foob pob hluav taws thiab txhua lub foob pob hluav taws tuaj yeem ua tau plaub lossis txog 16 lub foob pob nyob ntawm seb cov neeg cuam tshuam tau ua haujlwm thiab seb puas siv ntau hom sib txawv. Qhov loj thiab teeb tsa ntawm lub roj teeb Patriot thiab tus naj npawb ntawm cov neeg cuam tshuam nrog nws tuaj yeem ua rau nws qhov chaw yooj yim dua los kuaj xyuas.

Karako hais tias "Nws yog ib qho khoom siv tsim nyog," Karako hais. "[Lavxias teb sab tub rog] tuaj yeem soj ntsuam [tsim] thiab txheeb xyuas qhov twg nws yog. Qhov ntawd yuav yog nyob ntawm cov tswv yim thiab cov tswv yim uas [Ukrainian] cov neeg ua haujlwm siv los zais nws, tib yam kev dag ntxias thiab kev txav mus los zais HIMARS [High Mobile Artillery Rocket Systems] thiab zais tag nrho lawv cov phom loj. Kuv tsis xav tias lawv yuav tuaj yeem ua qhov hu ua 'shoot thiab scoot' sai npaum li qee cov phom loj tuaj yeem ua tau tab sis qhov teeb meem tsis yog rau Patriot. "

Txawm li cas los xij, qhov ua tau tias lub roj teeb tuaj yeem npog lub hom phiaj uas cov neeg Lavxias xav tau nthuav tawm qhov kev sib tw rau lawv. Karako hais tias "Txawm tias kev tiv thaiv tsawg tuaj yeem muaj txiaj ntsig zoo," Karako hais. "Tau ntau lub hlis tam sim no, cov neeg Lavxias tsis tau nquag ya cov foob pob thiab cov neeg tua rog ntau npaum li peb xav tias lawv yuav. Kev tiv thaiv huab cua tsis zoo hauv Ukrainian tau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau Lavxias tus cwj pwm - txawm tias Patriot tsis yog 'Astrodome' loj heev dhau Ukraine.

Lub sophistication thiab tus nqi ntawm Patriot (ib lub roj teeb kwv yees li $ 1.1 nphom tus nqi poob rau $ 400 lab rau lub kaw lus thiab $ 690 lab rau cov cuaj luaj raws li CSIS) txhais tau tias nws yuav tsis ua haujlwm rau qis kawg hem xws li luv-nruab nrab ntau yam artillery thiab drones. .

Karako hais tias, "Koj xav khaws koj [missile interceptor] puag ncig yog tias ua tau," Karako hais tias, sau tseg tias qhov tseeb version missile interceptors raug nqi txog $ 4.1 lab ib thooj. Cov missiles yav dhau los raug nqi ib nrab ntawm qhov ntawd.

Raws li cov thawj coj xa cov roj teeb Patriot mus rau Ukraine, 2023 NDAA - uas tus thawj tswj hwm tseem tsis tau kos npe - hu rau ntxiv ob lub roj teeb tshiab rau 15 Patriot battalions uas tam sim no US muaj (txhua lub battalion suav nrog ntau lub roj teeb). Tus nqi ntawm 252 tshiab interceptor missiles tau npaj rau cov no yog $ 1.037 billion raws li CSIS.

Qhov no staggering tus nqi-ib-shot txhais tau tias Patriot yuav nyob rau hauv cov cheeb tsam uas qis dua Ukrainian huab cua tiv thaiv tam sim no. "Cov no tuaj yeem txhaj tshuaj pheej yig," Karako hais.

Lawv yuav tsum tau txiav txim siab txhaj tshuaj, pheej yig lossis kim. Yog tias Lavxias cov tub rog tswj xyuas cov roj teeb Patriot, lawv yuav sim ua kom dhau nws, xa cov kev sib txuas ntawm cov drones, Iskander ballistic missiles thiab cov foob pob hluav taws luv luv uas muab los ntawm Iran tawm tsam lub hom phiaj. Xws li ib txoj hauv kev saturation tuaj yeem ua rau ob qho tib si kov yeej Patriot roj teeb kev tiv thaiv ntawm lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb thiab ua rau lub roj teeb nws tus kheej puas.

Nws yuav yog ib qho kev tawm dag zog rau Russia tab sis nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus nyiaj txiag nruj me ntsis, yuav raug nqi tsawg dua li siv Patriot's magazine. Yog tias Ukrainian cov neeg ua haujlwm tuav lawv qhov hluav taws kub, lub hom phiaj lub roj teeb yog txhais tau tias tiv thaiv yuav raug rhuav tshem, muab cov tub rog Lavxias ob qho tib si ua tiav lawv lub hom phiaj thiab kev txhim kho cov duab uas blunting lossis defeating Patriot system yuav tawm los.

Lwm txoj hauv kev los daws cov roj teeb yuav suav nrog kev ua haujlwm tshwj xeeb hauv lub tebchaws, qhov ua tiav ntawm qhov nyuaj npaum li lawv yuav ua tau, yuav qhia txog kev tawm tsam rau Putin. Tab sis Russia lub tswv yim zoo tshaj plaws yuav tsuas yog ua kom muaj zog nyob ib puag ncig lub roj teeb Patriot ib leeg, ua rau nws tsis yog qhov tseem ceeb hauv Tsov Rog ntau li ntau tau.

Karako hais tias "Qhov chaw tiv thaiv ntawm ib lub roj teeb Patriot tsuas yog txwv," Karako hais. “Thaum peb tsuas xa ib lub roj teeb, ib zaug nws nyob ntawd, tej zaum nws yuav tsis rov qab los. Thiab yog tias lawv [cov Ukrainians] pib siv riam phom, lawv yuav nug ntxiv, puas yog? Thiab peb tsis muaj tons thiab tons ntawm PAC-2s thiab PAC-3s [missiles] dag nyob ib puag ncig uas peb tuaj yeem them taus. "

Hnub Wednesday Zelensky nws tus kheej tau sau cov lus piav qhia uas xa cov roj teeb Patriot mus rau Kyiv yog thaum nws tau hais thaum lub rooj sib tham hauv Tsev Dawb;

"Qhov no yog tib txoj kev uas peb tuaj yeem tshem tawm cov neeg ua phem hauv lub xeev ntawm nws cov cuab yeej tseem ceeb ntawm kev ntshai - qhov muaj peev xwm ua rau peb lub nroog, peb lub zog."

Thaum lub roj teeb tuaj txog hauv Ukraine, tejzaum nws pib thaum Lub Ob Hlis, nws yuav raug pom tias tsim nyog lub cim - tab sis nws yuav tsis yog gamechanger.