(Bloomberg) - Qhov taw qhia kev lag luam hauv khw tau teeb tsa qhov teeb meem tsis tshua muaj tshwm sim uas qhia tias Hong Kong tau poob qis tom qab xyoo ntawm Covid txwv, kev lag luam thev naus laus zis tawg thiab kev puas tsuaj ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv Suav teb.
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Cov kws tshaj lij uas kawm cov kab kos rau lub lim tiam no tau pom ib qho xwm txheej uas tshwm sim dhau los 55 xyoo dhau los: qhov kev sib tw hu ua crossover ntawm daim duab uas sib txuas nrog qhov nrawm thiab qhov loj ntawm tus nqi hloov pauv los ntsuas seb qhov kev ruaj ntseg puas yuav ua rau muaj kev hloov loj. Ib qho kev hloov pauv zoo sib xws hauv xyoo 2009 tau cim qhov pib ntawm kev sib tw ntau xyoo hauv Asmeskas
Rau cov kws tshaj lij, qhov kev hloov pauv uas tau tshwm sim nyob rau hnub tsis ntev los no tuaj yeem yog lub teeb liab tos ntev rau txhua tus neeg ua lag luam hauv nroog vam tias yuav pom: qhov kawg ntawm kev lag luam lag luam poob qis uas ua rau lub ntsiab ntsuas ntau npaum li 53% hauv qab qhov kev sib kis- era peak teem rau lub Ob Hlis xyoo tas los.
Lub 14-hli Relative Strength Index ntawm Hong Kong's Hang Seng Tshuag Index lub hlis no tau ua tiav qhov kev hloov pauv - poob qis dua 30 thiab tom qab ntawd rov qab los saum toj qhov tseem ceeb - thawj zaug txij thaum Lub Kaum Hli 1967.
Yog tias nws muaj tseeb, nws tuaj yeem ua rau qhov kawg ntawm qhov mob tshwm sim los ntawm yuav luag peb xyoos ntawm kev sib kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, kev tawm tsam tawm tsam cov tuam txhab thev naus laus zis loj uas ua txhaum tsoomfwv txoj cai thiab kev puas tsuaj khoom vaj khoom tsev uas ua rau muaj qee qhov kev tsim kho loj tshaj plaws.
Keeb kwm qhia tau hais tias kev ruaj ntseg feem ntau yog "oversold" thaum nws RSI poob qis dua 30 thiab "overbought" thaum nws nce siab dua 70. Raws li Investopedia, cov kws tshaj lij siv RSI los ua haujlwm tawm thaum twg yuav los yog muag kev nyab xeeb thiab seb lawv puas yog primed rau ib qho trend thim rov qab. Chartists feem ntau kawm txog 14-hnub RSI ntau dua li qhov pom txhua hli.
Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm raws li cov kab kos muab kev cia siab, qhov kev cia siab tshiab pom nyob ib puag ncig Thawj Tswj Hwm Xi Jinping txoj cai pivots thiab lub Kaum Ib Hlis Ntuj cov khoom lag luam rov qab tau ua rau qee lub tsev txhab nyiaj loj Wall Street txav deb ntawm lawv qhov kev xav tau ntev ntev ntawm Suav shares.
Nyob rau hauv 2009, nyob ib ncig ntawm lub ntiaj teb no Financial Crisis, ib tug zoo sib xws tsim nyob rau hauv lub S&P 500 Index cim pib ntawm ib tug nyuj-khiav, nrog rau kev ntsuas tau nce mus rau ib tug tag nrho-lub sij hawm cov ntaub ntawv nyob rau hauv Lub ib hlis ntuj xyoo no.
- Nrog kev pab los ntawm Li Zhao thiab Alex Millson.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/super-rare-signal-suggests-hong-054219851.html