Cov khoom lag luam ze li nkag mus rau Dais Market. Dab tsi keeb kwm hais tias tshwm sim tom ntej.

Ntawv loj

Nws yog lub sijhawm ntawm qhov tseeb rau cov khoom lag luam - thiab cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsis txaus siab rau qhov yuav los tom ntej.

Rau ib pliag lub lim tiam dhau los no, lub khw lag luam xav zoo li nws twb muaj lawm. Hnub Thursday sawv ntxov, lub

S&P 500
index, nqis 19.6% los ntawm nws qhov kaw siab, yog ntiv tes los ntawm kev nkag mus rau lub lag luam dais. Cov

Nasdaq Composite,
lub tsev rau tech stocks uas tau tsav lub lag luam bull, tau plunging. Txawm

Bitcoin
koom nrog lub siab phem party los ntawm kev tawg $29,000 thiab poob rau ze li $25,000. Txhua yam zoo li lub verge ntawm vau.

Tab sis kev ua lag luam tsis tawg. Hloov chaw, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell zoo li lees paub tias tej zaum Fed yuav tsis muaj peev xwm engineers ib tug mos mos los yog soft-ish tsaws, raws li nws tau thov kom ntseeg siab tom qab lub Tsib Hlis 4 lub rooj sib tham txoj cai. Hloov chaw, nws hais tias kev lag luam kev lag luam tuaj yeem ua tau thiab feem ntau tawm ntawm Fed kev tswj hwm. Rau Fed uas tau xav tias yuav tsum tau tsom mus rau kev nce nqi - kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam yuav raug txiav txim siab - nws yog qhov me me, yog tias nuanced, hloov pauv, uas cov tub luam seized. Txij hnub Thursday qis mus txog rau hnub Friday kaw, S&P 500 tau nce 4.3%, thiab txawm tias

ARK Kev Tsim Kho Tshiab
Cov nyiaj pauv pauv nyiaj (ticker: ARKK), hauv tsev rau ntau cov khoom lag luam uas raug ntaus, tau nce 24%.

Tseem, nws yog ib lub lim tiam txaus ntshai rau kev ua lag luam. Cov

Dow Jones Muaj Nruab Nrab
poob 2.1%, thaum S&P 500 poob 2.4%, thiab Nasdaq poob 2.8%; tab sis lub lim tiam xaus nrog kev cia siab txaus los nug: Puas yog qhov no hauv qab?

Keeb kwm muaj kev pab me me. Yog tias poob ntau dua 19% tab sis tsis yog 20% ​​suab paub, nws yuav tsum. Nws yog ib qib raug ntaus los ntawm S&P 500 hauv 2018, ua ntej Fed tau hais txog kev nruj kev cai nyiaj txiag, thiab hauv 2011, raws li Asmeskas tau saib txaus siab ua txhaum rau nws cov nuj nqis thiab Europe hem yuav poob.

Lawv yog cov poob loj, hais tias Doug Ramsey, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Leuthold Group, yog tias tsis tshua muaj kev lag luam. Txij li xyoo 1957, S&P 500 tau poob 19% 15 zaug. Tsib ntawm lub sijhawm ntawd yog qhov qis, nrog cov khoom lag luam dhia tam sim ntawd rau qhov nruab nrab 12 lub hlis nce ntawm 23%. Tsib tau ua raws li qhov kev poob qis dua ob npaug ntxiv, nrog qhov nruab nrab poob ntawm 32%. Yim tau cuam tshuam nrog kev poob qis.

Ntau lub hauv qab, txawm li cas los xij, tau cuam tshuam nrog Fed pivots, Ramsey hais. Xyoo 2020, Fed tau nqis los txhawm rau thim kev lag luam thaum Covid kaw kev lag luam, thaum xyoo 1998, kev tawg ntawm Kev Tswj Nyiaj Txiag Rau Lub Sijhawm Ntev tau yuam Fed txiav cov nqi thiab ua rau muaj npuas loj. Tab sis Ramsey xav tias nws tsis zoo li lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yuav thim rov qab sai sai. Nws hais tias "Peb twb muaj lub siab-boggling npuas, thiab Fed tsis nyob ze qhov pivot," nws hais, txawm hais tias nws lees paub tias nws tuaj yeem hloov siab sai.

Txawm li cas los xij, nws nyuaj rau pom tej yam tsis zoo, tsawg kawg hauv lub sijhawm luv luv, hais tias Frank Cappelleri, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam ntawm Instinet. Hnub Thursday, tus naj npawb ntawm S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam ntawm 52-lub lim tiam qis tau tsoo lawv qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm 2022 thiab tsis zoo li yuav nce ntxiv, thaum lub CNN Nyiaj Ntshai & Greed Index pauv qis li ob ua ntej kaw ntawm rau, theem uas tsis tuaj yeem qis dua. Txawm TICK Index, ib qho kev ntsuas ntawm tus naj npawb ntawm cov yeej piv rau poob cov khoom lag luam ntawm New York Tshuag Txauv, pauv hauv qab -1500 rau ib hnub rau ib kab, ib qho kev qhia ntawm kev muag khoom loj.

Cov kev tshem tawm zoo li no tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev txav nrawm dua - S&P 500 tau sib sau ua ke 10% los ntawm nws lub trough thaum Lub Peb Hlis 8 mus rau nws lub ncov thaum Lub Peb Hlis 30 - tab sis Cappelleri sau tseg tias txhua hnub loj txav mus thiab nce, zoo li cov khoom lag luam tau ntsib rau hnub Friday, yuav tsum nres yog kev ua lag luam yuav ua kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg hauv qab. Nws hais tias "Lawv qhia kev ntshai ntawm ob sab," nws hais. "Tsis yog ib puag ncig noj qab haus huv."

Ua lag luam ntawm koj tus kheej txaus ntshai.

Sau rau Ben Levisohn ntawm [email tiv thaiv]