Cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem tawg txhua lub sijhawm

Txawm hais tias tsis ntev los no cov ntaub ntawv sib sau ua ke ntawm S&P 500 tau ua rau ntau tus kws tshaj lij Wall Street kom nce lawv cov thawj koom ruam ntawm nws qhov kev ua tau zoo yav tom ntej, cov neeg ntawm JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) sawv ruaj khov los ntawm lawv cov kev kwv yees xyoo tas los, txawm ceeb toom txog qhov muaj peev xwm ua tau. txawm phem tshaj qhov tshwm sim.

Tseeb tiag, tsis zoo li ntau ntawm nws cov phooj ywg, JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas tau qhia txog kev ntxhov siab ntau dua, tsom mus rau cov kev pheej hmoo "tsov nyob hauv keeb kwm yav dhau," uas ntau dua qhov chaw ntawm upside thiab tuaj yeem tawm tsam txhua lub sijhawm, raws li tsab ntawv ceeb toom. on March 27.

JPMorgan's S&P 500 index fund forecasts vs. lwm lub tsev txhab nyiaj
JPMorgan's S&P 500 index fund forecasts vs. lwm lub tsev txhab nyiaj. Qhov chaw: Bloomberg

Tshuag lag luam poob tuaj?

Tshwj xeeb, Wall Street tus thawj coj thoob ntiaj teb kev ncaj ncees tus kws tshaj lij tau hais rau cov neeg siv khoom hauv webinar tias ntau cov neeg coob coob hauv kev ua lag luam cov khoom lag luam ua tau zoo tshaj plaws tau ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev hloov kho tam sim no thiab lawv yuav xaus rau "raug rau sab tsis ncaj ncees lawm" ntawm kev lag luam nrawm thaum nws thiaj li tawg.

Tsis tas li ntawd, raws li Lakos-Bujas tau piav qhia ntau ntxiv, qhov kev kho no yuav nthuav tawm sai sai, raws li qhov tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov xwm txheej, ib qho domino poob tam sim ntawd tom qab lwm tus, ntes cov tub ua lag luam tsis paub txog, thiab nws yuav tsis yog thawj zaug:

“Nws tsuas yog tuaj yeem tuaj ib hnub tawm ntawm xiav. Qhov no tau tshwm sim yav dhau los, peb twb muaj flash crashes. (…) Ib lub peev nyiaj loj pib de-levering qee txoj haujlwm, ib qho nyiaj thib ob hnov ​​​​tias thiab sim rov ua txoj haujlwm, qhov thib peb cov nyiaj tau txais kev tiv thaiv, thiab lwm yam uas koj paub, peb pib muaj lub zog loj dua thiab tsis muaj zog. ”

Tshwj xeeb, xws li kev maj nrawm rau hauv cov khoom lag luam nrov xws li Magnificent Xya, feem ntau xaus nrog kev kho, tau tshwm sim peb zaug txij li thaum muaj teeb meem nyiaj txiag thoob ntiaj teb, thiab tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tau taw qhia txog kev poob qis ntawm Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) thiab Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) tom qab muaj zog 2023.

Ntxiv mus, Lakos-Bujas tau hais tias, "keeb kwm, thaum twg koj muaj cov neeg coob coob, nws yog ib lo lus nug ntawm lub lis piam ua ntej lub zog tseem ceeb tau ntsib cov rog loj sab laug sab laug," qhia cov neeg siv khoom kom ua tib zoo xav txog cov khoom lag luam zoo tshaj plaws los yuav. tam sim no.

Wall Street thawj koom ruam ntawm S&P 500

Raws li kev ceeb toom, JPMorgan tam sim no tuav lub hom phiaj qis tshaj plaws ntawm lub xyoo kawg ntawm S&P 500 cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov tsev txhab nyiaj loj Wall Street, kwv yees tias nws yuav kaw 2024 ntawm 4,200 cov ntsiab lus, piv txwv li, Oppenheimer thiab Société Générale qhia txhua yam tshiab. -lub sij hawm siab (ATH) ntawm 5,500.

Ua ntej, Finbold tau tshaj tawm ntawm Wall Street tus nqi lub hom phiaj rau S&P 500, uas kuj pom Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) nce nws lub hom phiaj los ntawm 5,000 mus rau 5,400, Barclays los ntawm 4,800 txog 5,300, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) los ntawm 4,700 mus rau 5,200. , UBS los ntawm 4,700 txog 5,200, RBC los ntawm 5,000 txog 5,150, thiab Wells Fargo los ntawm 4,625 txog 4,900.

Lub caij no, S&P 500 Performance index ntawm lub sijhawm xovxwm sawv ntawm 5,248.49 cov ntsiab lus, qhia tias nce ntawm 0.86% nyob rau hnub, ib qho kev poob qis me ntsis ntawm 0.09% nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los, thiab 3.53% nce ntawm nws daim ntawv qhia txhua hli, tsis tu ncua nce xyoo no thiab peaking ntawm ATHs tshiab.

Yuav cov khoom lag luam tam sim no nrog eToro - kev ntseeg siab thiab kev nqis peev qib siab


Disclaimer: Cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub xaib no yuav tsum tsis txhob suav hais tias yog cov lus qhia txog kev nqis peev. Kev nqis peev yog speculative. Thaum kev nqis peev, koj cov peev nyiaj muaj kev pheej hmoo. 

Tau qhov twg los: https://finbold.com/jpmorgans-dire-warning-stocks-could-crack-at-any-moment/