Tom qab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Chair Jerome Powell tau qhia tias lub tsev txhab nyiaj tsis tiav kev nce nqi, ib tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam tau ceeb toom tias kev sib tsoo tuaj yeem tuaj hauv ib hnub.
"Lawv tab tom ua si kom ncav cuag, thiab thaum lawv tab tom ua kom muaj nuj nqis hauv 2021, kev nce nqi pib npau taws thiab tam sim no lawv tab tom sim ua kom ncav cuag," Tus tsim Dais Traps Report tus tsim Larry McDonald tau hais rau hnub Wednesday.Sawv ntxov nrog Maria. "
"Peb 21 Lehman cov kab ke kev pheej hmoo uas saib ntawm kev ncaj ncees thiab credit taw tes rau ib qho ntawm qhov muaj feem ntau ntawm kev sib tsoo hauv khw muag khoom saib 60 hnub," McDonald, uas tseem paub txog kev sau phau ntawv muag zoo tshaj plaws ntawm Lehman Cov Kwv Tij. poob, ceeb toom.
Qhov kev tshem tawm ntawm peev los ntawm cov tsev neeg nruab nrab yog "zoo heev," McDonald tau sib cav, vim tias Fed txuas ntxiv nws qhov kev sib tw nce siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 1980 los txhawm rau txo qis kev nce nqi ntau xyoo. Txawm hais tias tus neeg siv khoom tus nqi ntsuas tau maj mam poob los ntawm qhov siab ntawm 9.1% notched lub Rau Hli, nws tseem nyob li peb zaug siab dua tshaj qhov nruab nrab ua ntej kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.
BUFFETT'S BERKSHIRE STOCKS UP RAU NTAWM NYIAJ PETROLEUM SHARES
Hnub Tuesday, Powell tau hais rau Capitol Hill tias cov tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj txiag tau npaj los khaws cov pace ntawm tus nqi nce, raws li lawv tau cia siab tias yuav mus siab dua li yav dhau los xav.
Powell tau hais tias "Cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam tshiab tau los muaj zog dua li qhov xav tau, uas qhia tias qhov kawg ntawm cov paj laum zoo li yuav siab dua li qhov kev cia siab yav dhau los," Powell tau hais hauv cov lus npaj rau kev xa khoom ua ntej Senate Banking Committee. "Yog hais tias tag nrho ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tau qhia tias kev ceev ceev yog lav, peb yuav tau npaj kom nce qib ntawm tus nqi hikes."
McDonald tau sib cav tias rau txhua 1% nce ntawm tus nqi, $ 50 billion raug coj mus "tawm ntawm hnab ris ntawm cov tsev neeg nruab nrab."
"Tam sim no cov nyiaj qiv tsheb pib nce mus txog 14%, yuav luag 20% ntawm kev qiv tsheb pib yog ib txhiab ib hlis, thiab yog li cov tsev neeg nruab nrab tau txais hammered ntawm no," tus kws tshaj lij tau taw qhia. "Yog li cov neeg siv khoom muaj kev kub ntxhov, tab sis ntawm qhov kawg, cov neeg nplua nuj ua tau zoo nrog kev txuag nyiaj ntau dua thiab cov paj laum ntau dua."
Raws li tus tsim ntawm Bear Traps Report, tus neeg lag luam nruab nrab Asmeskas tau ua qhov ntse dua los ntawm kev lees paub tias tam sim no muaj kev xaiv ntawm stocks thiab bonds - thiab tam sim no ib qho yuav muaj txiaj ntsig ntau dua li lwm tus.
"Kaum lab nyiaj niaj hnub no tsim tau $ 510,000 ib xyoos hauv Treasuries. Wow. Xav txog tias: ib xyoos dhau los, koj tab tom tham tias qhov no yog $70,000. Peb yuav tsum ua lej ntawm no, kev nkag siab zoo, "McDonald piav qhia. "Koj tau nyob hauv kev ua lag luam tau ob xyoos hauv cov khoom lag luam moronic fang uas tsis tau mus qhov twg, kev lag luam coob tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb. Koj nyob nraum tiaj tus tom qab ob xyoos, thiab tam sim no koj tab tom saib ntawm cov nyiaj lag luam nyiaj txiag lossis nyiaj txiag ib xyoos, thiab koj tau txais $ 510,000 ntawm cov paj laum tsis muaj kev pheej hmoo thaum ib xyoos dhau los koj tau txais 70. "
Kev ua lag luam sib tsoo, nws tau kwv yees ntxiv, yuav tuaj los ntawm S&P cov nyiaj tau los ploj lawm kwv yees lub sij hawm loj.
"Txhua tus neeg xav tau, [Wall] Txoj Kev xav tau $ 226, uas yog tus nqi rau kev ua tiav. Yog li qhov tshwm sim yog, thaum peb ua haujlwm tsis zoo nyob rau ob, peb lub hlis tom ntej, uas yuav ua rau muaj lus nug txog S&P cov nyiaj tau los, thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm S&P tej zaum yog $ 190, yog li qhov ntawd yuav ua rau nws, "McDonald tau hais.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-crash-60-days-144835480.html