Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Swings Tom Qab Kev Lag Luam Roj Tsis Txaus Siab Tshaj Li Fed Rate Hikes

Tojsiab

Cov khoom lag luam poob rau hnub Tuesday tom qab cov ntaub ntawv qhia Kev nce nqi yuav tsis qeeb sai li sai tau raws li cov kws lag luam xav tau - ua rau muaj qhov tsis sib xws uas ntau tus kws tshaj lij kwv yees yuav txuas ntxiv mus ntxiv rau lub hlis tom ntej, vim tias tsis paub meej txog kev nce nqi thiab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Txoj Cai Tseem Ceeb tseem ua rau cov tub lag luam ntshai tsam muaj peev xwm poob qis.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Cov neeg siv khoom tau nce 0.5% txij lub Kaum Ob Hlis mus txog Lub Ib Hlis, raws li rau Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm tau tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, tau nce nrawm dua li cov kws lag luam tau kwv yees thiab cuam tshuam rau hauv Wall Street qhov kev cia siab tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav ntxiv kev yooj yim rau nws cov paj laum nce qib hauv nws cov phiaj xwm kom txo qis nyiaj txiag.

Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tom qab poob ntau npaum li 420 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 1.1%, ua ntej paring poob poob tsuas yog 130 cov ntsiab lus los ntawm kev lag luam kaw thaum S&P 500 poob .03% thiab tech-heavy Nasdaq poob nce 0.6%.

Oanda tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Edward Moya hu ua qhov kev txav mus rau lwm qhov "kev nce nqi rollercoaster" nyob rau hauv daim ntawv qhia hnub Tuesday rau cov neeg siv khoom, piav qhia "kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo" tso cai rau Fed kom qeeb nws yob yog "muaj kev phom sij."

Cov khoom lag luam tau dhau los ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntau heev raws li CPI kev nyeem txhua hli: Dow tau txav nruab nrab ntawm 1.8% ntawm 10 CPI hnub kawg tso tawm, kwv yees li ob npaug ntawm 0.87% qhov nruab nrab txav thaum 180 tsis-CPI hnub ua lag luam nyob rau lub sijhawm, raws li rau a Forbes tsom xam ntawm kev ua lag luam cov ntaub ntawv.

Qhov tseeb, CPI hnub tso tawm suav txog plaub ntawm Dow yim qhov kev sib tw loj tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv 10 lub hlis dhau los, suav nrog Dow's 3.9% poob rau lub Cuaj Hlis 13, poob loj tshaj plaws ntawm 2022.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Cov khoom lag luam tau hloov pauv tsis zoo nyob rau xyoo tas los no vim muaj ntau yam ntawm thaj chaw thaj chaw, suav nrog tsoomfwv cov lus teb rau Covid-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw thiab kev ua tsov rog tsis tu ncua hauv Ukraine. Covid-kev cuam tshuam cov saw hlau cuam tshuam thiab kev nce thoob ntiaj teb ntawm cov khoom lag luam - tau txhawb nqa los ntawm Russia qhov kev cuam tshuam ntawm Ukraine - txhua qhov ua rau muaj kev nce nqi nce ntxiv. Txij li thaum Lub Peb Hlis 2022, Fed tau nce nws lub hom phiaj tus paj laum los ntawm 0% mus rau 0.25% mus rau 4.5% mus rau 4.75%, ntaus lub siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2007. Tag nrho peb qhov kev lag luam tseem ceeb tom qab ua rau lawv qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws txhua xyoo txij li xyoo 2008 xyoo tas los raws li kev qiv nyiaj ntau dua. cov nqi txiav rau hauv tuam txhab profits.

Kev Nkag Siab Hais

"Swings qhia txog qhov tseeb tias cov ntsiab lus cuam tshuam peb xav tias yuav muaj kev nce nqi, txoj cai tswj hwm nyiaj txiag, thiab kev loj hlob tseem tsis tau txog," UBS 'Mark Haefele tau sau rau hnub Tuesday rau cov neeg siv khoom. "Cov neeg ua lag luam yuav tsum cia siab tias yuav muaj kev hloov pauv mus ntxiv rau tam sim no vim qhov tsis paub tseeb" hauv cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag thiab kev ua haujlwm, ob lub hauv paus tseem ceeb hauv Fed qhov kev ntsuas ntawm kev lag luam, Haefele ntxiv.

Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb

Tsawg tshaj li ib lub hlis twg ntawm kwv yees li 300 tus thawj tswj hwm peev nyiaj tau tshawb fawb los ntawm Bank of America lub lim tiam dhau los tau hais tias lawv xav tias yuav muaj kev lag luam poob qis rau 12 lub hlis tom ntej, nqis los ntawm 77% thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis thiab tsoo rau yim lub hlis qis.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Kev nce nqi poob mus rau 6.4% Lub Ib Hlis - Tab sis tseem tseem phem dua li cov kws lag luam xav tau raws li kev xauj tsev, zaub mov thiab roj nqi nce ntxiv (Forbes)

Kev Lag Luam Lag Luam nyuam qhuav ua qhov 'Ib qho yuam kev ib zaug ntxiv'-Ntawm no yog vim li cas cov kws tshaj lij txhawj xeeb txog qhov tseeb Rally (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2023/02/14/expect-more-volatility-stock-market-swings-after-inflation-fuels-uncertainty-over-fed-rate-hikes/