Rising Treasury yields tau tshwm sim hnub Tuesday thaum kawg ntes nrog lub khw muag khoom ua lag luam yav dhau los, tawm hauv Dow Jones Industrial Average thiab lwm yam kev ntsuas loj nrog. lawv hnub phem tshaj mus txog rau 2023.
"Cov txiaj ntsig tau tshwm sim thoob plaws qhov nkhaus ... Lub sijhawm no nws zoo li, cov nqi lag luam tab tom ua si nrog cov nyiaj pub," tus kws tshuaj ntsuam qub qub Mark Arbeter, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Arbeter Investments, tau hais hauv tsab ntawv. Feem ntau, kev lag luam tus nqi yuav coj txoj hauv kev, nws pom.
Txij li thaum pib ntawm lub hli, cov tub lag luam hauv kev them nyiaj rau yav tom ntej tau nqis los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve ntau dua tom qab pib tsis ntseeg lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj yuav ntaus nws qhov kev kwv yees rau qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov nyiaj tau los siab tshaj 5%. Ob peb tus tub luam tam sim no txawm tias pricing nyob rau sab nraud muaj peev xwm ntawm qhov siab tshaj tus nqi ze 6%.
Cov tawm los rau 2-xyoo Txhab Nyiaj Sau Nyiaj
TUBMUSD 02Y,
4.724%
dhia 10.8 hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 4.729%, nws siab tshaj plaws rau kev sib tham hauv Asmeskas txij thaum Lub Xya Hli 24, 2007. Lub 10-xyoo Treasury yield
TUBMUSD 10Y,
3.955%
nce 12.6 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 3.953%, nws qhov siab tshaj plaws txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis 9.
Daniel Berkowitz, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Prudent Management Associates, tau hais tias "Lub sijhawm no, kev lag luam nyiaj tau txais tag nrho tab sis tso tseg qhov kev cia siab rau qhov kev txwv tsis pub ntxiv mus thiab kev txiav nyiaj ntau hauv ib nrab ntawm 2023," said Daniel Berkowitz, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Prudent Management Associates, hauv emailed lus.
Lub caij no, cov nyiaj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas kuj tau sib sau ua ke, nrog rau ICE US Dollar Index ntxiv 0.2% rau lub Ob Hlis bounce. Arbeter kuj tau sau tseg tias qhov ntsuas qhov dav, qhov ntsuas ntawm pes tsawg cov khoom lag luam tau koom nrog hauv kev sib tw, yav dhau los tsis zoo, nrog qee qhov kev ntsuas mus txog qib oversold.
"Tsuas yog lwm lub cua daj cua dub zoo kawg nkaus tiv thaiv kev lag luam ncaj ncees hauv lub sijhawm luv," Arbeter sau.
Kev nce nqi tuaj yeem ua rau tsis zoo rau cov khoom lag luam, nce nqi qiv. Qhov tseem ceeb tshaj, cov nyiaj tau los ntau dua txhais tau hais tias tam sim no tus nqi ntawm cov txiaj ntsig yav tom ntej thiab cov nyiaj ntsuab tau luv nqi ntau dua. Qhov ntawd tuaj yeem hnyav hnyav ntawm kev siv thev naus laus zis thiab lwm yam hu ua cov khoom lag luam loj hlob uas nws cov txiaj ntsig tau raws li cov nyiaj tau los nyob rau yav tom ntej. Cov khoom lag luam no tau pummeled hnyav rau xyoo tas los tab sis tau coj kev nce qib hauv kev sib tw thaum ntxov 2023, tseem muaj zog nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los txawm tias cov txiaj ntsig tau txuas ntxiv mus.
Cov txiaj ntsig tau nce siab tom qab kev khiav ntawm cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam kub tshaj qhov kev cia siab, uas tau txhawb kev cia siab rau Fed tus nqi nce.
Lub caij no, kev taw qhia tsis muaj zog Tuesday los ntawm Home Depot Inc.
HD,
-7.06%
thiab Walmart Inc.
WMT,
+ 0.61%
kuj tau pab txhawb rau qhov tsis muaj zog Tshuag-kev lag luam tone.
Tsev Depot poob ntau dua 7%, ua rau nws yog qhov poob loj tshaj plaws ntawm cov khoom ntawm Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab
DJIA,
-2.06%.
Qhov poob tuaj tom qab lub khw muag khoom txhim kho hauv tsev tau tshaj tawm qhov kev poob qis hauv kev xav tsis thoob nyiaj txiag lub quarter thib plaub tib lub khw muag khoom, tau coj mus rau qhov kev poob qis hauv nyiaj txiag 2023 cov nyiaj tau los thiab tau nqis peev ntxiv $ 1 nphom los them nws cov neeg koom tes ntau dua.
"Txawm hais tias Wall Street xav kom cov neeg siv khoom muaj peev xwm ua tau raws li lub lim tiam dhau los daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev muag khoom muag, Lub Tsev Depot thiab Walmart tau ceev faj ntau dua," said Jose Torres, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus ntawm Interactive Brokers, hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom.
"Cov ntaub ntawv tag kis no muaj ntau qhov sib xyaw ua ke hais txog cov neeg siv khoom xav tau, tab sis thaum lub sijhawm ua lag luam tsis muaj zog raws li lub caij nyoog, cov tub ua lag luam tau hloov mus rau lub khob ib nrab-dawb pom tawm tsam cov keeb kwm yav dhau los ntawm ib xyoos uas muaj qhov sib txawv kiag li tam sim no, ib khob ib nrab-tag nrho. kev xav, ”nws sau.
Dow poob 697.10 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 2.1%, kom kaw ntawm 33,129.59, thaum S&P 500
SPX,
-2.00%
poob 2% mus kaw ntawm 3,997.34, ua tiav hauv qab 4,000 qib thawj zaug txij li Lub Ib Hlis 20. Qhov kev poob qis tau txiav S&P 500 xyoo-rau-hnub nce mus rau 4.1%, raws li FactSet, uas yog tsawg dua ib nrab ntawm 9% xyoo dhau los nce nws tau txaus siab ntawm nws lub Ob Hlis 2 ncov.
Lub Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-2.50%
poob 2.5%, trimming nws xyoo-rau-hnub nce mus rau 9.8%. Cov kev poob qis ua rau Dow tsis zoo rau lub xyoo, nqis 0.5%. Nws yog hnub phem tshaj plaws rau tag nrho peb qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb txij li lub Kaum Ob Hlis 15, raws li Dow Jones Market Data.
Arbeter tau txheeb xyuas "cov pab pawg nthuav dav" ntawm kev txhawb nqa qis dua hnub Tuesday qis rau S&P 500, nrog rau kev sib koom ua ke ntawm ib khub ntawm cov kab sib txuas nrog rau qhov Performance index 50- thiab 200-hnub txav nruab nrab nyob ze 3,970 (saib daim duab hauv qab).
Nws tau sau tias "Yog tias cheeb tsam ntawd tsis sawv cev rau qhov poob qis, peb muaj teeb meem ntau ntxiv tom ntej,"
Kev lag luam Tshuag pom hnub phem tshaj plaws ntawm 2023 vim nws tsis paub meej qhov twg cov nqi yuav nce siab
Rising Treasury yields tau tshwm sim hnub Tuesday thaum kawg ntes nrog lub khw muag khoom ua lag luam yav dhau los, tawm hauv Dow Jones Industrial Average thiab lwm yam kev ntsuas loj nrog. lawv hnub phem tshaj mus txog rau 2023.
"Cov txiaj ntsig tau tshwm sim thoob plaws qhov nkhaus ... Lub sijhawm no nws zoo li, cov nqi lag luam tab tom ua si nrog cov nyiaj pub," tus kws tshuaj ntsuam qub qub Mark Arbeter, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Arbeter Investments, tau hais hauv tsab ntawv. Feem ntau, kev lag luam tus nqi yuav coj txoj hauv kev, nws pom.
Txij li thaum pib ntawm lub hli, cov tub lag luam hauv kev them nyiaj rau yav tom ntej tau nqis los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve ntau dua tom qab pib tsis ntseeg lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj yuav ntaus nws qhov kev kwv yees rau qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov nyiaj tau los siab tshaj 5%. Ob peb tus tub luam tam sim no txawm tias pricing nyob rau sab nraud muaj peev xwm ntawm qhov siab tshaj tus nqi ze 6%.
Cov tawm los rau 2-xyoo Txhab Nyiaj Sau Nyiaj
4.724%
3.955%
TUBMUSD 02Y,
dhia 10.8 hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 4.729%, nws siab tshaj plaws rau kev sib tham hauv Asmeskas txij thaum Lub Xya Hli 24, 2007. Lub 10-xyoo Treasury yield
TUBMUSD 10Y,
nce 12.6 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 3.953%, nws qhov siab tshaj plaws txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis 9.
Daniel Berkowitz, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Prudent Management Associates, tau hais tias "Lub sijhawm no, kev lag luam nyiaj tau txais tag nrho tab sis tso tseg qhov kev cia siab rau qhov kev txwv tsis pub ntxiv mus thiab kev txiav nyiaj ntau hauv ib nrab ntawm 2023," said Daniel Berkowitz, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Prudent Management Associates, hauv emailed lus.
Lub caij no, cov nyiaj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas kuj tau sib sau ua ke, nrog rau ICE US Dollar Index ntxiv 0.2% rau lub Ob Hlis bounce. Arbeter kuj tau sau tseg tias qhov ntsuas qhov dav, qhov ntsuas ntawm pes tsawg cov khoom lag luam tau koom nrog hauv kev sib tw, yav dhau los tsis zoo, nrog qee qhov kev ntsuas mus txog qib oversold.
"Tsuas yog lwm lub cua daj cua dub zoo kawg nkaus tiv thaiv kev lag luam ncaj ncees hauv lub sijhawm luv," Arbeter sau.
Kev nce nqi tuaj yeem ua rau tsis zoo rau cov khoom lag luam, nce nqi qiv. Qhov tseem ceeb tshaj, cov nyiaj tau los ntau dua txhais tau hais tias tam sim no tus nqi ntawm cov txiaj ntsig yav tom ntej thiab cov nyiaj ntsuab tau luv nqi ntau dua. Qhov ntawd tuaj yeem hnyav hnyav ntawm kev siv thev naus laus zis thiab lwm yam hu ua cov khoom lag luam loj hlob uas nws cov txiaj ntsig tau raws li cov nyiaj tau los nyob rau yav tom ntej. Cov khoom lag luam no tau pummeled hnyav rau xyoo tas los tab sis tau coj kev nce qib hauv kev sib tw thaum ntxov 2023, tseem muaj zog nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los txawm tias cov txiaj ntsig tau txuas ntxiv mus.
Cov txiaj ntsig tau nce siab tom qab kev khiav ntawm cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam kub tshaj qhov kev cia siab, uas tau txhawb kev cia siab rau Fed tus nqi nce.
Lub caij no, kev taw qhia tsis muaj zog Tuesday los ntawm Home Depot Inc.
-7.06%
+ 0.61%
HD,
thiab Walmart Inc.
WMT,
kuj tau pab txhawb rau qhov tsis muaj zog Tshuag-kev lag luam tone.
Tsev Depot poob ntau dua 7%, ua rau nws yog qhov poob loj tshaj plaws ntawm cov khoom ntawm Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab
-2.06% .
DJIA,
Qhov poob tuaj tom qab lub khw muag khoom txhim kho hauv tsev tau tshaj tawm qhov kev poob qis hauv kev xav tsis thoob nyiaj txiag lub quarter thib plaub tib lub khw muag khoom, tau coj mus rau qhov kev poob qis hauv nyiaj txiag 2023 cov nyiaj tau los thiab tau nqis peev ntxiv $ 1 nphom los them nws cov neeg koom tes ntau dua.
"Txawm hais tias Wall Street xav kom cov neeg siv khoom muaj peev xwm ua tau raws li lub lim tiam dhau los daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev muag khoom muag, Lub Tsev Depot thiab Walmart tau ceev faj ntau dua," said Jose Torres, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus ntawm Interactive Brokers, hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom.
"Cov ntaub ntawv tag kis no muaj ntau qhov sib xyaw ua ke hais txog cov neeg siv khoom xav tau, tab sis thaum lub sijhawm ua lag luam tsis muaj zog raws li lub caij nyoog, cov tub ua lag luam tau hloov mus rau lub khob ib nrab-dawb pom tawm tsam cov keeb kwm yav dhau los ntawm ib xyoos uas muaj qhov sib txawv kiag li tam sim no, ib khob ib nrab-tag nrho. kev xav, ”nws sau.
Dow poob 697.10 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 2.1%, kom kaw ntawm 33,129.59, thaum S&P 500
-2.00%
SPX,
poob 2% mus kaw ntawm 3,997.34, ua tiav hauv qab 4,000 qib thawj zaug txij li Lub Ib Hlis 20. Qhov kev poob qis tau txiav S&P 500 xyoo-rau-hnub nce mus rau 4.1%, raws li FactSet, uas yog tsawg dua ib nrab ntawm 9% xyoo dhau los nce nws tau txaus siab ntawm nws lub Ob Hlis 2 ncov.
Lub Nasdaq Composite
-2.50%
COMP,
poob 2.5%, trimming nws xyoo-rau-hnub nce mus rau 9.8%. Cov kev poob qis ua rau Dow tsis zoo rau lub xyoo, nqis 0.5%. Nws yog hnub phem tshaj plaws rau tag nrho peb qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb txij li lub Kaum Ob Hlis 15, raws li Dow Jones Market Data.
Arbeter tau txheeb xyuas "cov pab pawg nthuav dav" ntawm kev txhawb nqa qis dua hnub Tuesday qis rau S&P 500, nrog rau kev sib koom ua ke ntawm ib khub ntawm cov kab sib txuas nrog rau qhov Performance index 50- thiab 200-hnub txav nruab nrab nyob ze 3,970 (saib daim duab hauv qab).
Arbeter Investments LLC
Nws tau sau tias "Yog tias cheeb tsam ntawd tsis sawv cev rau qhov poob qis, peb muaj teeb meem ntau ntxiv tom ntej,"
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-is-the-stock-market-falling-blame-a-perfect-storm-as-yields-rise-dollar-rallies-ec23b387?siteid=yhoof2&yptr= yahoo