Nyiaj ua lag luam Stanley Druckenmiller ntseeg hais tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve qhov kev sim kom sai sai tshem tawm qhov ntau dhau uas nws tau pab txhim kho rau kaum xyoo nrog txoj cai yooj yim nyiaj txiag yuav tsis xaus rau Asmeskas kev lag luam.
Druckenmiller tau hais rau ntawm CNBC's Delivering Alpha Investor Summit hauv New York City Wednesday, "Peb qhov teeb meem hauv nruab nrab yog qhov nyuaj los ntawm qhov kawg ntawm 23," Druckenmiller tau hais. "Kuv yuav xav tsis thoob yog tias peb tsis muaj kev poob qis hauv '23. Kuv tsis paub lub sijhawm tab sis muaj tseeb thaum kawg ntawm '23. Kuv yuav tsis xav tsis thoob yog tias nws tsis loj dua li qhov hu ua nruab nrab vaj ntau yam. "
Thiab tus neeg ua lag luam legendary, uas tsis tau muaj lub xyoo poob hauv kev lag luam, ntshai nws yuav yog ib yam dab tsi phem dua. Nws tau hais tias "Kuv tsis txiav txim siab qee yam phem heev," nws hais.
Druckenmiller ntseeg hais tias qhov txawv tshaj plaw quantitative easing thiab xoom paj laum nyob rau hauv lub xyoo caum dhau los tsim ib qho khoom vaj khoom tsev npuas.
Druckenmiller tau hais tias "Txhua yam uas ua rau muaj kev lag luam nyuj, lawv tsis tsuas yog tso tseg xwb, lawv tab tom thim rov qab txhua tus ntawm lawv," Druckenmiller tau hais. "Peb tab tom muaj teeb meem loj."
Fed tam sim no nyob rau hauv nruab nrab ntawm nws qhov kev nruj tshaj plaws ntawm kev nruj txij li xyoo 1980. Lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab lub lim tiam dhau los tau nce tus nqi los ntawm peb lub hlis twg ntawm qhov feem pua ntawm cov ntsiab lus rau lub sijhawm thib peb ncaj nraim thiab cog lus tias yuav muaj kev taug kev ntau dua los yeej kev nce nqi, ua rau muaj kev muag khoom loj hauv cov khoom muaj nqis. S&P 500 tau tshem tawm nws lub Rau Hli qis thiab mus txog lub lag luam dais tshiab hnub Tuesday tom qab poob rau XNUMX hnub.
Tus neeg ua lag luam tau hais tias Fed tau ua txoj cai yuam kev thaum nws los txog "kev xav tsis zoo ntawm kev hloov pauv," kev xav tias kev nce nyiaj tau los ntawm cov saw hlau thiab cov kev xav tau feem ntau cuam tshuam nrog kev sib kis.
Druckenmiller tau hais tias "Thaum koj ua yuam kev, koj yuav tsum lees paub tias koj ua yuam kev thiab mus rau cuaj lossis 10 lub hlis, uas lawv nyuam qhuav zaum ntawd thiab yuav $ 120 nphom hauv daim ntawv cog lus," Druckenmiller tau hais. "Kuv xav tias qhov cuam tshuam ntawm qhov ntawd yuav nyob nrog peb mus ntev, ntev."
Tus neeg siv khoom tus nqi ntsuas tau nce 8.3% nyob rau lub Yim Hli xyoo dhau los, ze li 40-xyoo siab thiab tuaj nyob rau hauv siab tshaj qhov kev pom zoo.
Druckenmiller ib zaug tswj hwm George Soros 'Quantum Fund thiab tua kom muaj koob meej tom qab pab ua $ 10 billion thawj koom ruam tawm tsam British phaus hauv 1992. Tom qab ntawd nws tau saib xyuas $ 12 billion ua tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Duquesne Capital Management ua ntej kaw nws lub tuam txhab hauv 2010.
"Koj tsis tas yuav tham txog Dub Swans kom txhawj xeeb ntawm no. Rau kuv, qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev muaj peev txheej tsis ua rau muaj kev nkag siab ntau, "Druckenmiller tau hais.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/stanley-druckenmiller-sees-hard-landing-in-2023-with-a-possible-deeper-recession-than-many-expect.html