speculation Iran yuav sib pauv drones rau Lavxias teb sab Su-35 Fighters

Qhov kev kwv yees zaum kawg txog yav tom ntej ntawm Russia-Iran kev sib raug zoo tiv thaiv yog tias Tehran yuav tau txais Lavxias Su-35 Flanker fighter dav hlau nyob rau hauv rov qab rau muab Moscow nrog ntau hom ntawm nws cov indigenously-tsim drones.

Thaum Lub Yim Hli 2, qhib qhov kev txawj ntse Twitter account hais txog qhov chaw tsis raug cai thov tias "Iran tau xa thawj pawg ntawm UAVs (tsis muaj neeg tsav dav hlau) mus rau Russia rau kev sim teb."

"Tseem Iranian pilots thiab cov kws tshaj lij xa mus rau Russia rau kev cob qhia ntawm Su-35," tus tweet ntxiv.

Txawm hais tias nws tsis tuaj yeem txheeb xyuas nws tus kheej qhov kev thov no, Lub Tsev Haujlwm rau Kev Kawm Kev Ua Tsov Rog (ISW) xav lub tank sau tseg "Ua raws li cov lus ceeb toom tsis ntev los no uas Tehran thiab Moscow tab tom nrhiav kev sib koom tes dav hlau ntau dua txhawm rau txhawm rau hla kev nplua thoob ntiaj teb rau Russia thiab Iran thiab txhawb nqa kev ua haujlwm Lavxias hauv Ukraine."

"Yog tias muaj tseeb, qhov kev thov no qhia tias Iran yuav tau txais lub dav hlau Lavxias Su-35 rov qab rau cov drones, uas tuaj yeem yog ib feem ntawm daim ntawv cog lus kos npe los ntawm Moscow thiab Tehran thaum Lub Xya Hli 26," ISW ntxiv.

"Tehran tuaj yeem nrhiav kev siv daim ntawv cog lus no los pab txhawb kev nrhiav tau ntawm Lavxias kev sib ntaus sib tua dav hlau," nws xaus lus.

Thaum nruab nrab Lub Xya Hli, Lub Tsev Dawb tau hais tias cov tub ceev xwm Lavxias mus xyuas lub tshav dav hlau Kashan hauv nruab nrab Iran saib Tehran lub zos-tsim Shahed-129 thiab Shahed-191 armed drones. Lub Tsev Dawb hais tias Russia tab tom yuav "ntau pua" ntawm Iranian-tsim drones.

Thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021, nws kuj tau lees tias Russia thiab Iran yuav kos npe rau 20-xyoo $ 10 nphom kev tiv thaiv daim ntawv cog lus nyob rau lub Ib Hlis 2022. Russia yuav muab Iran nrog ob lub kaum os Su-35s thiab S-400 huab cua tiv thaiv missile systems ua ib feem ntawm qhov deal.

Tau kawg, tsis muaj dab tsi tau hnov ​​​​txog qhov kev pom zoo uas yuav tshwm sim txij li thaum. Ib tug yuav tsum tsis ntseeg txog qhov kev thov zaum kawg no.

Txawm li cas los xij, xws li kev sib pauv yuav ua rau muaj kev nkag siab ntau. Iran tau paub zoo hauv kev tsim cov tub rog drones tab sis tsis tau txais ib lub dav hlau dav hlau tshiab txij li thaum xyoo 1990. Ntawm qhov tod tes, Russia tau tsim qee lub dav hlau dav hlau dav hlau, tom qab qauv Sukhois xws li Su-35 thiab Su-34 Fullback fighter / tawm tsam aircraft, tab sis yog. kuj lig los ua qhov tseem ceeb rau nws txoj kev txhim kho drone.

Iran tsis ntev los no tau nthuav tawm nws qhov kev nyiam rau kev sib pauv rau cov khoom siv tub rog es tsis siv nyiaj txiag nyuaj. Piv txwv li, hauv 2021, nws tau tshaj tawm nrhiav 36 lub dav hlau Chengdu J-10C siab heev los ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab tau them nyiaj rau lawv nrog roj lossis roj av, qee yam Beijing tau ua. tsis kam lees.

Tehran tuaj yeem ua tau zoo, yog li ntawd, txaus siab ua lag luam ib lub nkoj ntawm nws cov drones hauv tsev - tej zaum nrog rau kev hloov pauv thev naus laus zis thiab kev cob qhia ntawm kev sib ntaus sib tua-tso tawm tswv yim Iran thiab nws cov neeg sawv cev tau ua haujlwm dhau ntawm Middle East battlefields - rau cov dav hlau niaj hnub los ntawm Russia.

Los yog qhov xwm txheej yuav yooj yim dua li ISW txoj kev sib pauv hloov pauv. Tom qab tag nrho, Tehran tuaj yeem tsuas yog xa cov kws tshaj lij los cob qhia cov neeg Lavxias yuav ua li cas khiav lawv cov drones thaum tib lub sijhawm xa cov kws tsav dav hlau thiab cov kws tshaj lij kom paub lawv tus kheej nrog Su-35 ua ntej ntawm kev yuav khoom. Moscow tseem tuaj yeem tau caw cov tub rog Iranian no los tsa lub dav hlau mus rau Tehran los ntawm kev tso cai rau lawv los ntsuas nws lub peev xwm kaw.

Txawm li cas los xij, Iran nthuav dav dav hlau dav hlau tshiab thawj zaug hauv 30 xyoo thiab Russia ib lub nkoj ntawm Iranian drones thawj zaug yuav qhia tau tias qhov kev sib txuas ntawm kev sib txuas aviation ISW ​​tau hais tau pib zoo.

Iran tuaj yeem ua tau nrog qee lub dav hlau tshiab. Thaum Lub Yim Hli 3, lub vintage Iranian Soviet-tsim Su-22 Fitter tsoo ntawm lub airbase hauv Shiraz tom qab "kev ua tsis tiav." Uas tau ua raws lub Rau Hli 18 kev sib tsoo ntawm ib qho ntawm Iran lub cim tseem ceeb ntawm US-tsim F-14A Tomcats thiab lwm yam. kev sib tsoo zoo sib xws hauv lub hli dhau los.

Kev yuav cov dav hlau Lavxias nyob rau lub sijhawm tam sim no muaj kev pheej hmoo xav txog cov teeb meem kev xa khoom mus sij hawm ntev Moscow yuav muaj ntau xyoo tom ntej - uas yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev rau kev muab cov khoom seem thiab cov kev pabcuam rau cov neeg ua haujlwm txawv teb chaws ntawm Lavxias cov khoom siv tub rog.

Txawm li cas los xij, Tehran yuav tsis mloog yog tias nws tuaj yeem tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo rau cov dav hlau tshiab. Tom qab tag nrho, nws tau ua tiav ib feem loj ntawm nws cov tub rog Asmeskas muab kev ua haujlwm rau ntau xyoo nyob rau hauv lub ntsej muag ntawm US caj npab embargo nquag aiming rau hauv av.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/pauliddon/2022/08/05/shaheds-for-sukhois-speculation-iran-will-swap-drones-for-russian-su-35-fighters/