Qhov kev ntshai thiab kev ntshaw qhov ntsuas tau maj mam txav mus rau thaj tsam kev ntshaw, taw rau kev nce ntxiv - tab sis kuj muaj kev pheej hmoo - rau SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Cov peev nyiaj tau nyob rau hauv qhov kev sib tw muaj zog hauv xyoo 2023, coj cov txiaj ntsig los ntawm nws lub Kaum Ib Hlis qis rau 14.5%.
Ntshai thiab greed index nce
Qhov kev ntshai thiab kev ntshaw index yog ib qho cuab yeej tseem ceeb uas saib qee qhov ntsuas tseem ceeb tshaj plaws hauv Wall Street. Tsis zoo li VIX Performance index, nws saib ntawm kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm cov xwm txheej thaum ntsuas lub xeev ntawm kev lag luam nyiaj txiag. Lub VIX saib cov kev xaiv cov ntaub ntawv ntawm S&P 500 index ib leeg.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Kev saib ze dua ntawm qhov kev ntshai thiab kev ntshaw index qhia tau hais tias cov khoom lag luam tus nqi zog tau tsiv mus rau qhov chaw siab hlob heev. Qhov no yog ib daim duab uas saib tus naj npawb ntawm kev sib tw tsoo lawv 52 lub lis piam siab. Tus nqi khoom lag luam dav dav, uas siv McClellan Volume Summation Index, kuj yog qhov kev ntshaw heev.
Lub caij no, cov kev xaiv xaiv thiab hu xov tooj thiab kev xav tau muaj kev nyab xeeb yog nyob rau thaj tsam kev ntshaw thaum lub VIX Performance index tau poob mus rau qhov nruab nrab ntawm 20. Kev ua lag luam lub zog, uas siv 125-hnub txav nruab nrab ntawm S&P 500 index kuj tseem nyob nruab nrab. cheeb tsam. Nyob rau hauv tag nrho, qhov ntsuas yog ntawm 63.
Txawm li cas los xij, raws li JP Morgan cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas, qhov no tuaj yeem yog kev sib tw ua lag luam, txhais tau tias SPY ETF tuaj yeem poob qis. Hais lus rau CNBC, Marko Kolanovic, JP Morgan cov Chief Strategist, hais txog ntau yam uas tuaj yeem thawb cov khoom lag luam qis dua.
Piv txwv li, nws tau sau tseg tias cov paj laum ntau dua tau ua rau kev loj hlob qeeb. Qee cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj rau qhov no yog cov nqi tsev tumbling, kev thov qis rau cov tsheb tshiab thiab siv, thiab kev muag khoom poob qis. Contrary rau ING cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas, nws ntseeg tias Fed yuav tsis txo tus nqi hauv 2023.
Cov kev pheej hmoo ntxiv uas tuaj yeem rub SPDR S&P 500 ETF qis dua yog cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam tsis muaj zog uas ua rau muaj peev xwm ntawm kev tsaws nyuaj. Txawm li cas los xij, bulls sib cav tias qhov kev poob qis yuav yog qhov zoo rau cov khoom lag luam vim nws yuav thawb Fed kom pib pivoting sai sai.
SPY ETF tsom xam cov khoom lag luam
SPDR S&P 500 daim duab los ntawm TradingView
Daim ntawv qhia 1D qhia tau hais tias SPY ETF tau nyob rau hauv ib qho kev poob qis heev pib txij lub Kaum Ob Hlis 30th ntawm 2021. Qhov kev poob qis no tau txais kev txhawb nqa los ntawm cov nqe lus nqes los qhia hauv liab. Nws tam sim no daig me ntsis hauv qab no trendline. Cov Tshuag tau tsiv mus rau 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement qib.
Tsis tas li ntawd, nws tau txais kev txhawb nqa los ntawm 50-hnub thiab 25-hnub txav nruab nrab. Hauv qab ntawm qhov chaw, muaj cov cim qhia tias qhov ntsuas tau tsim ob lub taub hau thiab lub xub pwg nyom. Yog li ntawd, qhov ntim-txhawb nqa mus rau saum toj kawg nkaus cov channel yuav pom SPY Tshuag nce mus rau 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement qib ntawm $ 430.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/01/25/spdr-spy-etf-forms-a-bullish-pattern-as-the-fear-and-greed-index-rises/