S&P 500 pom nws thib peb ceg qis dua 10%. Nov yog dab tsi keeb kwm qhia txog yav dhau los dais kev lag luam tsoo qhov qis tshiab los ntawm qhov ntawd, raws li Bespoke.

S&P 500, uas ntaus cov ntaub ntawv siab rau Lub Ib Hlis 3, tau poob 20.5% txog rau xyoo no, raws li FactSet cov ntaub ntawv. Qhov ntsuas tau poob 1.7% Hnub Wednesday rau nws qhov kev poob loj tshaj plaws txij li Lub Cuaj Hli 13, hnub cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tawm rau lub Yim Hli tuaj txog. kub tshaj qhov xav tau. 

S&P 500 poob qis dua 10% los ntawm nws lub Yim Hli siab, nws thib peb ceg qis hauv kev lag luam dais tam sim no, raws li Bespoke, txawm hais tias nws tseem siab dua nws lub Rau Hli qis.

Lub tuam txhab tau kawm yav dhau los kev lag luam dais thaum lub sijhawm tom qab Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum II uas tau pib txhua lub sijhawm siab thiab pom tsawg kawg peb ceg qis ntawm 10% lossis ntau dua ua ntej S&P 500 thaum kawg poob. Cov no tau pib thaum Lub Ib Hlis 1973, Kaum Ib Hlis 1980, Lub Yim Hli 1987, Lub Peb Hlis 2000 thiab Lub Kaum Hli 2007, raws li Bespoke.

"Yog tias muaj ib qho qauv zoo ib yam nyob rau hauv tag nrho tsib lub sijhawm ua ntej tau hais tseg, nws yog tias nyob rau hauv txhua qhov, S&P 500 ua rau qis qis qis hauv peb ceg qis," Bespoke hais. S&P 500 tsis deb tshaj nws lub Rau Hli qis, "yog li kev lag luam tau poob ntxiv," lossis yog tias qhov ntsuas tuaj yeem rov qab mus rau 4,250, "nws yuav muaj qee qhov kev cia siab rau bulls uas qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws yuav nyob tom qab. peb."

Lub S&P 500 rau hnub Tuesday tau kaw 10.4% los ntawm nws qhov siab tsis ntev los no thaum Lub Yim Hli 16, lees paub "qhov ntsuas tau nyob rau hauv peb ceg qis qis ntawm tsawg kawg yog 10% thaum lub lag luam dais tam sim no," daim ntawv Bespoke qhia.

"Tom qab qee qhov kev nyeem ntawv tsis txaus ntseeg nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli, S&P 500 tau sib sau ua ke 17.5% txog thaum nruab nrab Lub Yim Hli, tab sis kev sib tw ua tsis tau tsuas yog txaj muag" ntawm nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab, lub tuam txhab tau hais. Tib lub hlis ntawd, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cov lus meej hauv nws Aug. 26 lus ntawm Jackson Hole. Wyo., kev sib tham txog kev lag luam uas nws yuav tiv thaiv kev nce nqi los ntawm txoj cai nruj dua nyiaj txiag txawm tias ua rau mob rau kev lag luam thiab tsev neeg, sparking kev muag khoom hauv Tshuag.

cov poob tob tob Tom qab kev nyeem ntawv muaj zog tshaj li qhov kev cia siab ntawm lub Yim Hli kev nce nqi raws li cov neeg siv khoom-tus nqi ntsuas, nrog cov tub ua lag luam nug seb S&P 500 puas yuav rov ntsuas nws lub Rau Hli qis.

Yav dhau los dais lag luam

"Lub lag luam dais uas pib thaum Lub Ib Hlis 1973 thiab ncav cuag lub Kaum Hli 1974 yog qhov tsis txaus ntseeg," Bespoke hais. Qhov thib peb ceg qis qis yog qhov mob tshwj xeeb, vim tias S&P 500 poob qis dua 37% hauv kev muag khoom uas tsuas yog nrawm dua thaum Lub Yim Hli xyoo ntawd tom qab "kev tawm haujlwm ntawm Thawj Tswj Hwm Richard Nixon. 

Lub lag luam dais ntawm 1980-'82 yog qhov tseem ceeb rau "qhov tseeb tias qhov kev tawm tsam hauv lub xyoo tom qab ntau dua li tshem tawm tag nrho cov kev poob qis dhau los," daim ntawv qhia. 

Lub lag luam dais xyoo 1987 tau sib sib zog nqus, tab sis ceev, ncua tsawg dua tsib lub hlis, Bespoke tau hais. "Lub lag luam dais no kuj yog qhov tshwj xeeb uas nws tsuas yog ib qho uas tsawg kawg peb ceg qis dua qhov twg txhua 10% + poob qis tsis ua rau qis qis."

"Ntawm ntawm qhov kev sib tsoo ntawm COVID, kev lag luam dais ntawm lub xyoo pua 21st tau nthuav tawm ntau dua," raws li daim ntawv ceeb toom. 

Los ntawm qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv lub Peb Hlis 2000 txog rau Lub Kaum Hli 2002 qis, Bespoke tau nce tsib ceg ceg uas tsawg kawg yog 10% qis dua ua ntej S&P 500 thaum kawg. "Feem ntau ntawm lawv tau mob hnyav," raws li lub tuam txhab kev tshawb fawb.  

Tsis ntev los no, "cov lag luam dais uas tau pib xyoo 2007 suav nrog tsib qhov kev poob qis ntawm tsawg kawg yog 15%, nrog peb tshaj 25%, Bespoke tau hais. Qhov kev sib tw 18.5% txij lub Kaum Hli mus txog Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2008 tsuas yog bounce ntawm ntau dua 10% nyob rau lub sijhawm ntawd thaum S&P 500 tau nce siab dua, raws li daim ntawv ceeb toom.

Bespoke tau hais tias "Hmoov tsis zoo rau txhua tus bulls uas tau tawm tsam qhov kev txhim kho zoo thaum lub sijhawm ntawd, nws tau dhau los ua qhov tsis tseeb loj," Bespoke tau hais.

Tag nrho peb qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau ua tiav qis dua hnub Wednesday, raws li cov tub ua lag luam tau zom cov txiaj ntsig loj tshaj plaws los ntawm Fed raws li nws lub hom phiaj los tswj kev nce nqi los ntawm txoj cai nruj dua. Blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab
DJIA,
-1.70%
poob 1.7%, thaum thev naus laus zis-hnyav Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-1.79%
poob 1.8%

Lub caij no, S & P 500
SPX,
-1.71%
yog mus txog nws 2022 trough. Qhov ntsuas tau xaus rau hnub Wednesday nce 3.4% los ntawm nws qhov kaw qis xyoo no ntawm 3,666.77 thaum Lub Rau Hli 16, raws li Dow Jones Market Data.

Nyeem: Fed kwv yees qhov kev poob qis hauv kev lag luam loj thiab nce nyiaj poob haujlwm vim nws tawm tsam kev nce nqi