S&P 500 yuav tsum tuav 'theem no' kom dim txoj kev poob qis: Krinsky

Nyob twj ywm "ceev faj" ntawm US cov peev nyiaj mus txog thaum S&P 500 kaw saum 4,231 qib, hais tias Jonathan Krinsky. Nws yog Chief Market Technician ntawm BTIG.

Vim li cas thiaj li tseem ceeb?

Qhov ntsuas ntsuas tau pib lub xyoo ntawm 4,796 thiab ua rau qis ntawm 3,666 nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli. Keeb kwm, Krinsky hais rau CNBC's "Halftime Report", ib qho ze tshaj qhov "kev txhais lej lej" ntawm ob (4,231 qib) qhia tias tus qauv hloov pauv hauv kev pom zoo ntawm bulls.

Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?

Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.

Txij li thaum xyoo 1950, peb yeej tsis tau pom ib lub lag luam uas poob 20% lossis ntau dua ntawm lub hauv paus kaw, rov qab 50% ntawm qhov kev poob qis, ces mus ua lub voj voog tshiab qis. Yog li, qhov ze tshaj 4,231, keeb kwm hais lus, yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb heev.

Nws, txawm li cas los xij, cov lus nug yog tias SPX yuav muaj peev xwm tawg qhov kev tawm tsam, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog vim nws tam sim no ua lag luam ntawm qhov ntsuas qhov nruab nrab ntawm lub ntsej muag ntawm Fed uas xav tias yuav nyob twj ywm hawkish tom qab lub cov hauj lwm muaj zog qhia lub lim tiam dhau los.

Ib qho kev sib tw ncaj nraim tsis nyob ntawm daim npav

Tebchaws Asmeskas kev lag luam twb nyob rau hauv "kev lag luam" kev lag luam thiab qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi tsis ntev los no tseem tsis tau xav txog vaj huam sib luag lag luam. Qhov ntawd kuj pleev xim rau daim duab teeb meem rau cov khoom lag luam mus tom ntej.

Yog li, txawm tias qhov ntsuas ntsuas S&P 500 qhov ntsuas tau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj li 4,231 qib ntawm lub hauv paus kaw, Krinsky ntxiv, nws yuav tsis txhais hais tias "tag nrho meej" rau kev sib tw ncaj qha.

Nws tsis tau txhais hais tias koj tsuas yog tig lub hloov thiab mus tag nrho rau ntawm sab ntev. Kuv xav tias nws tsuas yog muab rau koj cov qauv siv los qhia tej zaum lub Rau Hli lows yog lub voj voog qis thiab koj xav tau kev tsim kho ntau dua ntawm kev thim rov qab.