Katie Stockton, tus tsim Fairlead Strategies thiab tus thawj tswj hwm tus khub, tau hais rau ntawm CNBC's "Squawk Box" ntu hnub Wednesday thaum sawv ntxov peb tab tom pom qhov nce siab hauv qhov tsis muaj zog vim qhov Volatility Index dhia siab dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab.
Tab sis nyob rau hauv ib hnub ntxiv, S&P 500 Performance index tau swung nyob rau nruab nrab ntau tshaj 80 cov ntsiab lus nyob rau hauv ib tug niaj hnub kev sib tham thiab qhov no yog "tus yam ntxwv ntau dua ntawm lub lag luam lub voj voog," Stockton hais.
S&P 500 kev pom zoo yog mus rau downside
Stockton tau hais tias qhov kev hloov pauv tsis ntev los no yog "tsis muaj kev ntxhov siab" thiab nws pom tseeb tias kev ua lag luam tau nce mus rau qhov tsis zoo tom qab S&P 500 qhov ntsuas tam sim no ua lag luam qis dua 3,900 qib. Cov qib kev txhawb nqa loj tom ntej rau qhov ntsuas yog 3,505 uas sawv cev rau lub Kaum Hli Ntuj qis kawg. Stockton ntxiv:
Qhov ntawd rau peb yog dab tsi cuam tshuam qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm no thiab peb tab tom cia siab tias yuav muaj ntau dua qhov qub nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm volatility.
Fed yuav tsum 'nyob hauv chav kawm'
Cais, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer Lisa Shalett tau hais rau ntawm Bloomberg TV lub tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yog "txog rau tog" hauv kev hais txog kev nce nqi nce ntxiv. Txawm hais tias zoo li kev lag luam nyiaj txiag thiab kev lag luam loj thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam ua lag luam loj heev rau hnub Wednesday, nws tau hais tias kev ntseeg siab hauv tuam txhab nyiaj yuav tsum tau khaws cia los ntawm kev ua kom pom tseeb tias lawv "lub hom phiaj yog los tawm tsam kev nce nqi."
Tsis ua li ntawd muaj ntau yam kev puas tsuaj rau kev lag luam nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev pheej hmoo nyiaj txiag, tag nrho txoj cai cov nqi them nqi thiab hloov mus rau siab dua rau cov nqi ntev dua nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev. Tab sis tsis yog txhua tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam pom zoo. Invezz tau tshaj tawm thaum Lub Peb Hlis 14 yuav ua li cas qee cov kws tshaj lij ua qauv Fed yuav txav mus rau lwm qhov kev coj ua thiab txo cov paj laum.
Fed yuav tsum "nyob hauv chav kawm" thiab ua lwm yam nyob rau lub sijhawm no "yuav ua yuam kev tiag tiag," nws xaus lus.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/03/15/sp-500-index-needs-to-hold-this-key-level-while-morgan-stanley-models-interest-rates-to- sawv/