S&P 500 qhib rau hauv liab rau hnub Tuesday tom qab US Bureau of Labor Statistics hais tias cov neeg siv khoom cov nqi tau nce ntau tshaj qhov xav tau nyob rau lub Ib Hlis.
Strategist ceeb toom ntawm ib tug loj downside
Rau lub hli, lub tus neeg siv khoom tus lej ntsuas tuaj nyob rau hauv nce 0.5% nyob rau tom qab ntawm kev nce hauv vaj tse, roj, thiab roj nqi. Hauv kev sib piv, cov kws tshawb fawb tau xav tias yuav nce 0.4% hloov pauv.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Ntau qhov txaus ntshai, tus kws tshaj lij Piper Sandler tam sim no hu rau qhov kev poob qis hauv qhov ntsuas ntsuas mus rau 3,225 qib thaum kawg ntawm 2023. Ntawm CNBC's "Squawk Box", Michael Kantrowitz tau hais tias:
Cov nyiaj kub kub ntawm yav dhau los, ntxiv rau Fed lub voj voog nruj, ntxiv rau qhov tseeb tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj tau nruj cov qauv qiv nyiaj tau zoo tshaj ib xyoos; qhov kev sib koom ua ke tau ua ntej txhua qhov kev poob qis.
Rau lub xyoo, kev nce nqi tseem nyob ntawm 6.4% thaum Lub Ib Hlis piv rau 6.2% uas cov kws tshawb fawb tau kwv yees.
Core inflation kuj tuaj kub dua li qhov xav tau
Core CPI (tsis suav cov zaub mov thiab lub zog) tau nce 0.4% rau lub hli thiab 5.6% ntawm lub xyoo dhau ib xyoo nyob rau lub Ib Hlis. Kev kwv yees yog rau 0.3% thiab 5.5% nce, feem.
Thaum sau ntawv, lub kev ua lag luam yog khaws cia siab tshaj 4,100 qib. Kantrowitz 'hu xov tooj, yog li ntawd, qhia txog qhov txaus ntshai 21% downside ntawm no.
Thawj qhov cuam tshuam ntawm Fed zawm lub voj voog los ntawm PE compression. Xyoo tas los no. Cov txiaj ntsig tom ntej, kev lag luam ntev thiab hloov pauv tau cuam tshuam kev lag luam li 15 txog 18 lub hlis tom qab. Kuv xav tias feem coob ntawm qhov ntawd tseem nyob tom ntej.
Piper Sandler tus kws tshaj lij pom zoo nyiaj poob hauj lwm nce mus rau tsawg kawg yog 4.4% thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo.
Source: https://invezz.com/news/2023/02/14/us-inflation-update-sp-500-21-downside/