cov Tshuag lag luam tuaj yeem ntsib kev ntxhov siab ntxiv rau xyoo 2023, nrog rau S&P 500 tau ntsib kev kho kom zoo yog tias Asmeskas poob rau hauv kev lag luam, raws li Bank of America cov kws tshaj lij.
Hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm hnub Monday, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas tau ceeb toom tias qhov ntsuas ntsuas ntsuas yuav poob qis li 3,240 cov ntsiab lus, lossis kwv yees li 20%, los ntawm qib tam sim no yog tias Asmeskas nkag mus rau kev poob qis hauv lub hlis tom ntej.
“History qhia tias yog tias Asmeskas kev lag luam ntsib kev lag luam poob qis, SPX hauv qab tawm thaum lub sijhawm kev lag luam poob qis thiab tsis ua ntej," daim ntawv hais. "Tsuas yog lub Peb Hlis 1945-Lub Kaum Hli 1945 kev poob nyiaj txiag tau pom SPX kev sib tw ua ntej thiab thoob plaws kev lag luam."
S&P tau poob qis txog 16% xyoo no vim tias cov tub ua lag luam muaj kev txhawj xeeb txog kev pheej hmoo siab nyiaj txiag, cov paj laum nce siab thiab qhov yuav muaj kev lag luam poob qis rau xyoo tom ntej. Tab sis Bank of America cov kws tshaj lij tau ceeb toom rau hnub Monday yuav muaj kev poob qis ntxiv ua ntej rau kev ua lag luam.
"Qhov nruab nrab thiab nruab nrab SPX poob qis cuam tshuam nrog kev lag luam poob qis yog 32.5% thiab 27.1%, feem, thiab kav ntev li 13.1 thiab 14.9 lub hlis," lawv sau. "Qhov no sib npaug rau SPX 3,500 rau SPX 3,240 thaum Lub Ob Hlis mus txog Lub Plaub Hlis 2023, uas sib haum nrog SPX ncov rau qhov kev poob qis cuam tshuam nrog tus ntoo khaub lig ntawm 12-hli MA hauv qab 24-hli MA ntawm SPX."
Txawm hais tias kev txo qis me ntsis ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lub hli dhau los - kev nce nqi nce 7.7% txhua xyoo, qhov qeeb tshaj plaws txij li Lub Ib Hlis - tseem muaj kev pom zoo loj hlob ntawm Wall Street tias Fed yuav ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis vim nws nce cov paj laum nrawm tshaj plaws hauv ntau xyoo.
Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis tau pom zoo rau plaub qhov sib law liag 75-qhov taw tes-tus nqi nce, nqa tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los mus rau thaj tsam ntawm 3.75% mus rau 4% - zoo rau qib txwv - thiab tsis pom muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi nce.
Txawm hais tias cov neeg tsim cai lij choj tau qhia txog qhov kev nyiam rau qhov me me, 50-pab-tus nqi nce siab ntawm lawv lub rooj sib tham lub lim tiam tom ntej, lawv kuj tau qhia txog kev noj qab haus huv rau cov paj laum siab dua uas tuaj yeem txwv kev lag luam ntxiv.
NYEM QHOV NO NYEEM NYEEM RAU NTAU LUB FOX KEV LAG LUAM
"Lub sijhawm rau kev hloov kho tus nqi nce yuav tuaj sai li sai tau thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis lub rooj sib tham," Fed Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Jerome Powell tau hais thaum hais lus hauv Washington lub lim tiam dhau los. "Raws li peb txoj kev nce qib hauv txoj cai nruj, lub sijhawm ntawm qhov kev sib haum xeeb no tsis tshua muaj txiaj ntsig ntau dua li cov lus nug ntawm ntau npaum li cas ntxiv peb yuav xav tau nce tus nqi los tswj kev nce nqi, thiab lub sijhawm ntev nws yuav tsim nyog los tuav txoj cai ntawm qib txwv. ”
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-could-plunge-20-185011150.html