S&P 500: 8 Cov Tshuag loj poob ib nrab ntawm lawv tus nqi raws li Dais Looms

Tseem xav paub yog tias lub lag luam dais yuav los sai sai rau S&P 500? Nws twb nyob ntawm no tam sim no rau tus naj npawb staggering ntawm US cov khoom lag luam loj.

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Ntau tshaj li ib feem tsib ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv S&P 500 tam sim no poob 20% lossis ntau dua los ntawm lawv qhov kev kaw siab tshaj plaws hauv 52 lub lis piam dhau los. Qhov ntawd tso ntau tshaj 100 S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam, suav nrog cov neeg loj heev xws li cov neeg siv khoom txiav txim siab Penn National Kev Ua Si (PENN), kev sib txuas lus ViacomCBS (VIAC) thiab kev kho mob Niaj hnub (MRNA), khov kho nyob rau hauv tuav ntawm lub lag luam dais. Ib qho 20% lossis siab dua poob ntawm qhov siab yog feem ntau txhais tau tias tus dais.

Yog li yog tias koj tab tom tos rau S&P 500 dais lag luam, nws twb nyob ntawm no yog tias koj muaj cov khoom lag luam tsis raug. Yim S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam tau poob ntau tshaj li ib nrab ntawm lawv cov nqi los ntawm lawv qhov siab. Cov tub ua lag luam poob $ 2.4 trillion tsuas yog xyoo no, hais tias Wilshire Associates.

George Goncalves, tus thawj coj ntawm US Macro Strategy ntawm MUFG tau hais tias "Qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev them nyiaj tsawg dua ua ntej, suav nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tiv thaiv kev nce nqi hauv 2022, tuaj yeem xaus rau kev nruj kev lag luam nyiaj txiag," said George Goncalves, tus thawj coj ntawm US Macro Strategy ntawm MUFG. "Qhov no tuaj yeem thawb kev lag luam rov qab mus rau ua ntej-COVID-19 stagnation lossis phem dua - xaus rau kev ua lag luam luv luv."

Scanning The Bear's Ravages Ntawm S&P 500

Nyob rau theem dav, S&P 500 tsis yog nyob rau hauv kev kho tsis tau - tsawg dua lub lag luam ua lag luam tag nrho. Tab sis qhov mob qhov pib yog twb qw ntawm ib qho kev xav tsis thoob ntawm cov tuam txhab ib leeg.

Tom qab hnub Tuesday qhov muag, S&P 500 tam sim no poob 4.4% los ntawm nws lub Ib Hlis 3, 2022, kaw siab. Qhov ntawd yuav tsis zoo tag nrho.

Tab sis nco ntsoov S&P 500 Kev Loj Hlob Performance index, kev ua lag luam kev tsav tsheb rau xyoo, nce siab thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 27 thiab tam sim no poob qis 8.5% los ntawm qhov ntawd. Tab sis tso cov khoom lag luam loj loj txaus ntshai ze rau 10% kho. Txawm tias qhov zoo li tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam Technology Xaiv Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) poob ze li 9% ntawm nws lub Kaum Ob Hlis 28 siab.

Thiab txawm tias qhov ncauj qhov ntswg tsuas yog mob ntau npaum li cas hauv S&P 500.

Saib Qhov phem tshaj ntawm S&P 500's Kev puas tsuaj

Twb tau plaub S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam poob qis 60% lossis ntau dua los ntawm lawv qhov siab. Tab sis qhov ntawd tsuas yog qhov pib ntawm kev ntaus.

Lwm yim S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam tau nqis los ntawm 40% mus rau 60% los ntawm lawv qhov siab. Thiab ib qho ntxiv 94 tau nqis los ntawm 20% mus rau 40%. Qhov ntawd tsis txawm suav nrog 158 S & P 500 cov khoom lag luam uas nyob hauv kev kho, tab sis tsis yog lub lag luam dais tseem, vim lawv poob ntawm 10% thiab 20%.

Tag nrho cov txheeb cais no, ib yam nkaus, qee qhov npog qhov phem npaum li cas qee cov tub ua lag luam raug mob. Ib tus lej ntawm S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam tau nce hauv "meme" mania tshwj xeeb yog pummeled. Shares ntawm lub tuam txhab twv txiaj Penn National Gaming tam sim no poob qis 70% los ntawm lawv qhov siab thaum Lub Peb Hlis 15, 2021. Cov Tshuag tau nqis ze li ntawm 18%, tsuas yog xyoo no. Koj puas yuav tau Penn National Tshuag tam sim no?

S&P 500… Rau Lub Hli?

Thiab ViacomCBS, uas cov kiv cua xav tias yuav "mus rau lub hli," tab tom mus rau lwm txoj hauv kev tam sim no. Shares tawm ntau tshaj 65% los ntawm lawv 52-lub lim tiam siab notched rau lub Peb Hlis 15 thiab. Thiab qhov ntawd yog tom qab tau nce ze li 17% xyoo no.

Txawm tias qee lub tuam txhab pob zeb-cov khoom lag luam loj hlob sai tau raug ntaus hauv kev muag khoom. Moderna, tsim ib qho ntawm lub ntiaj teb cov tshuaj tiv thaiv Covid-19 tseem ceeb poob ntau dua li ib feem peb ntawm nws cov nqi xyoo no. Qhov ntawd txhais tau tias cov tub ua lag luam poob qis dua 62% los ntawm S&P 500's 52-lub lim tiam siab thaum Lub Yim Hli 10, 2021.

S&P 500 cov tub ua lag luam yuav cia siab tias lub lag luam ua lag luam tsis tuaj. Tab sis rau ntau, qhov kev puas tsuaj tau ua tiav lawm.

Tus Xyooj nyob ntawm no rau cov S&P 500 Tshuag

S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam poob qis 50% lossis ntau dua los ntawm lawv qhov siab tshaj 52 lub lis piam

 Cov Khoom: IBD, S&P Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Thoob Ntiaj Teb

Ua raws li Matt Krantz ntawm Twitter @matkrantz ua

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