Vam tias koj txaus siab rau rally hauv S&P 500 Tshuag xyoo no thaum nws kav. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam twb tau hu rau qee qhov kev nce qib loj tshaj plaws kom poob.
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Shares ntawm Steel Ua Yeeb Yam (STLD), Neeg Muaj Cuab Yeej (NUE) thiab CH Robinson (CHRW), tag nrho vim poob 2% lossis ntau dua hauv 12 lub hlis tom ntej, hais tias Investor's Business Daily tsom xam cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm S&P Ntiaj Teb Kev Lag Luam Kev Txawj Ntse thiab MarketSmith. Qhov ntawd yuav ua rau qee tus neeg ua lag luam poob siab uas pom cov khoom lag luam no nce 5.5% lossis ntau dua xyoo no.
Lub S&P 500's dheev thim rov qab thaum Lub Ob Hlis thiab Lub Peb Hlis yog me ntsis ntawm kev hu xov tooj rau cov tub ua lag luam uas xav tias txhua lub tshuab yog mus rau cov khoom lag luam. Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tseem tab tom hem cov paj laum luv dua. Lub caij no, Tsev Dawb tab tom tham txog cov se ntau dua, suav nrog kev lag luam.
"Hmoov tsis zoo, peb nyob hauv ib puag ncig kev lag luam uas txhua qhov chaw cov ntaub ntawv zoo li cov menyuam yaus qhov kev ua si, lub teeb liab teeb ntsuab," hais Liz Young, Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam ntawm SoFi. "Qhov kev tshwm sim kev lag luam tsis ntev los no yog Fed Chair Powell cov lus tim khawv rau Congress, uas tau xa nyiaj pub rau yav tom ntej hauv kev nrawm. Lub teeb liab. "
S&P 500's Tau Txais Rau Xyoo Ntawm Kev pheej hmoo
Muaj ntau txoj hauv kev, pom S&P 500 muag xyoo no los ua ib qho surprise. S&P 500 tau dhia ntau dua 6% thaum Lub Ib Hlis ntawm kev cia siab Fed qhov kev nce qib loj tshaj plaws tau dhau lawm.
Tab sis tam sim no, tag nrho cov thesis ntawm dhia mus rau hauv S&P 500 tau ploj mus. S&P 500 tam sim no NW nyuam qhuav clinging nce rau xyoo ntawm tsuas yog 2.4%. Thiab tam sim no, qhov nruab nrab Tshuag hauv S&P 500 yog NW nyuam qhuav clinging mus rau qhov nce ntawm 1.4%.
Thiab qee qhov kev pheej hmoo loj tshaj plaws yog nyob rau hauv feem ntawm S&P 500 uas tau khiav ntau tshaj.
Steel Stocks hauv S&P 500 Qhia lawv cov xeb
Tham txog ib qho khoom lag luam kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias yog teem rau lub caij nplooj zeeg. Shares ntawm cov tuam txhab steel, Steel Ua Yeeb Yam, tau nce ntau dua 31% xyoo no rau 128.19. Qhov ntawd yooj yim ua rau nws yog ib qho ntawm cov khoom lag luam saum toj kawg nkaus hauv qhov ntsuas.
Tab sis cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias nws tau txais txoj hauv kev kom poob qis. Lawv tab tom hu rau cov Tshuag kom tsim nyog tsuas yog 110.50 ib feem hauv 12 lub hlis, lossis ze li 14% tsawg dua. Ntau qhov kev poob qis hauv Tshuag tau piav qhia los ntawm lub tuam txhab cov ntsiab lus. Xyoo tas los yog lub sijhawm boom ntawm Steel Dynamics. Kho cov nyiaj khwv tau los ib feem tau nce ntau dua 40% ntawm qhov kev thov muaj zog. Tab sis xyoo no yog ib zaj dab neeg sib txawv kiag li. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias lub tuam txhab cov nyiaj tau los yuav poob ze li ib nrab rau $ 11.98 ib feem.
Nws yog ib zaj dab neeg zoo sib xws ntawm kev sib tw steel tuam txhab, Nucor. Cov Tshuag tau nce ntau dua 27% xyoo no ib leeg rau 167.85 ib feem. Tab sis cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias hauv 12 lub hlis lub sijhawm cov khoom lag luam yuav poob ze li 12% rau 148.13. Cov hauv paus ntsiab lus qhia qhov sib xws. Lub tuam txhab cov txiaj ntsig tau dhia ntau dua 20% hauv 2022. Tab sis xyoo no, qhov kev thov muag muag yuav ua rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ntau dua ib nrab.
Tsis yog Steel xwb
Cov khoom lag luam hlau tsis yog tsuas yog S & P 500 cov tswv cuab kws tshuaj ntsuam tau ceeb toom tau nce ntau dhau. Lub tuam txhab Logistics CH Robinson yuav tsum tau poob ze li 10% hauv 12 lub hlis tom ntej, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais. Qhov ntawd yuav los ua ib qho surprise rau cov tub ua lag luam txaus siab rau lawv li 13% nce ntawm cov khoom lag luam xyoo no.
Puas yog tag nrho S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam nce xyoo no vim yog lub caij nplooj zeeg? Hardly. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tau kwv yees qhov nce ntawm tsawg kawg yog 18% los ntawm qhov nruab nrab cov khoom lag luam hauv S & P 500 xyoo tom ntej. Yog li thaum lawv txaus siab rau chij koj tawm ntawm qee tus yeej, nws yuav tsim nyog mloog.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais tias Cov S&P 500 Cov Tshuag Tshaj Lij Tshaj Tawm Txog Caij Nplooj Ntoos Hlav
Txhua tus xav tias yuav poob rau 12 lub hlis tom ntej, txawm tias nce 5.5% lossis ntau dua xyoo no
| lub tuam txhab | Ticker | Xyoo-rau-hnub % ch. | Implied downside | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steel Ua Yeeb Yam | (STLD) | 31.2% | -13.8% | ntaub ntawv |
| Neeg Muaj Cuab Yeej | (NUE) | 27.3 | -11.8 | ntaub ntawv |
| CH Robinson Thoob Ntiaj Teb | (CHRW) | 12.9 | -9.7 | Chaw Tsim Tshuaj |
| Expeditors International ntawm Washington | (EXPD) | 6.1 | -9.5 | Chaw Tsim Tshuaj |
| Rockwell Automation | (ROK) | 16.1 | -6.5 | Chaw Tsim Tshuaj |
| Clorox | (CLX) | 6.4 | -5.3 | Neeg Siv Khoom Siv Staples |
| Thawj Hnub Ci | (FSLR) | 41.1 | -4.9 | Information Technology |
| Robert Half International | (RHI) | 6.8 | -4.3 | Chaw Tsim Tshuaj |
| Snap-rau | (SNA) | 8.1 | -3.5 | Chaw Tsim Tshuaj |
| Ntim Corp. of America | (PKG) | 6.0 | -3.3 | ntaub ntawv |
| Franklin Cov Khoom Siv | (Ben) | 5.5 | -3.3 | Nyiaj txiag |
| Otis Thoob Ntiaj Teb | (OTIS) | 7.5 | -2.3 | Chaw Tsim Tshuaj |
Qhov chaw: S&P Ntiaj Teb Kev Lag Luam Kev Txawj Ntse, IBD
Ua raws li Matt Krantz ntawm Twitter @matkrantz ua
KOJ UA LI CAS:
Muaj Lub Ntiaj Teb Kev Txiav Txim Tshiab Raws li 4 Cov Khoom Loj Zoo Li Tesla Caij Nplooj Ntoos Hlav
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-stocks-up-big-this-year-are-due-for-a-nasty-fall-analysts-say/?src =A00220&yptr=yahoo