DURBAN, South Africa - Plaub Hlis 16, 2022: Cov khib nyiab loj ntawm Durban chaw nres nkoj tom qab los nag hnyav, av nkos, nag thiab cua hauv Durban. Lub chaw nres nkoj ua hauj lwm ua ib lub bulwark rau kev lag luam ntawm lub nroog Durban.
RAJESH JANTILAL / AFP ntawm Getty Images
South Africa txoj kev lag luam tau nce siab nyob rau thawj peb lub hlis twg ntawm lub xyoo, tab sis keeb kwm dej nyab hauv lub xeev tseem ceeb thiab kev hem thawj ntawm kev txiav hluav taws xob tsis tau pom dua tau ua rau nws rov qab los.
Lub nroog chaw nres nkoj ntawm Durban thiab dav dua KwaZulu-Natal xeev nyob rau sab hnub tuaj South Africa tau raug kaw los ntawm lub teb chaws qhov dej nyab loj tshaj plaws rau ntau xyoo hauv lub Plaub Hlis, uas tau tua ntau pua thiab cuam tshuam kev thauj khoom ntawm sub-Saharan Africa qhov chaw nres nkoj coob tshaj plaws.
Absa / BER kev tsim PMI - tau nce mus rau cov ntaub ntawv siab ntawm 60.0 hauv lub Peb Hlis - poob rau 50.7 hauv lub Plaub Hlis, nws qhov kev nyeem qis tshaj txij li thaum Kev tawm tsam hnyav tom qab yav dhau los Thawj Tswj Hwm Jacob Zuma raug ntes thaum lub Xya Hli xyoo tas los.
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa lub xeev thib ob uas muaj neeg coob tshaj plaws, kuj yog qhov chaw nruab nrab ntawm lub teb chaws qhov kev tawm tsam phem tshaj plaws txij li thaum kawg ntawm apartheid.
S&P Ntiaj Teb Composite PMI kuj tau poob rau plaub lub hlis qis, thiab hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom lub lim tiam dhau los, Peev Nyiaj Txiag tau hais qhia tias cov ntaub ntawv ntau zaus qhia tau tias kev rov qab los ntawm kev txav mus los tau nres.
Cov nuj nqis rau thawj peb lub hlis twg yog pleev xim rau ib daim duab sib xyaw, raws li JPMorgan tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag Sthembiso Nkalanga thiab Sonja Keller, tab sis taw qhia rau lub caij nyoog hloov kho peb lub hlis twg GDP kev loj hlob ntawm 3.5%.
Txawm li cas los xij, lub Plaub Hlis PMI qhov tsis txaus siab uas qhia tias muaj kev pheej hmoo poob rau JPMorgan qhov kev loj hlob 1.5% GDP kev kwv yees rau lub quarter thib ob. Nrog rau lub ntiaj teb backdrop ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog nyob rau hauv Ukraine, nce inflation thiab Suav mov kev tawm tsam, South Africa kuj tseem cuam tshuam nrog kev poob siab hauv tsev ntawm dej nyab thiab hluav taws xob rationing.
Ntau qhov kev poob qis hauv kev tsim PMI tau tsom mus rau qhov chaw nres nkoj thiab kev tsim khoom hauv KwaZulu-Natal, qhov chaw tsim khoom lag luam poob ntawm 60.5 hauv lub Peb Hlis mus rau 39.6 hauv lub Plaub Hlis.
Load shedding - lub txhob txwm kaw lub hwj chim nyob rau hauv ib feem ntawm ib tug hluav taws xob system los tiv thaiv nws tsis ua hauj lwm thaum overburdened - scaled loj hlob nyob rau hauv lub Plaub Hlis, nrog rau kev txiav hluav taws xob xyoo no tau kwv yees kom ntau tshaj qhov uas twb muaj lawm pom nyob rau hauv 2021.
JOHANNESBURG, South Africa: Cov neeg nyob hauv Soweto tuaj tos ze ntawm qhov nkag mus rau lub xeev lub chaw Eskom Chaw Ua Haujlwm ntawm Megawatt Park hauv Midrand, ze Johannesburg, thaum Lub Rau Hli 9, 2021 vim muaj hluav taws xob tsis tu ncua. Eskom, thaum Lub Rau Hli 9, 2021 tau tshaj tawm tias nws yuav siv kev txiav hluav taws xob thoob tebchaws vim muaj kev noj ntau ntxiv raws li huab cua txias tau teeb tsa thiab tawg ntawm ob lub tuam txhab hluav taws xob.
Duab los ntawm PHILL MAGAKOE/AFP ntawm Getty Images
Txawm hais tias dej nyab loj heev, kev txiav hluav taws xob ua rau muaj teeb meem zoo ib yam rau South African kev lag luam.
Lub xeev cov khoom siv hluav taws xob Eskom qhov muaj hluav taws xob muaj peev xwm - uas ntsuas cov hluav taws xob muaj raws li qhov feem ntau ntawm cov hluav taws xob uas tuaj yeem tsim tau - tau daig ze ze cov ntaub ntawv qis hauv lub asthiv tsis ntev los no, sau tseg Jason Tuvey, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam tawm tshiab ntawm Capital Economics.
Minister of Public Enterprises Pravin Gordhan tau ceeb toom tias Eskom tuaj yeem mus rau theem 8 kev thauj khoom, uas yuav ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntev txog 12 teev hauv ib hnub, txhawm rau tiv thaiv tag nrho lub teb chaws txoj kab hluav taws xob.
"Qee qhov kev poob siab xws li dej nyab tau pom meej nyob sab nraud ntawm tsoomfwv txoj cai tab sis, txawm tias tsis muaj cov no, kev rov qab los yuav txuas ntxiv mus ntxiv yog tias cov teeb meem xws li cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam hluav taws xob tseem tsis tau daws," Tuvey tau hais.
Lub International Monetary Fund yog kwv yees qhov GDP loj hlob tiag tiag, hloov kho rau kev nce nqi, ntawm 1.9% rau South Africa hauv 2022.
Eskom rau hnub Thursday tshaj tawm qhov kev siv ntawm theem 2 load shedding thaum 5 teev tsaus ntuj thiab 10 teev tsaus ntuj lub sij hawm hauv zos.
"Qhov pib ntawm lub caij ntuj no tau pom kev xav tau ntau ntxiv thiab qhov no yuav ua rau muaj kev txwv tsis pub muaj peev xwm thoob plaws lub sijhawm no, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum yav tsaus ntuj thiab sawv ntxov. Hmoov tsis zoo, qhov no feem ntau yuav tsum tau ua raws li kev ua haujlwm ntawm kev thauj khoom thaum yav tsaus ntuj, "nws hais hauv nqe lus.
Eskom rov hais dua tias kev thauj khoom thauj yog "qhov chaw kawg los tiv thaiv daim phiaj xwm hauv tebchaws" thiab hais kom cov neeg South Africa txuas ntxiv siv hluav taws xob "sparingly," tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum sawv ntxov thiab yav tsaus ntuj.
Ua tau Q2 contraction
Tsoomfwv tau tshaj tawm lub xeev muaj kev puas tsuaj los teb rau cov dej nyab thiab tau pib siv zog los kho qhov kev puas tsuaj.
"Txawm li cas los xij, peb cia siab tias lub Plaub Hlis yuav thim rov qab qeeb dua li qhov rov qab nrawm dua pom tom qab kev tsis sib haum xeeb lub Xya Hli dhau los, muab kev puas tsuaj rau kev tsim kho vaj tse, nrog rau kev ncua ntawm cov chaw nres nkoj," JPMorgan's Nkalanga thiab Keller tau hais hauv lawv daim ntawv tshawb fawb tshiab kawg. .
"Lub caij no, lub zog muaj peev xwm poob qis rau xyoo no, ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev txiav hluav taws xob ntev, thaum cov neeg siv khoom muaj peev xwm ua tau zoo uas yuav ua rau GDP loj hlob hauv 1Q yuav ploj mus rau lub quarter no vim yog lub zog yuav khoom nyem. "
Tawm tsam qhov keeb kwm yav dhau los no thiab qhov kev xav ntawm South African kev lag luam rau kev hloov pauv hauv kev lag luam sab nraud, suav nrog cov teeb meem thoob ntiaj teb cov khoom lag luam, qhov muaj peev xwm loj hlob qeeb hauv Suav teb thiab kev ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine, JPMorgan pom "kev pheej hmoo ntau ntxiv ntawm GDP kev loj hlob qeeb lossis txawm tias qhov kev cog lus no. quarter."
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/13/floods-and-electricity-shortages-south-africas-economy-threatening-downturn.html