Ib txhia ntawm Russia lub xeem pab tub rog zoo xav tau peb lub lis piam mus ntes ib nrab square mais ntawm Eastern Ukraine

Lub Kremlin tau txiav txim siab los ntes tag nrho Donetsk Oblast nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Ukraine thaj tsam Donbas. Lub cheeb tsam tom qab tag nrho yog lub rooj zaum ntawm cov neeg sib cais - thiab cov neeg nyiam Lavxias - Donetsk People's Republic.

Tab sis noj Donetsk Oblast txhais tau tias kuj noj lub nroog dawb ntawm Avdiivka, tsib mais qaum teb hnub poob ntawm lub nroog Donetsk. Thiab noj Avdiivka txhais tau tias noj cov zos nyob ib ncig ntawm nws, suav nrog Opytne.

Cov tub rog Ukrainian tab tom sib ntaus sib tua rau txhua qhov kev sib haum xeeb. "Tam sim no, ryzz tau nce mus rau qee qhov chaw, tab sis tsis ntau," Kenneth Gregg, tus neeg ua haujlwm pab dawb Swedish-Finnish ua haujlwm nrog Ukrainian tub rog, sau rau hauv social media, siv ib lo lus slang rau Russians.

Lub Kremlin's Donetsk gambit tab tom tig mus ib kos, nyob rau lub sijhawm uas Russia thiab nws cov phoojywg tsis tuaj yeem them taus kev raug mob - tshwj xeeb tshaj yog ntawm lawv cov kev tsim kho zoo dua. Donetsk cov tub rog cais tawm twb tau faus lossis xa mus rau tsev kho mob ntau tus txiv neej raws li nws muaj nyob rau hauv nws cov tub rog prewar. Tshaj tawm lwm 500 tus neeg raug mob sib cais sib ntaus sib tua tuaj txog ntawm Donetsk-cheeb tsam tsev kho mob thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 10 thiab Kaum Ib Hlis 16.

Tom qab poob ntau txog 100,000 ntawm nws tus kheej cov tub rog raug tua thiab raug mob txij li nthuav dav nws txoj kev tsov rog ntawm Ukraine pib thaum Lub Ob Hlis, Kremlin tau tsim 300,000 tus neeg tsis zoo siab, feem ntau tsis zoo thiab feem ntau cov txiv neej hnub nyoog nruab nrab thiab pib shoving lawv mus rau pem hauv ntej tom qab tsuas yog ob lub lis piam ntawm rudimentary. kev cob qhia.

Cov kws sau ntawv no phem tshaj qhov tsis muaj txiaj ntsig. Lawv haus cov khoom muaj txiaj ntsig, tuag yooj yim thiab nyiam tso rau thawj lub sijhawm. Raws li conscripts account rau ntau thiab ntau ntawm Lavxias teb sab tub rog lub zog pem hauv ntej-kab lus, commanders lean ntau hnyav rau cov seem ntawm cov tub rog pab dawb los coj tawm tsam.

Txhua qhov kev tawm tsam depletes cov tub rog zoo ntxiv. Nws yog ib lo lus nug qhib seb Avdiivka - thiab, los ntawm kev txuas ntxiv, qhov dawb ntawm Donetsk Oblast - tsim nyog tus nqi rau Kremlin. Tshwj xeeb tshaj yog xav tias, yuav luag txhua qhov chaw hauv Ukraine, cov Russians tau thim rov qab.

Yog lawm, pro-Lavxias tub txib los ntawm Pawg Wagner tau sim ntes lub nroog Bakhmut, pom meej rau txoj cai bragging. Thiab yog, cov tub rog Lavxias thiab cov tub rog sib cais tau nce mus ib puag ncig Opytne txhawm rau txhawm rau txuas lub peev xwm ib feem ntawm Avdiivka.

Tab sis kev ntes Avdiivka thiab Bakhmut yuav tsis muaj teeb meem ntau yog tias cov kab lus Lavxias tawg mus rau txhua qhov chaw - thiab tso tseg cov tub rog Lavxias hauv ob peb lub nroog uas lawv nyuam qhuav txeeb tau.

Nws muaj peev xwm pro-Lavxias teb sab rog - tshaj tawm suav nrog lub npe tsis zoo 1st Sloviansk Brigade - ntes qee lossis tag nrho ntawm Opytne lub lim tiam no. Nws yog ua tau, nyob rau hauv lwm yam lus, lub Donetsk separatists tau nce ib mais mus rau Avdiivka.

Tab sis nws tsis yog vim li cas lub koom haum rau Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Tsov Rog hauv Washington, DC piav qhia Lavxias teb sab kev quab yuam nyob rau hauv cheeb tsam raws li "limited." Ib tug neeg soj ntsuam kwv yees cov cais tawm tau txeeb ib nrab ib square mais hauv peb lub lis piam.

Nws yog lwm plaub mais rau Avdiivka. Qhov teeb meem, rau cov cais tawm, yog cov ntsiab lus ntawm Ukrainian 53rd Mechanized Brigade tau pib xa mus raws Avdiivka pem hauv ntej. Lub 53rd ua haujlwm T-64 thiab T-72 tso tsheb hlau luam thiab Fabkis ua Caesar howitzers. Nws yuav tsis yog tus zoo tshaj plaws Ukrainian tsim. Tab sis nws yeej tsis yog tus phem tshaj.

Lub 18 wheeled Caesars firing qhov zoo tshaj plaws 155-millimeter NATO mos txwv yuav tsum txhawj txog cov Russians thiab lawv cov phooj ywg tshaj plaws. Pro-Lavxias teb sab tub rog tau ua lawv qhov zoo tshaj plaws los tua cov Caesars thiab tsoo lawv nrog Lancet tua tus kheej drones - thiab rau lawv cov credit ua puas tsawg kawg yog ib rab phom loj.

Txawm li cas los xij, lwm 17 tus neeg ua yeeb yam tseem nyob ntawd. Nws yog ib txoj kev ntev mus rau Avdiivka hla lub plhaub-pocked struts. Txawm hais tias cov Russians ntes lub nroog - thiab qhov ntawd yog qhov loj yog tias - lawv yuav tsis ntev yuav khuv xim ua li ntawd thaum lwm lub hauv ntej tawg.

Ua raws li kuv ntawm kuv TwitterMus saib my website los yog ib co ntawm kuv lwm yam hauj lwm noXa kuv qhov kev nyab xeeb ntsis

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/11/19/some-of-russias-last-good-troops-needed-three-weeks-to-capture-half-a-square- mais-ntawm-Eastern-ukraine/