Koj yuav tsum yuav sterling tom qab UK cov ntaub ntawv nce nqi?

cov GBP / USD khub poob mus rau theem qis tshaj txij thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2020 txawm tias tom qab UK tau tshaj tawm cov ntaub ntawv muaj txiaj ntsig ntawm cov neeg siv khoom thiab cov tsim khoom lag luam. Cov khub tau poob mus rau qhov qis ntawm 1.2976 raws li nws hla qhov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ntawm 1.300.

UK inflation nce

Tebchaws Asmeskas tau tshaj tawm cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag muaj zog rau hnub Tuesday. Cov lej tau pom tias lub teb chaws tus neeg siv khoom lag luam nce ntxiv mus rau 8.5% hauv lub Peb Hlis raws li tus nqi hluav taws xob tau dhia. Qhov kev nce qib no tau zoo dua li qhov uas feem ntau cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tau.

Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?

Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.

Tib txoj kev no tshwm sim hauv UK. Raws li Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Txheeb Xyuas Hauv Tebchaws (ONS), cov neeg siv khoom tus nqi tau nce los ntawm 6.2% hauv Lub Ob Hlis mus rau 7.0% hauv lub Peb Hlis. Economists tau cia siab tias cov ntaub ntawv yuav qhia tau tias kev nce nyiaj nce los ntawm 6.7%. 

Tsis suav nrog cov zaub mov tsis haum thiab lub zog, UK kev nce nqi nce 0.9% thiab 5.7% ntawm ib hlis-rau-hli thiab xyoo-rau-xyoo, feem. Qhov kev nce no zoo dua li qhov kwv yees nruab nrab ntawm 0.5% thiab 4.4%.

Thaum cov neeg siv khoom tau pom muaj kev cuam tshuam nyiaj txiag muaj zog, cov tuam txhab lag luam tseem ua phem dua. Tus tsim tawm tus nqi ntsuas qhov ntsuas tau nce los ntawm 15.1% mus rau 19.2%, thaum PPI cov zis tau nce los ntawm 10.2% mus rau 11.9%, feem.

Cov lej no txhais tau hais tias Bank of England (BOE) yuav tsum tau ua ntau dua hauv nws txoj kev tawm tsam kev nce nqi. Tsis tas li ntawd, lub teb chaws cov nyiaj poob haujlwm kuj tau poob qis hauv ob peb lub hlis dhau los. Hnub Tuesday, cov ntaub ntawv qhia tias tus neeg poob haujlwm poob rau 3.8%, uas yog qib qis tshaj plaws hauv ob peb xyoos.

Cov khub GBP / USD tau poob qis tom qab cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag hauv UK muaj zog vim tias cov tub ua lag luam ntseeg tias BOE nyob rau hauv qhov chaw nyuaj. Thaum cov nqi tau nce, cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm hnub Monday tau qhia tias kev lag luam tau qeeb. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias UK tab tom hla ib lub sij hawm ntawm stagflation.

GBP / USD kev kwv yees

Hauv kuv daim ntawv tshaj tawm txog GBP / USD hnub Tuesday, kuv ceeb toom tias nkawm niam txiv yuav poob qis. Cov khub tau tsiv mus rau qis dua qhov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ntawm 1.300. Nws kuj tseem tau txav mus rau qis dua 25-hnub thiab 50-hnub hloov pauv qhov nruab nrab thaum MACD tau daig hauv qab theem nruab nrab.

Yog li ntawd, cov khub yuav zoo li poob qis thaum bears tsom rau qib kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb tom ntej ntawm 1.2900. Ib qho kev txav siab tshaj qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm 1.3130 yuav ua rau qhov kev pom tsis zoo.