(Bloomberg) - Nyob rau ib hnub thaum muaj kev kub ntxhov ntau tshaj li qhov kev cia siab luam tawm rattled Wall Street thiab dhau mus, qhov mob tau mob tshwj xeeb rau ib pab pawg kws tshawb fawb uas nyuam qhuav piled rau hauv kev pheej hmoo cov khoom lag luam nyob thoob plaws ntau qhov chaw ntawm kev xaiv lag luam.
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Cov tub lag luam tau nchuav nyiaj rau hauv ib qho kev sib cog lus bullish nyob rau hauv lub runup mus rau hnub Tuesday cov ntaub ntawv, ua ntej cov nqi plunged thoob plaws lub rooj tsavxwm. Cov ntawv cog lus muag tawm raws li cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tus nqi nce nce hauv Lub Xya Hli - ua rau muaj kev cia siab ntawm kev poob qis.
Hu rau S&P 500 nrog tus nqi tawm tsam ntawm 4,300 tas sijhawm thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis - uas ib tus neeg siv $ 90 rau hauv kev sib tham dav dav txog kev lag luam hnub Monday uas muaj nqis txog $ 80 lab - poob 40% rau $ 59.60 thaum 12:55 teev tsaus ntuj. hauv New York.
Cov ntawv cog lus betting lub iShares Russell 2000 pauv pauv nyiaj (ticker IWM) yuav nce mus rau $ 199 thaum lub hli kawg poob ntau tshaj li ib nrab ntawm lawv cov nqi mus rau 35 xees - tom qab ib tug neeg ua lag luam rau hnub Friday tau them 53 xees txhua rau 30,000 daim ntawv cog lus. Lub caij no, bullish bets txuas rau SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (ticker XBI) nrog tus nqi tawm tsam ntawm $ 100 tas sij hawm thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis, poob 42% rau $ 1.42. Tsis tau hnub Friday, ib tug tub luam tau snapped li 15,000 xws li hu rau txog $ 2.65.
Kev rov ua lag luam kev lag luam tawm tshiab qhia txog qhov tsis muaj txiaj ntsig ntawm kev sim ua ntej ntawm cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag, qee yam uas nws txoj hauv kev zoo li tsis muaj leej twg tau kwv yees kom raug txij li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau maj nrawm los cawm kev lag luam los ntawm kev kaw kev sib kis. Xyoo no, S&P 500 tau hloov pauv qhov nruab nrab 1.5% nyob rau hnub uas cov ntaub ntawv raug tso tawm, ob npaug ntawm qhov hloov pauv thaum muaj xwm txheej zoo sib xws hauv tsib xyoos dhau los.
Alon Rosin, Oppenheimer & Co. tus thawj coj ntawm lub koom haum kev ncaj ncees derivatives hais tias "Yuav dais tig mus rau hauv ib lub cuab tam rau tam sim no," said Alon Rosin, Oppenheimer & Co. Kev nyeem ntawv nyiaj txiag "qhia tau hais tias Fed qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev nce nqi ntawm 2% lub hom phiaj yog npau suav. Nws zoo li yuav yog kev sib ntaus sib tua ntawm kev muaj tiag ntawm kev lag luam piv rau cov tub ua lag luam ua ntej. "
Kev poob qis dua 3% hauv New York, S&P 500 tab tom nce plaub-hnub ua ntej thiab zoo li npaj rau qhov phem tshaj tom qab-CPI cov tshuaj tiv thaiv txij li pib muaj kev kub ntxhov thoob ntiaj teb thaum ntxov 2020.
Cov thawj koom ruam hauv kev ua lag luam derivatives tau leaning bullish txaus nyob rau hauv runup rau daim ntawv qhia. Qhov ntawd tau tshwm sim nyob rau hauv skew ntawm S&P 500, ib qho kev ntsuas ntawm tus nqi ntawm bearish piv rau bullish cog lus. Qhov ntsuas ntawm cov kev xaiv rau hnub Monday tau poob rau qhov kev sib tham thib plaub hauv tsib, hovering ze li peb xyoos qis.
Kom paub tseeb tias, qhov tsis tseem ceeb ntawm cov kev sib tw bullish wagers zoo li snapped los ntawm cov tub ua lag luam skittish raws li kev tiv thaiv lawv qhov kev tiv thaiv tag nrho. Nyob rau hauv Bank of America Corp. qhov kev tshawb fawb txhua hli tshiab tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, cov thawj coj nyiaj faib rau cov khoom lag luam zaum ntawm cov ntaub ntawv qis thaum muaj kev ntshai ntawm Fed-induced kev lag luam kev lag luam.
"Yog tias cov tub ua lag luam tab tom yuav hu ua lwm txoj hauv kev kom tau txais cov khoom lag luam ntev ntawm kev rov qab los tsis ntev los no uas nyuam qhuav derailed los ntawm CPI, lawv yuav tsis tas yuav phem dua," said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy ntawm Susquehanna International Group. "Hauv qhov xwm txheej ntawd, koj yuav tau ua tau zoo dua ntev dua qhov pheej yig hu rau sab nraud uas tsis yog yuav cov khoom hauv qab lossis ETF."
Tag nrho cov tib hnub Tuesday qhov kev ncaj ncees kev muag khoom rov pib dua ib qho qauv xyoo no uas CPI hnub tsis tau ua siab zoo rau cov tub ua lag luam. Nrog rau kev zam ntawm tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau lub hli ntawm Lub Xya Hli, S&P 500 tau poob txhua zaus cov ntaub ntawv tau tshaj tawm vim cov neeg siv khoom tau tuaj nyob rau hauv feem ntau kub dua li qhov xav tau.
Lauren Goodwin, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag thiab tus kws tshaj lij ntawm New York Life Investments tau hais tias "Daim ntawv tshaj tawm no lees paub kuv qhov kev tsis txaus siab uas cov tub ua lag luam tau cia siab dhau lawm tias Fed yuav ua rau qeeb nws txoj cai nruj dua," said Lauren Goodwin. "Qhov kev hloov pauv feem ntau tshwm sim los ntawm daim ntawv qhia txog nyiaj txiag lub Yim Hli yog qhov nce hauv kev nce siab ntawm no."
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