Russia tej zaum yuav qhia tau tias nws khiav qis ntawm Precision-Guided Munitions

cov Pentagon suav tias Russia tau tua ntau dua 1,200 missiles rau hauv Ukraine. Cov foob pob hluav taws loj tshaj plaws hauv huab cua no tso siab rau cov txheej txheem kev taw qhia siab tshaj plaws los mus rau, thiab qee zaum pom, lawv lub hom phiaj. Xws li cov foob pob hluav taws uas muaj tseeb (PGMs) yog kim, nyuaj rau qhov chaw thiab qee zaum tsis ntseeg siab - thiab Russia yuav ua haujlwm luv luv ntawm lawv.

Nyob rau hnub Monday yav dhau los luv luv, ib tus neeg saib xyuas tsis muaj npe laus hais rau cov neeg sau xov xwm, "peb xav tias lawv tab tom pib ntsib qee qhov teeb meem ntawm cov khoom lag luam nrog cov foob pob hluav taws, uas yog ib qho laj thawj vim li cas koj pom kev siv ntau ntxiv ntawm qhov peb yuav hu. cov foob pob tawg."

Qhov kev lees paub ntawd koom nrog ntau qhov kev soj ntsuam uas tshwm sim nyob rau hauv cov hnub tsis ntev los no los ntawm sab hnub poob xav tso tsheb hlau luam, cov tub rog qub tub rog thiab tshaj tawm xov xwm.

Lavxias siv Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic missiles (thawj paub siv cov foob pob hluav taws xob hauv kev ua tsov ua rog) tau nthuav dav pom tias xav tsis thoob los ntawm qhov kev xav pom. Thawj Tswj Hwm Biden qhov kev lees paub ntawm kev siv riam phom hnub Monday, tuaj nrog saib hais tias Russia unleashed lawv "vim nws yog tib yam uas lawv muaj peev xwm mus txog nrog kiag li qhov tseeb."

Qhov kev lees paub ntawd haum nrog Pentagon thesis tias Kinzhals kuj yog qhov muaj nyob hauv cov khoom lag luam poob qis ntawm Lavxias PGMs. Hauv kev tshwm sim hnub Sunday ntawm CBS Xov Xwm "Face the Nation," Tus Tuav Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Tiv Thaiv Lloyd Austin hinted tias qhov tsis muaj PGMs tau txhawb nqa lub foob pob hluav taws xob hypersonic. “Koj nug seb yog vim li cas nws thiaj ua qhov no. Puas yog nws khiav qis ntawm cov foob pob hluav taws uas muaj tseeb? Austin hais tias.

Bryan Clark, tus khub laus thiab tus thawj coj ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Nyab Xeeb thiab Tshuab ntawm Hudson Lub Tsev Haujlwm, hais tias Russia tseem tau xa xov, qhia nws lub peev xwm hypersonic mus rau sab hnub poob thiab txaus siab siv nws hauv kev cia siab ntawm kev cuam tshuam ntxiv kev cuam tshuam sab hnub poob hauv Ukraine.

Cynthia Cook, tus thawj coj ntawm Pawg Tiv Thaiv-Industrial Initiatives ntawm Lub Chaw rau Kev Tshawb Fawb thiab Kev Tshawb Fawb Thoob Ntiaj Teb (CSIS) pom zoo. Ntawm qhov tod tes, nws xav tias Russia qhov kev thov ntawm Ukrainian tshuaj riam phom khw muag khoom (thiab lub Tsev Dawb portrayal ntawm cov neeg pab leg ntaubntawv xws li ib tug kos npe rau Putin yog mulling lawv siv) tsis tas yuav taw tes rau ib tug shortage ntawm tactical precision riam phom.

"Qhov kev hem thawj ntawm kev siv riam phom tshuaj lom neeg yuav yog lub tswv yim rau txim uas tsim los ua txhaum txoj cai ntawm Ukraine kev coj noj coj ua thiab ntshai cov neeg pej xeem, thiab txawm hais tias nws zoo li xav tau, nws tsis nyob hauv thiab ntawm nws tus kheej qhia tias muaj kev tsis txaus siab rau cov foob pob hluav taws."

Txawm li cas los xij, siv cov riam phom hypersonic rau kev siv tactical tiv thaiv cov hom phiaj qis (cov missiles yog tshaj tawm raug rho tawm haujlwm ntawm Ukrainian roj thiab lubricants cia hauv paus) tau hu ua "lub taub hau khawb" los ntawm tus kws lij choj tiv thaiv nyob rau hauv cov lus piav qhia saum toj no.

Nws zoo nkaus li tsis meej pem ntawm ib sab ntawm Russia muaj ze li ob lub lis piam thov rau Suav riam phom, muab kev sib tw cuam tshuam nrog a paucity ntawm tsheb thauj khoom, thiab nws tam sim no-nyob rau hauv-txoj kev cobbled hloov tsheb thiab munitions los ntawm nws deb Eastern Military District los ntawm nkoj thiab tsheb ciav hlau hla Russia.

Clark hais tias "Nws yog qhov tseeb zoo nkauj [uas PGMs tab tom ua haujlwm luv luv] los ntawm qhov peb tau pom qhov kev siv riam phom hloov mus rau qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb," Clark hais. "Ib feem ntawm dab tsi [Russia] tab tom ua kev txhawb nqa lawv cov khaub ncaws - thiab siv qee cov cuaj khaum hightersonic convince lub [Zelensky] tsoom fwv kom tso tseg es tsis txhob sim kom tau ib txwm ua tub rog yeej. Lawv tau pom tseeb nyuaj-nias kom lawv cov riam phom tuaj. "

"Nws yeej tsim nyog xav tias Russia muaj teeb meem zoo sib xws nrog lawv cov khoom siv PGM," Cook pom zoo. "Kev taw qhia riam phom yog kim heev los tsim [ib tus nqi hluav taws xob Javelin ib puag ncig ntawm $ 175,000], thiab cov tub rog Lavxias yuav tsis muaj peev xwm yuav cov ntawv xov xwm tob txaus los txhawb nqa lawv lub zog ntawm qhov kev siv zog no rau ntau lub hlis."

Cook ntxiv tias DoD tau tawm tswv yim tias Russia tab tom xav txog cov khoom siv rau PGMs loj dua li Kalibr cruise missile tsev neeg thiab Iskander luv luv missiles. Nrog rau cov nqi no ntau lab daus las txhua tus, Russia yuav tsum tau ua lag luam tawm hauv kev txiav txim siab pes tsawg lub foob pob hluav taws los yuav thiab khaws cia. Lub Kalibr thiab Iskander yog cov cuab yeej cuab tam tshiab, nws taw qhia, tawm hauv tebchaws Russia sib piv me ntsis sij hawm los tsim cov ntawv xov xwm qhov tob.

Tsis zoo li Asmeskas, kev lag luam riam phom Lavxias yog tsim los ntawm cov tuam txhab lag luam hauv xeev, Cook hais. "Txij li xyoo 2000, Russia tau sib sau ua ke nws txoj kev lag luam tiv thaiv. Ob qhov kev tsim khoom loj ntawm PGMs yog Almaz-Antey thiab Lub Ntsej Muag Missiles Corporation. Ob leeg yog cov tuam txhab lag luam hauv xeev, ua rau lawv lub peev xwm thiab nyiaj txiag tsis txaus ntseeg. "

Txawm tias sab hnub poob tab tom ntsib kev nyuaj siab ntawm cov khoom lag luam ntawm Stinger tiv thaiv huab cua thiab Javelin tiv thaiv tank cuaj luaj nws tau xa mus rau Ukraine nrog. thov outstripping Teb Chaws Asmeskas ntau lawm. Yog tias Asmeskas thiab Europe muaj teeb meem ua raws li qhov xav tau rau PGMs, qhov ntawd txhais li cas rau Russia?

"Nyob rau ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas qhov kev lag luam tsis txaus yog qhov loj vim tias peb tau tsim cov riam phom no tsawg kawg [tseem tau] tus nqi tau ntau xyoo," Clark piav qhia. "Cov neeg tsim khoom muaj 'txoj cai loj' lawv cov kab ntau lawm uas txhais tau tias lawv txhais tes tsim ntau yam riam phom. Thaum koj tsuas yog tsim ob peb lub kaum os riam phom hauv ib xyoos, nws tsis muaj txiaj ntsig kom mus sawv [tag nrho] cov kab ntau lawm. "

Sab Russia nws hais tias muaj teeb meem kev tsim khoom ntau dua. Qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yog Russia lub peev xwm los tsim cov khoom siv hluav taws xob uas xav tau los ua kom cov phom sij ua haujlwm tau zoo. Ntau tus ntawm no los ntawm cov teb chaws xws li lub teb chaws Yelemees uas tam sim no tau txiav tawm kev muag khoom ntawm cov tshuab no rau Putin.

Cook tau hais tias "Kev lag luam riam phom Lavxias tau paub ntev txog nws txoj kev vam khom rau sab hnub poob," Cook tau hais. "Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm qhov kev cia siab no thiab kev nplua rau sab hnub poob yuav maj mam pib cuam tshuam rau Russia lub peev xwm los tsim PGMs."

Thaum Russia tau tsim nws tus kheej cov khoom thiab muaj kev paub txog kev tsim lawv, nws tseem ntsib qhov teeb meem ntawm kev nrhiav lawv cov tsev hauv paus, suav nrog cov khoom siv hluav taws xob high-end thiab cov ntawv luam tawm.

"Kuv xav tias qhov nyuaj uas cov Russians muaj tsis yog seb lawv puas muaj peev xwm tsim tau. Nws yog seb lawv puas muaj tus yuam sij [cov khoom siv] rau nruab, "Clark lees paub. "Ib txhia ntawm lawv cov PGMs nyob ntawm lub computer chips muab los ntawm sab nraud ntawm Russia. Lawv cia siab tias Tuam Tshoj tuaj yeem muab cov khoom ntawd. "

Tuam Tshoj tuaj yeem muab ntau yam uas Russia xav tau nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm PGM cov khoom, tab sis cov khoom yuav tsis zoo ib yam, yuam cov neeg tsim khoom Lavxias los hloov lawv thiab hloov mus rau cov khoom lag luam tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj. "Cov lus nug yog, nws yuav siv sij hawm ntev npaum li cas Russia los hloov cov khoom no?" Clark hais tias.

Txawm tias Tuam Tshoj tej zaum yuav txwv rau qhov nws xav theoretically txaus siab los txhawb Russia nrog. Lub teb chaws tau ua loj hlob zoo nyob rau hauv sawv ntawm nws tus kheej semiconductor thiab electronics manufacturing muaj peev xwm tab sis nws tseem tsis muaj peev xwm los ua high-end chips siv nyob rau hauv warhead nrhiav thiab kev taw qhia systems. Zoo li txhua tus neeg, Tuam Tshoj muab cov khoom no los ntawm Taiwan thiab Nyiv, muab tus nqi them rau nws tus kheej PGM riam phom thiab cov khoom lag luam.

Thiab rau qhov uas cov thev naus laus zis loj heev Apple tau pab Tuam Tshoj nce nws cov microelectronics game (ntawm zais cia kos npe los ntawm CEO Tim Cook hauv 2016) Tebchaws Asmeskas tuaj yeem muaj qee qhov kev txhawb nqa los ntawm kev txhawb nqa lub tuam txhab thiab nws cov thawj coj, Clark pom zoo.

Kev kwv yees ntawm Lavxias teb sab khoom siv ntawm PGMs thiab cov foob pob hluav taws yog qhov nyuaj los ntawm. Txawm li cas los xij 2019 daim ntawv qhia los ntawm Sweden Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Tiv Thaiv Kev Tshawb Fawb (FOI) tau tawm tswv yim tias tsis txaus Lavxias kev nqis peev hauv PGMs yog qhov tseem ceeb uas kev soj ntsuam sab hnub poob tsis quav ntsej, overrating Russia qhov kev tiv thaiv kev nkag mus, thaj tsam-tsis lees paub.

Kev saib xyuas ntawm Lavxias teb sab riam phom stockpiles tej zaum yuav yog lwm cheeb tsam sab hnub poob kws tshuaj ntsuam tau overlooked. Cov foob pob thiab cov mos txwv tsis xav tau kev saib xyuas ntau, tab sis lawv muaj lub neej txee. Cov no tuaj yeem ua tau ntau xyoo lawm, lossis nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv ntawm kev nce thoob ntiaj teb cov khoom ntawm cov foob pob / mos txwv nrog kev ua tau zoo-txhim kho cov ntaub ntawv Nanoenergetic (nEMs), nyob ib ncig ntawm ib xyoo caum.

PGMs yog qhov nyuaj dua, Cook taw qhia. Txawm hais tias tsis muaj kev tshaj tawm tsis txaus ntseeg txog qhov ua tau zoo ntawm Russia tswj hwm nws cov foob pob hluav taws, nws hais tias, "Nws yog qhov tsim nyog xav tias txij li cov txheej txheem no thiab kev muaj peev xwm tawm tsam lawv muab, yog lub hauv paus rau cov lus qhuab qhia Lavxias, lawv kev saib xyuas zoo dua li lwm tus. cov tub rog Russia."

Clark hais tias PGMs Lavxias feem ntau muaj lub neej txee ntawm li 10-15 xyoo thiab yog li tsis zoo li kev laus tab sis, "Kuv xav tias lawv tsis tau txais kev saib xyuas zoo heev los txiav txim siab los ntawm lawv cov tshuab zoo li lawv lub tsheb."

Tsis ntev los no Pentagon cov lus hais tuaj yeem txuas nrog lub tsheb ciav hlau ntawm kev xav. Nyob rau hnub Monday DoD cov lus qhia luv luv tus neeg ua haujlwm tsis muaj npe tau hais tias, "Peb kuj tau pom lawv raug kev ua tsis tiav ntawm qee qhov ntawm lawv cov foob pob hluav taws, qhov twg nws - lawv tsis yog - lawv tsis ua haujlwm. Lawv tsis yog - lawv yog - lawv ua tsis tiav. Txawm hais tias lawv ua tsis tiav los yog lawv tsis ua rau lub hom phiaj, lossis lawv tsis tuaj yeem tawg ntawm kev sib cuag. Yog li peb pom lawv muaj qee qhov kev tawm tsam nrog kev hwm rau cov foob pob hluav taws uas raug coj los ua. "

Qee qhov kev ua tsis tiav yuav tsuas yog muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau lub dav hlau, nkoj thiab av-launchers tua PGMs, Cynthia Cook posits. "Dab tsi yog qhov nyuaj dua los tswj yog cov platforms [PGMs] ua haujlwm los ntawm. Yog li, thaum lub plhaub tank tsis ua haujlwm ntau heev los saib xyuas, lub tank nws ua haujlwm los ntawm yog cov cuab yeej siv riam phom nyuaj nrog kev saib xyuas tseem ceeb. "

Raws li qhov tseem ceeb yuav yog qhov kev zam tsis zoo uas Russia tau siv nws PGMs Clark qhia. "Lawv xav zoo li lawv tuaj yeem tau txais yeej sai sai no thiab lawv tsis tshua paub meej tias lawv xa riam phom li cas. Tam sim no lawv muaj qhov tsis txaus. "