Russia thiab Belarus cia hem kom rov ua rau Ukraine. Nws yog ib lub tswv yim ruam heev.

Yim lub hlis dhau los Lavxias teb sab rog dov sab qab teb los ntawm Belarus, hla ciam teb nrog Ukraine thiab nthuav dav Russia ze li kaum xyoo ua tsov rog nyob rau hauv Ukraine.

Cov tub rog Lavxias tuaj ntawm Belarus - lub tebchaws uas nws tus thawj coj kav ntev ntev Alexander Lukashenko nyiam kev sib raug zoo nrog Lavxias Thawj Tswj Hwm Vladimir Putin - ntaus sab qab teb, tsom rau Kyiv tsuas yog 65 mais deb.

Lawv yeej tsis tau mus txog ntawd. Strung tawm raws txoj kev thiab txoj kev loj, lawv cov khoom siv los ntshav los ntawm kev tawm tsam tsis tu ncua los ntawm cov pab pawg txawb ntawm cov tub rog siv foob pob hluav taws hauv Ukrainian infantry, cov kev tsim hauv Lavxias tau nres, tawg tom qab ntawd rov qab mus rau hauv Belarus kom rov ua pawg ua ntej rov qab mus rau sab hnub tuaj thiab sab qab teb.

Tam sim no, nyob ib ncig ntawm 200 hnub tom qab, a thib ob Lavxias teb sab quab yuam ostensibly yog sib sau ua ke nyob rau hauv Belarus. Nws tsis paub meej vim li cas. Tab sis yog tias txoj kev npaj yog rau lub zog kom rov qhib sab qaum teb pem hauv ntej - zoo, nws yog ib qho ruam heev.

Lavxias teb sab tub rog nyob rau sab hnub tuaj thiab yav qab teb Ukraine tau rov qab los ntawm ntxaib Ukrainian counteroffensive thaum, thaum Lub Kaum Hli 7, Lukashenko tshaj tawm tias nws thiab Putin tau pom zoo rau kev xa tawm ntawm kev sib koom ua ke ntawm Lavxias-Belarusian quab yuam hauv "kev sib txuas nrog kev nce ntxiv ntawm ciam teb sab hnub poob" - pom meej. hais txog Ukrainian tawm tsam nyob rau hauv Kharkiv Oblast nyob rau sab qaum teb sab hnub tuaj Ukraine, ntawm Russia sab hnub poob ciam teb.

Tab sis tus thawj coj ntawm Belarusian "tsis tau hais meej meej txog kev xa tawm cov kev txwv," Washington, DC, Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Tsov Rog. sau tseg.

Plaub hnub tom qab, cov neeg ua haujlwm dav dav ntawm Ukrainian tub rog tub rog tau saib rau cov cim qhia tias cov Russians thiab Belarusians tau tsim cov kev sib ntaus sib tua tshiab. Belarus txuas ntxiv tso cai rau Russia ya dav hlau dav hlau hla Belarusian huab cua, cov neeg ua haujlwm dav dav tshaj tawm. Tab sis "cov cim qhia ntawm kev tsim cov pab pawg tawm tsam hauv thaj chaw ntawm Republic of Belarus thiab kev txav ntawm cov tub rog ... tsis tau pom."

ISW tom qab ntawd pom Belarus hloov mus, los ntawm kev tsheb ciav hlau, riam phom thiab khoom siv rau cov tub rog Lavxias hnyav ntawm nws qhov chaw nyob hauv Russia. "Belarusian cov cuab yeej txav mus rau hauv Russia qhia tias Lavxias thiab Belarusian rog zoo li yuav tsis tsim cov chaw sib dhos hauv Belarus," ISW piav qhia.

Nws yog qhov pom tseeb vim li cas Russia xav tau Belarus 'kev pab. Cov tub rog Lavxias tau poob ntau txog 100,000 tus tub rog raug mob thiab tua nyob rau hauv Ukraine txij lub Ob Hlis, thaum tseem sau tawm tsis pub tsawg dua 7,000 lub tank, sib ntaus sib tua tsheb thiab lwm yam khoom siv loj.

Lavxias teb sab tub rog yog fraying. Ib qho kev xav tau kev txhawb nqa thoob tebchaws uas tau pib lub hli tas los, officially aiming mus tsim 300,000 txiv neej, hloov yog petering tawm. Feem ntau cov kws kho mob yog cov laus thiab tsis zoo. Qhov zoo ntawm lawv cov cuab yeej "yuav luag qis dua qhov kev pabcuam tsis zoo ntawm cov tub rog yav dhau los," UK Defense Ministry hais tias.

Lub Kremlin tab tom xa cov neeg sau ntawv tsis tau npaj rau hauv Ukraine nrog ob peb hnub ntawm kev cob qhia xwb. Lawv nyob nraum surrendering los yog tuag sai li sai tau thaum lawv tuaj txog pem hauv ntej.

Tab sis Belarus cov tub rog 60,000 tus neeg tsis zoo dua li Russia, txawm tias nws is ntshav tsawg. Nws yog qhov ua tau Lukashenko tsis txaus siab rau kev sib tw, ntawm kev ua tsov rog poob, qhov kev sib ntaus sib tua me me uas nws lub teb chaws muaj.

Ces muaj huab cua. Nws tau ntub dej hauv Ukraine raws li nws tau txias dua. Cov av nkos thaum lub caij ntuj no yog qhov ua siab phem heev rau kev ua tub rog tawm tsam. Nws tsis yog vim tsis muaj laj thawj tias kev ua tsov ua rog hauv Ukraine zoo li ncua rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis thiab Lub Kaum Ob Hlis ua ntej rov pib dua tom qab av khov thaum Lub Ib Hlis. Yog tias Belarus xa tub rog nyob rau hauv Ukraine tam sim no, cov tub rog no yuav txaus siab rau ob peb lub lis piam ntawm huab cua zoo ua ntej tau bogged.

Tag nrho cov xwm txheej no tau coj Mike Martin, tus khub ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Tsov Rog ntawm King's College hauv London, mus rau qhov xaus yooj yim. "Cov neeg Lavxias thiab Belarusians tab tom taug kev nyob rau sab qaum teb ciam teb ntawm Ukraine," nws tweeted.

Cov tub rog Ukrainian tab tom faib nws cov tub rog ntawm ob qhov kev tawm tsam loj thaum Thaj npaj rau peb. Nws tsis muaj ntau pab tub rog zoo los tseg. Txhua yam nws yuav siv yog ob peb nqe lus thiab ob peb lub tsheb ciav hlau ntawm cov mos txwv los tsim kev xav tias kev tawm tsam Lavxias-Belarusian mus rau Kyiv yog qhov kev hem thawj tiag tiag. Qhov ntawd yuam cov Ukrainians kom muaj zog nyob rau hauv cia los tiv thaiv lub peev. Lub zog uas tsis tuaj yeem koom nrog kev tawm tsam lwm qhov.

Martin tau sau hais tias "Nws tsis paub meej tias lawv puas yuav hla ciam teb," Martin tau sau txog lub zog ntawm Lavxias-Belarusian. "Txawm li cas los xij nws khi cov tub rog Ukrainian, thiab yog li muaj kev siv. Qhov ntawd yog kev ua tub rog uas nws ua tiav txawm tias lawv hla ciam teb. "

Lavxias teb sab tub rog NW nyuam qhuav tuav nyob rau hauv pem hauv ntej uas lawv twb tau tsim. Qhib lwm pem hauv ntej inevitably yuav thin tawm formations uas twb muaj lawm ... thiab tej zaum yuav maj nrawm lawv swb.

Rau cov Russians, paib kev tawm tsam sab qaum teb nrog rau Belarusians yog lub tswv yim ntse, tsuav yog nws txo qhov siab ntawm cov tub rog Lavxias. Tab sis ua tau kev tua tawm kev tawm tsam sab qaum teb nrog rau Belarusians yuav ruam.

Qhov ntawd tsis tau txhais hais tias cov Russians yuav tsis sim nws, Martin mused. "Russia tau ua qee yam ruam zoo nkauj hauv kev ua tsov rog no thiab yog li koj tsis tuaj yeem txiav nws tawm."