Lub lag luam dais rau S&P 500? Cov theem yeej zoo li tau teeb tsa rau ib qho, raws li cov txiaj ntsig sib luag tau nce mus rau hnub Friday, tshaj tawm cov kev poob qis txhua lub lim tiam tom qab kev sib tham whipsawing.
Tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam tseem ceeb Ralph Acampora hais rau MarketWatch tias cov khoom lag luam tseem tab tom saib "lwm 10% lossis 15% los ntawm kev poob qis," raws li lub sijhawm ntev ntawm kev ntsuas siab los tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam.
"Kuv xav tias muaj ntau qhov tsis meej pem nyob ntawd," Acampora, tus thawj coj hauv kev lag luam ntawm daim duab qhia, hais rau MarketWatch, hauv kev xam phaj rau hnub Friday yav tav su. Nws kwv yees tias lub ntsiab lus ntawm capitulation rau feem ntau cov tub ua lag luam tseem tsis tau ua tiav hauv cov khoom lag luam, raws li nws qhov kev txheeb xyuas.
Nws tau hais tias "Kuv xav tias nws tuaj yeem tuaj rau ob peb lub hlis tom ntej," nws hais. Tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam tau hais tias nws xav pom kev txav mus los hauv Cboe Volatility Index
VIX,
aka VIX, nrog, tej zaum, ib hnub dhia ntawm ib ncig ntawm 50% pom raws li qhov taw qhia muaj txiaj ntsig, hauv nws qhov kev xav.
VIX nws tus kheej, uas siv S&P 500 cov kev xaiv los ntsuas cov tub luam kev cia siab rau qhov tsis hloov pauv nyob rau lub sijhawm 30-hnub tom ntej, sawv ntawm ib ncig ntawm 30 rau hnub Friday. Qhov Performance index nyhav nce raws li cov khoom lag luam poob thiab feem ntau yog vim li cas thiaj li raug xa mus rau raws li kev qhia rau qib ntawm cov neeg ua lag luam ntshai. Nws keeb kwm qhov nruab nrab nyob nruab nrab ntawm 19 thiab 20 thiab nws tau nce 10% txog tam sim no lub lim tiam no thiab 84% xyoo rau hnub tim.
Mus saib: Qhov nruab nrab dais lag luam ntev npaum li cas? Selloff tawm Dow, S&P 500 ze rau qhov pib.
Cov khoom lag luam, lub sijhawm no, tau poob qis.
Hnub Friday kev poob qis los tom qab qhov ntsuas tau qhib siab dua ntawm kev sib tham thiab tom qab Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab
DJIA,
thiab S&P 500 tau kaw lawv qhov qis tshaj plaws txij li lub Peb Hlis 2021 rau hnub Thursday, raws li Dow Jones Market Data.
Acampora pom ib puag ncig tam sim no, nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve nce tus nqi nyob rau hauv lub ntsej muag ntawm kev nce siab hauv kev nce nqi, raws li ua rau qhov kawg ntawm lub sij hawm ntev bullish theem ntawm cov khoom lag luam, uas tau raug cim los ntawm cov khw muag khoom lag luam coob coob rau hauv cov cuab yeej nrov thiab meme- ntsig txog kev lag luam.
Acampora hais tias "Kuv xav tias Robinhoods, lawv yuav tau txais lawv lub taub hau rau lawv," said Acampora.
"Thiab qhov ntawd yuav yog zaj lus qhia zoo rau lawv hauv kev nqis peev," nws hais, hais txog kev lag luam platform Robinhood Markets Inc.
KHOOM NOJ,
nrov ntawm cov tub ntxhais hluas txheej ntawm cov khw muag khoom lag luam.
Tseeb tiag, S&P 500 tau nyob rau ntawm qhov poob ntawm qhov poob mus rau hauv thaj chaw dais-kev lag luam, nrog qhov ze qis dua 3,837.25 kos rau 20% rub rov qab los ntawm qhov ntsuas qhov siab tsis ntev los no, uas yuav ua tau raws li cov qauv lees paub rau lub lag luam dais.
Dow, lub sijhawm no, yog 16% qis dua nws lub Ib Hlis 4 cov ntaub ntawv tiav, thiab Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
twb nyob rau hauv dais-kev ua lag luam thaj chaw thiab ncua nws tumble.
Nws tsis yog txhua yam kev ntxhov siab rau Acampora, nws hais tias tom qab kev lag luam thaum kawg "tshem tawm," thiab cov bulls uas tseem tshuav pov rau hauv lawv cov phuam, nws cia siab tias yuav rov qab los.
"Nws tsis yog qhov kawg ntawm lub ntiaj teb," nws hais.
Ib qho tseem ceeb uas ua rau tus kws tshuaj ntsuam ncua sijhawm nyob rau hauv nws lub sijhawm yog qhov loj hlob ntawm bears, uas nws hais tias tuaj yeem yog contraindicative, qhia tias muaj peev xwm tawg sai dua rau cov khoom lag luam.
"Txhua tus neeg tsis zoo thiab kuv tsis nyiam ua ib feem ntawm pawg neeg," nws hais. "Tab sis qee zaum cov neeg coob coob yog lawm."
Ntau tus kws kos duab xa mus rau Acampora kev hlub raws li "godfather" ntawm kev tsom xam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/robinhood-investors-are-going-to-get-their-heads-handed-to-them-as-bear-market-takes-hold-says-godfather- ntawm-chart-analysis-11653072277?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo