Rival Middle East Powers tam sim no ua rau ob tog ntawm Kev Tsov Rog European

Thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 13, Ukraine tus kws lij choj tiv thaiv tweeted duab Ntawm qhov seem ntawm Iranian-tsim Shahed-136 drone nws cov tub rog tau tua nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws sab hnub tuaj Kharkiv xeev. Qhov xwm txheej tau tshwm sim tsuas yog ob lub hlis tom qab Tsev Dawb tau tshaj tawm tias Iran tau muab "ntau pua" ntawm nws cov tub rog ua tub rog nyob hauv tebchaws Russia thiab tsuas yog ob peb lub lis piam tom qab thawj zaug xa cov tub rog drones no tau lees paub.

Nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb ceeb toom ntawm qhov tshiab nthuav tawm qhov tseeb sai sai: Lub zog Middle Eastern tam sim no muab cov tub rog drones rau ob tog sib ntaus sib tua hauv Russo-Ukrainian Tsov Rog. Keeb kwm, qhov no yog qhov kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb. Tom qab tag nrho, thaum lub sij hawm ntev ntawm Tsov Rog Txias, Tebchaws Meskas thiab nws cov phoojywg sab hnub poob, ntawm ib sab, thiab Soviet Union, ntawm qhov tod tes, tau muab ntau yam riam phom rau kev ua rog rau Middle East lub tebchaws. Qhov no tau ua piv txwv zoo los ntawm kev npau taws, ib txhij US thiab Soviet airlifts ntawm cov cuab yeej cuab tam thiab khoom siv rau lawv cov phooj ywg hauv cheeb tsam, Ixayees ntawm ib sab thiab tim lyiv teb chaws thiab Syria rau lwm qhov, thaum lub Kaum Hli 1973 Arab-Israeli Tsov Rog.

Tam sim no, raws li Tebchaws Europe tau dhau los ua qhov tsis txaus ntseeg thiab kev puas tsuaj loj tshaj plaws txij li thaum kawg ntawm Kev Tsov Rog Thoob Ntiaj Teb thib Ob, nws yog cov neeg sib tw Middle East lub zog uas tau koom tes nrog ob tog.

Bayraktars rau Kyiv

Qaib ntxhw pib muab Ukraine nrog nws cov neeg paub zoo Bayraktar TB2 drones ua ntej kev tsov rog no tshwm sim tom qab Russia lub Ob Hlis 24 ntxeem tau. Kuj tseem muaj kev sib tham ua ntej Lub Ob Hlis 24 los tsim lub Hoobkas rau hauv zos tsim cov drones Turkish ntawm Ukrainian av. Russia txoj kev ntxeem tau ua tsis tiav yuam Ankara thiab Kyiv tso tseg cov phiaj xwm no. Nyob rau hauv retrospect, nws yuav zoo tau unwittingly proven tau sped lawv.

Ankara tsis tau tso tseg kev muab Kyiv nrog TB2 drones tom qab Lub Ob Hlis 24. Qhov tseeb, qhov loj ntawm Ukraine lub nkoj zoo li muaj ntau dua ob npaug txij thaum ntawd los. Ua ntej ua tsov ua rog, Qaib ntxhw tau muab txog ob-teev TB2s. Txij li thaum tsov rog pib, Kyiv muaj tshaj tawm tau txais tsawg kawg yog 50 drones, nrog ntau dua ntawm txoj kev. Cov tub rog drones no tau ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb pab Ukraine tawm tsam Russia qhov ntxeem tau, tshwj xeeb thaum ntxov ua tsov ua rog Thaum Moscow muaj nws qhov chaw nyob rau hauv Kyiv.

Cov phiaj xwm tseem tab tom tsim los tsim lub tuam txhab Turkish drone hauv Ukraine. Lub Cuaj Hlis 9, Ukrainian Thawj Tswj Hwm Volodymyr Zelensky tau txais Haluk Bayraktar, CEO ntawm Baykar Defense, cov chaw tsim khoom ntawm Bayraktar drones, hauv Kyiv. "Peb tau tham txog cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev tsim kho lub Hoobkas Baykar hauv Ukraine thiab tsim cov khoom tshiab siv cov khoom siv hauv Ukraine," Zelenskyy tau hais tom qab lawv lub rooj sib tham.

Tsis tas li ntawd, raws li Qaib Cov Txwv lub xeev-khiav xovxwm, cov nroj tsuag Ukraine yuav sib sau ua ke tshiab Bayraktar Ainici drone (uas yog deb dua, muaj riam phom hnyav dua thiab siab dua li TB2) thiab lub dav hlau Kizilelma uncrewed fighter yavtom ntej.

Shaheds rau Moscow

Iran qhov kev xa khoom ntawm drones rau Russia yog qhov tsis ntev los no thiab nyob rau hauv nws cov theem pib. Raws li thaum ntxov 2019, Russia, raws li Iran lub xeev-khiav xovxwm, qhia kev txaus siab rau qhov muaj peev xwm tau txais qee qhov ntawm Iran lub hauv paus txawm tsim drones. Tehran tau tsim ntau yam drones, los ntawm kev tshawb nrhiav thiab kev soj ntsuam mus rau kev ua tub rog thiab "kev tua tus kheej" qauv, tseem hu ua loitering munitions.

Nws yuav tsis yog qhov xav tsis thoob yog tias Iran thiab Russia tseem muaj cov phiaj xwm los koom ua ke tsim Iranian drones ntawm Lavxias av, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum Moscow tab tom nrhiav kom tau ntau pua ntawm cov drones no raws li White House thov. Qhov kev txav no yuav tsis muaj qhov tsis tau pom dua rau Tehran. Tom qab tag nrho, nws qhib lub Hoobkas rau tsim nws Ababil-2 drones hauv Tajikistan thaum lub Tsib Hlis. Tsis tas li ntawd, Iranian drones kuj yooj yim los tsim. Tehran twb tau qhia qee qhov ntawm nws cov tub rog tub rog yuav ua li cas hauv zos sib sau ua ke lawv zais cia hauv cov tebchaws xws li Yemen thiab Iraq.

Ukraine tsis sib haum xeeb yog thawj tus uas Iranian drones tau siv sab nraum Middle East (Turkish-ua TB2s, ntawm qhov tod tes, tau pom kev sib ntaus sib tua hauv Syria, Libya, thiab Nagorno-Karabakh). Txawm hais tias lawv tsis zoo li yuav ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm kev ua tsov rog hauv tebchaws Russia, muaj qee qhov qhia tias lawv tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev hem thawj loj rau Ukrainian rog. Shahed-136s tsis ntev los no tau rhuav tshem ib qho ntawm Ukraine qhov ntev-ntev American-muab M777 howitzers, ib qho phom loj uas tau ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb, nrog rau Ukraine's American M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS), hauv kev tawm tsam Russia cov phom loj loj. Ib tug tub rog Ukrainian hais rau New York Times tias yog tias Kyiv tsis muaj kev tiv thaiv txaus, cov drones uas Iranian muab "yuav ua kom puas tag nrho peb cov phom loj." Raws li Thawj Tswj Hwm Zelensky, Ukraine muaj tua yim Iranian drones kom deb li deb ntawm qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb no.

xaus

Yog tias qhov kev ua tsov rog no rub mus rau hauv lub hlis tom ntej thiab xyoo tom ntej, nws yuav tsis xav tsis thoob yog tias muaj ntau dua thiab tuag taus Turkish thiab Iranian drones tshwm nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Europe sib ntaus sib tua. Qaib ntxhw thiab Iran yuav zoo siv Ukraine los ua lub sijhawm los sim lawv cov drones tshiab nyob rau hauv ib puag ncig nyuaj rau kev sib ntaus sib tua. Russia cynically siv Syria raws li ib tug “kev ​​cob qhia nyob rau hluav taws” rau ntau lub tshuab riam phom nws tsis tau siv hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua. Qaib ntxhw lub Akinci tuaj yeem ua rau nws qhov kev sib ntaus sib tua hauv kev ua tsov rog no hauv Ukrainian kev pabcuam. Russia thiab Iran, uas tau nthuav dav lawv cov tub rog-tsim kev koom tes txij li thaum pib ua tsov rog no, tej zaum yuav sib koom ua ke tsim cov drones tshiab tom qab kev ntsuas kev sib ntaus sib tua ntawm Iranian qauv uas twb muaj lawm hauv kev ua tsov rog no.

Tsis muaj leej twg paub tseeb tias yuav muaj dab tsi tshwm sim tom ntej hauv Ukraine. Txawm li cas los xij, kev nkag mus ntawm Middle Eastern-ua riam phom rau hauv European kev tsis sib haum xeeb twb tsis tau muaj dua nyob rau hauv keeb kwm niaj hnub no. Tsis yog Qaib ntxhw thiab Iran yuav tsis tuaj yeem tso tseg ob tus yeeb ncuab phem no txhua lub sijhawm sai sai. Yog tias muaj dab tsi, lawv yuav muaj peev xwm nthuav dav cov phiaj xwm riam phom no kom muaj nuj nqis thiab zoo, ntxiv rau Moscow thiab Kyiv txuas ntxiv kev sib ntaus sib tua rau yav tom ntej.