Hloov cov pej xeem, lub hauv paus kev lag luam hauv cheeb tsam kev lag luam lag luam rov qab yog cov tub rog … [+]
Sanford Stein, Getty, & Hawthorn Mall rendering
Muaj cov pov thawj tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm kev lag luam tom qab kis thoob qhov muag rov qab los hauv Central Business Districts (CBD's) ntawm peb lub nroog loj hauv Asmeskas. Cov lus piav qhia suav nrog kev txo qis hauv cov neeg ua lag luam niaj hnub raws li cov neeg xaiv los ua haujlwm hauv tsev, tsawg kawg yog ib nrab hnub. Tsis tas li ntawd, upticks hauv plawv nroog ua txhaum cai txawm tias ua ntej muaj kev sib kis tau pom tias ua rau muaj kev poob qis hauv CBD footfall. Tab sis muaj lwm yam "kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw" ntawm kev ua haujlwm uas yog qhov tseem ceeb.
Cov neeg nyob hauv nroog ntau txhiab xyoo tam sim no pib tsev neeg. Thiab ib yam li lawv cov niam txiv Boomer (los yog niam tais yawm txiv) thaum lub sij hawm lub tshav dav hlau suburban ntawm nruab nrab xyoo pua nees nkaum, cov Gen-Ys tau pauv lub neej hauv nroog rau suburban, lossis txawm tias nyob hauv exurban. Lawv txoj kev ntshaw rau cov vaj tsev thiab cov tsev kawm ntawv zoo dua, nrog rau kev lag luam kev lag luam rau "zooming" tau ua lub luag haujlwm hauv lawv qhov chaw nyob.
Ib Tus Kws Paub Nyeem
Kuv tau hu mus rau Moody's Analytics 'Tus Thawj Coj ntawm Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Lag Luam Thomas LaSalvia saib seb lawv cov ntaub ntawv puas txhawb kuv cov postulations; zoo li ntawd. "Qhov no yog raws nraim qhov kev xav los ntawm cov khw muag khoom vaj tse hauv New York, San Francisco, thiab Chicago." LaSalvia mus ntxiv. "Kev muag khoom ua raws tib neeg thiab tib neeg-tus qauv hloov pauv. Qhov tseeb tias cov chaw ua haujlwm loj hauv chaw ua haujlwm tsis tau coj cov neeg ua haujlwm rov qab mus puv sijhawm tau txo qis kev taug kev, uas tau cuam tshuam rau cov khw muag khoom hauv txoj kev. "
Raws li Moody's analytics vacancy stats dais qhov no tawm. Los ntawm thawj peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2020 mus rau lub quarter thib peb ntawm 2022 hauv plawv nroog Chicago cov chaw ua haujlwm muag khoom tau nce los ntawm 15.6% mus rau 18.2%, thaum Chicago metro qhov tsis txaus siab tsuas yog nce los ntawm 12.2% mus rau 12.4%. Hauv plawv nroog San Francisco cov chaw muag khoom nyob rau tib lub sijhawm tau nce los ntawm 4.5% mus rau 8.2%, thaum qhov loj dua San Francisco metro qhov chaw nyob tsuas yog txav los ntawm 4.5% mus rau 4.9%.
Hauv kuv lub nroog Minneapolis, CBD cov khw muag khoom yaig tau tshaj tawm. Txawm tias ua ntej muaj kev sib kis, cov chaw muag khoom nyob hauv plawv nroog tau nce los ntawm 10% txog 20%. Raws li Cushman & Wakefield
Nicollet Mall, ib qho tseem ceeb hauv plawv nroog cov neeg taug kev hauv khw, anched los ntawm tus hlub thiab bereaved Dayton's Department Store tau dhau los ua tus duab ntxoov ntxoo ntawm nws tus kheej qub. Neiman Marcus, Saks Fifth Avenue, thiab lwm lub teb chaws cov khw muag khoom tshwj xeeb tau kaw lawv lub qhov rooj. Feem ntau tau rub cov ceg txheem ntseeg ntev ua ntej lub nroog pib rau xyoo 2018, $ 75 lab kev hloov kho txoj hauv kev.
Tam sim no a task force ntawm City Council cov tswv cuab, cov thawj coj hauv tsev, cov neeg ua haujlwm, thiab cov neeg ua haujlwm hauv plawv nroog, coj los ntawm Minneapolis Tus Tswv Cuab Jacob Frey tab tom ua haujlwm los tsim ib txoj kev npaj "kev rov ua kom rov qab los" tom qab muaj kev sib cav ntxiv ntawm lub khw muag khoom kaw.
Lub "Shadow" Central Business District
Txawm li cas los xij, txhua yam tsis muaj kev puas tsuaj rau cov khw muag khoom hauv plawv nroog Minneapolis. Nyob rau hauv qhov tsis sib xws rau cov khw muag khoom uas tsis muaj nyob hauv plawv ntawm lub hauv paus kev lag luam hauv cheeb tsam, cov khoom yog bustling ib pob zeb pov rau sab qaum teb.
Minneapolis, zoo li Chicago, Milwaukee, San Francisco, Portland, thiab lwm qhov loj metro muaj "duab ntxoov ntxoo" hauv paus chaw lag luam. Cov hnab ris hauv nroog no tau dhau los ua cov hlau nplaum rau ob qho tib si NexGen cov kws tshaj lij thiab cov npliag nesters zoo ib yam. Lawv muaj hip lofts, qhov chaw ua noj ua haus, thiab kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm cov khw muag khoom tshwj xeeb.
Hauv Minneapolis, "txoj kev ntawm kev txias" yog North Loop warehouse koog tsev kawm ntawv, ciam teb los ntawm Mississippi River mus rau sab qaum teb, thiab chaw lag luam thiab kis las mus rau sab qab teb. Nws yog peb version ntawm Chicago's River West, San Francisco's North Beach, thiab Milwaukee's Third Ward cov zej zog. Lawv txhua tus sib koom DNA zoo sib xws, cov noob caj noob ces ntawm kev txo hwj chim, cov tsev qis qis nyob rau ntawm ntug ntawm cov nroog metro.
Cov chaw tsim khoom thiab cov chaw muag khoom lag luam no tau tsim nyob rau thaum ntxov 20th xyoo pua, tau raug saib xyuas thaum lub sij hawm loj ib nrab xyoo pua nees nkaum hauv plawv nroog rov ua haujlwm tshiab uas tau tshem tawm ntau ntawm peb lub nroog cov cuab yeej cuab tam nplua nuj.
Immune rau Recking Balls
Ironically, cov tsev warehouse me me no thiab thaj av uas lawv sawv ntawm yog "tsis tsim nyog demolishing" muab lawv qhov ze rau CBD cores. Yog li ntawd, lawv tseem siv tsawg, kev lag luam warehouses los ntawm ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo pua dhau los.
Insightful developers uas pib yuav cov khoom no paub lawv cov qab nthab siab heev, raug cib, thiab cov ntoo hnyav siv yuav tsum tau repurposed rau hauv siab xav khawb. Cov nyiaj tau los ntxiv yog lawv cov chaw lag luam theem kev lag luam uas yuav nkag mus rau hauv khw kas fes, khw noj mov, tuav, thiab cov khw muag khoom hauv zos.
Hauv cheeb tsam North Loop, cov neeg ua haujlwm hais tias muaj chaw lag luam tsawg dua tam sim no dua li ua ntej muaj kev sib kis. Thiab thoob plaws lub tebchaws zoo sib xws tab tom ua si. Deb Carlson, Tus thawj coj loj ntawm Cushman & Wakefield cov khw muag khoom pab pawg, tau hais txog lub zog ntawm cov khw muag khoom vaj tsev kom rov muaj kev txaus siab ntawm cov neeg siv khoom hauv cov khw muag khoom me me.
Tshiab "Instant Downtowns" hauv Burbs
Qhov kev hloov pauv ntau txhiab xyoo dhau los yog tshwm sim ntawm qhov sib txawv tshwj xeeb hauv kev muag khoom hauv nroog. Kev poob ntawm ntau lub khw muag khoom, cov khw muag khoom tshwj xeeb thiab kev poob qis hauv kev poob qis, ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm lub teb chaws Class-B, thiab Class-C khw muag khoom. Xws li "mall fall" yuav ua rau ntau tus neeg thaum kawg succumbing rau lub bulldozer.
Lub caij no, cov tswv lag luam A-chav zoo tshaj plaws thiab cov neeg tsim khoom tau nyob hauv hom triage, vim tias ntau cov khoom tab tom ua rau cov neeg xauj tsev remixing thiab kho dua tshiab. Txawm li cas los xij, ib pab pawg neeg pom ntau dua ntawm cov tswv thiab cov neeg tsim khoom uas nkag siab txog qhov cuam tshuam loj ntawm kev lag luam sib koom ua ke thiab "cov khw muag khoom tshiab" tau rov sau cov ntawv ua si hauv khw, tag nrho.
Transactional mus rau Experiential
Cov khw muag khoom thiab cov khoom lag luam uas ib zaug tsom mus rau kev lag luam yuav tsum tam sim no nce lawv cov khoom lag luam mus rau cov khw muag khoom ua yeeb yam uas cov khw muag khoom tau dhau los ua qhov chaw sim. Yuav kom ua tau raws li cov kev xav tau tshiab no, tag nrho cov kev npaj thiab kev tsim vaj tsev yuav tsum tau reprogrammed los txhawb kev sib koom tes ntawm tib neeg. Nws yog ib txoj kev npaj ua si sib txawv heev.
Ntau yam ntawm cov khoom lag luam tau yug los ua cov khw muag khoom qhib hauv xyoo 1950 txog xyoo 1970 thiab tom qab hloov mus rau hauv cov khw muag khoom hauv xyoo 1980's. Tam sim no ntau tus yuav morph rau hauv sib xyaw-siv Centers, ntawm steroids.
Cov chaw tsim kho tshiab tshiab tau rov xav txog lawv cov khw thiab cov chaw rau hauv "hauv plawv nroog tam sim." Txoj hauv kev no muaj tsawg dua nrog kev tswj xyuas qhov chaw muag khoom xauj tsev thiab ntau ntxiv txog kev tsim cov zej zog tshiab.
Formula Yeej
Cov qauv tshiab no suav nrog ntau tsev neeg, cov khw muag khoom qhib cua, ntau yam khoom noj thiab kev lom zem, chaw ua haujlwm sib koom ua ke, kev kho mob, kev noj qab haus huv, chaw tawm dag zog, rov ua lag luam, thiab txawm tias kev lag luam ua liaj ua teb. Lawv tau tsim los thov kom rov hais dua rau cov neeg ua haujlwm hauv tsev millennials thiab cov nesters khoob.
Lub teb chaws cov hom lag luam uas ib zaug tau tswj hwm lub khw txoj kev hauv tsev yuav raug txhawb nqa los ntawm cov khw muag khoom hauv cheeb tsam thiab hauv zos nrog rau cov chaw tsim khoom rau lub sijhawm luv luv thiab "pop-ups" ua kom cov khoom muaj zog thiab cuam tshuam. Txawm tias cov kws ua zaub mov-tsav cov khw noj mov, thiab cov tsev noj mov yuav coj qhov chaw ntawm cov chaw tsim khoom lag luam, kom ua raws li cov neeg nyob hauv nroog uas cov neeg tshiab suburbanites tseg.
Chaw nres tsheb rau chaw nres tsheb
Nrog rau qhov tseem ceeb tshiab ntawm kev taug kev thiab "lub sijhawm nyob" hauv thiab ib puag ncig cov zej zog tshiab no, cov neeg tsim khoom nkag siab txog cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov chaw ntsuab ntsuab, thiab cov chaw ua si sab nraum zoov kom ua rau "qhov chaw." Raws li Dallas Centennial Real Estate redevelopment ntawm Hawthorn Mall nyob rau hauv Chicago suburb ntawm Vernon Hills yog nkag mus rau nws thib ob theem thiab yuav suav nrog peb-acre sab nraum zoov ua si thiab plaza.
Pib tsim xyoo 1973, Hawthorn Mall redevelopment, thawj zaug tshaj tawm nyob rau hauv 2019, suav nrog cov khw muag khoom tshiab thiab noj mov, khoom kim heev ntau tsev neeg thiab cov chaw sib sau ua ke sab hauv / sab nraum zoov. Kev nthuav dav Hawthorn 2.0 cov phiaj xwm suav nrog 162 chav tsev ntawm cov tsev laus, 25,000-square-foot khw muag khoom noj thiab 109,000 square feet ntawm cov khw muag khoom qhib. Jeff Rutzen, tus thawj coj ntawm lub chaw hais tias lub hom phiaj yog "tsim kom muaj lub neej niaj hnub, txuas nrog hnub mus rau hmo ntuj."
The Take Away
Tsuas yog cov neeg tsim khoom uas ua rau cov khoom no nrog "huv slate" kev xav, thiab cov hnab ris tob heev yuav tsim cov zej zog ruaj khov. Lub Litmus sim lub khw muag khoom "rov tsim dua tshiab" yuav yog seb cov haujlwm ua haujlwm yuav raug pom zoo li cov khw muag khoom lossis lwm yam nkaus.
Txaus siab rau nws hais txog kev sib koom ua ke ntawm kev lag luam e-lag luam txoj kev loj hlob, kev kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, thiab lub neej tom ntej ntawm 72 lab-ntxiv txhiab xyoo tau pab txhawb rau cov neeg tshiab cov qauv. Lub ripple nyhuv ntawm xws li tectonic hloov yuav hnov nyob rau hauv peb lub zos thiab suburbs rau ntau xyoo tom ntej.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sanfordstein/2023/01/01/retail-follows-people-enter-the-shadow-central-business-districts-and-suburban-instant-downtowns/