Ray Dalio hais tias saib xyuas cov nqi nce mus txog qib no, vim tias Wall Street cov khoom lag luam yuav siv 20% ntaus

Thiab nws tau muab qee qhov kev kwv yees ncaj ncees tawm rau ntawd. "Kuv kwv yees tias qhov nce ntawm cov nqi los ntawm qhov chaw lawv mus txog 4.5% yuav tsim txog 20% ​​kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau cov nqi ncaj ncees," Dalio tau hais hauv ib tsab ntawv. LinkedIn ncej hnub Tuesday.

Ib txhia yog kwv yees Fed tuaj yeem nce cov paj laum los ntawm 100 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau lub lim tiam tom ntej, qhov kev txav mus los tsis pom txij li qhov sib txawv ntawm 80s. Lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab lub sij hawm luv luv hovers ntawm 2.25% mus rau 2.5%, tab sis Nomura, rau ib qho, pom tus nqi ntawd mus rau 4.75% los ntawm 2023.

Tab sis Dalio xav tias cov paj laum tuaj yeem ncav cuag qhov kawg siab dua ntawm 4.5%-rau-6%. Nws hais tias "Qhov no yuav ua rau kev lag luam qiv nyiaj qis qis qis, uas yuav ua rau kev siv nyiaj ntiag tug, thiab yog li kev lag luam poob nrog nws," nws hais.

Tom qab qhov kev kwv yees no yog Bridgewater Associates tus tsim kev ntseeg tias kev lag luam yog qhov tsis txaus ntseeg qhov kev nce nqi yuav xaus - ntawm 2.6% nyob rau 10 xyoo tom ntej piv rau qhov nws pom li 4.5% mus rau 5% hauv nruab nrab lub sij hawm, txwv tsis pub muaj kev poob siab.

Nyeem: Vim li cas ib daim ntawv qhia txog kev nce nqi hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau ua rau lub ntiaj teb kev lag luam nyiaj txiag - thiab dab tsi los tom ntej

Raws li qhov tshwm sim thaum tib neeg pib poob nyiaj hauv kev lag luam - qhov hu ua "muaj txiaj ntsig zoo" - nws xav tias yuav siv nyiaj tsawg dua vim lawv thiab lawv cov qiv nyiaj loj hlob ceev faj.

"Lub upshot yog tias nws zoo nkaus li rau kuv tias kev nce nqi yuav nyob twj ywm siab dua li cov neeg thiab Fed xav kom nws ua (thaum lub xyoo dhau los tus nqi nce xyoo yuav poob), cov paj laum yuav nce mus, lwm yam. kev lag luam yuav poob qis, thiab tias kev lag luam yuav tsis muaj zog dua li qhov xav tau, thiab qhov ntawd tsis muaj kev xav rau qhov kev cuam tshuam loj zuj zus ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb sab hauv thiab sab nraud thiab lawv cov teebmeem. "

Hnov los ntawm Ray Dalio ntawm MarketWatch's Cov tswv yim tshiab zoo tshaj plaws hauv Nyiaj Festival Lub Cuaj Hlis 21 thiab 22 hauv New York. Tus thawj saib xyuas nyiaj txiag muaj kev xav zoo txog qhov twg kev lag luam mus.

Cov kev lag luam

stocks
SPX,
+ 0.02%

DJIA,
+ 0.18%

COMP,
+ 0.05%
yog qis dua li kev lag luam tau pib, raws li Nyiaj Txiag yields
TUBMUSD 10Y,
3.443%

TUBMUSD 02Y,
3.835%
nce toj thiab duas
DXY,
-0.08%
ruaj.

Cov nqi roj
CL.1,
-3.21%
tau txais whacked, nrog rau kub
GC00,
-0.76%.
Tuam Tshoj cov khoom lag luam
SHCOMP,
-1.16%

TSSI,
+ 0.44%
slipped tom qab lub teb chaws lub central bank tshuav nqi tsis hloov. European natural-gas nqi
GWM 00
+ 1.92%
rov sawv rov los. Bitcoin
BTCUSD,
+ 1.13%
yog trading ntawm tshaj $20,000 xwb.

Lub buzz

Shares ntawm Union Pacific
UNP,
+ 2.37%,
Norfolk yav qab teb 
NSC,
+ 2.08%
thiab CSX
CSX,
-1.50%
 tab tom tawm tsam tom qab Tsev Dawb hais tias nws muaj mus txog qhov kev pom zoo railway nrog cov koom haum. Tsis muaj kev pom zoo los ntawm hnub Friday yuav txhais tau tias muaj kev tawm tsam thiab kev puas tsuaj rau muab saw hlau, nplej lag luam thiab txawm cov hnub so uas yuav losCov. Nyeem ntxiv no.

Lub yim hli ntuj khw muag khoom nce qhov muaj zog tshaj li qhov xav tau 0.3% Raws li cov neeg Asmeskas siv cov tsheb tshiab thaum cov ntawv thov tsis ua haujlwm txhua lub limtiam tau qis dua rau lub lim tiam thib tsib thiab cov nqi ntshuam poob 1%. Lwm qhov, lub teb chaws Ottoman State kev lag luam Performance index perked mus rau lub heels ntawm ib tug sib sib zog nqus kev nyeem ntawv tsis zoo, tab sis lub Philly Fed Hoobkas Performance index ua phem. Industrial ntau lawm softened.

Adobe shares
ADBE,
-12.20%
tab tom poob tom qab daim ntawv tshaj tawm lub tuam txhab software tab tom nrhiav $ 20 billion deal los yuav cov duab tsim pib Figma .

Vitalik Buterin, ib tug ntawm cov co-founder ntawm Ethereum, hais tias lub npe hu ua "merge" ua tiav, lub ntsiab lus yug ntawm ib puag ncig tus phooj ywg crypto ntau dua. Ethereum
ETHUSD, UA
-1.18%
yog nce me ntsis tam sim no.

Kev foob tshiab thov Tesla
TSLA,
+ 1.65%
tau cog lus tsis tseeb dhau Autopilot thiab Full Self Driving nta. Thiab txav mus dhau Tesla, Apple
AAPL,
-0.39%
is Tam sim no Wall Street tus thawj koom ruam luv luv.

Ericsson
ERIC,
-2.79%

ERICA,
-1.52%

ERIC IB,
-2.86%
Nws tau nqis los ntawm kev txo qis dua ob zaug ntawm Credit Suisse, uas hais txog kev nce nqi nce ntxiv. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam nqa Nokia
NOKIA,
-0.91%

TSIS,
-0.61%
kom outperform, txawm tias cov Tshuag yog NW nyuam qhuav txav.

Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management mus rau ib tug dip-muas spree Tom qab hnub Tuesday lub lag luam meltdown, scooping nce Chiefly Roku
ROKU,
+ 8.09%.

Tswvyim: Pinterest yeej tsis xav tias nws tus kheej yog social network. Txog tam sim no.

Patagonia billionaire Yvon Chouinard yog pub nws lub tuam txhab tag nrho - tsim nyog $ 3 nphom - rau kev sib ntaus huab cua.

Qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm lub vev xaib

Tsis muaj US shale cawm rau Europe.

Qaib ntxhw pom ib qho ntxiv $ 24.4 nphom nyob ib puag ncig.

Queue ua kev hwm rau poj huab tais yog 2.6 mais ntev thiab suav.

Cov tickers

Cov no yog cov neeg tshawb nrhiav saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm MarketWatch thaum 6 teev sawv ntxov Eastern Time:

Random nyeem

Cov kws tshawb fawb sim qhia cov neeg hlau lub sijhawm ua yeeb yam

Qos yaj ywm, mozzarella, batter. Ntsib South Kauslim tus kub dev.

Xav paub kom paub pib thaum ntxov thiab raug kho kom txog thaum qhib lub tswb nrov, tab sis sau npe tuaj ntawm no kom nws tau xa nws ib zaug rau koj lub npov email. Lub emailed yuav xa tawm thaum txog 7: 30 teev sawv ntxov.