Cov neeg khiav tawm ntawm tus kheej tshaj tawm Donetsk Cov Neeg Sawv Cev Hauv Tebchaws taug kev mus rau Lavxias Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Kub Ntxhov Kub Ceev hauv lub zos Veselo-Voznesenka ntawm ntug dej hiav txwv Azov, thaum Lub Ob Hlis 19, 2022.
Andrey Borodulin | Afp | Cov duab Getty
Raws li kev kub ntxhov hauv Ukraine nthuav dav, cov tebchaws nyob sib ze tau saib xyuas qhov kev poob qis.
Cov teb chaws thoob plaws ntiaj teb tau tsim cov kev txwv tsis pub dhau los ntawm Moscow, tab sis kev lag luam thiab kev ua tub rog cuam tshuam ntawm Russia kev cuam tshuam Ukrainian tsuas yog ib feem ntawm daim duab.
Cov teb chaws Europe tau txhawj xeeb tias qhov kev tawm tsam tag nrho tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov loj rau cov neeg tsiv teb tsaws chaw - yam tsis tau pom txij li Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum II - nrog rau cov nqi tib neeg, kev nom kev tswv thiab kev sib raug zoo rau ob qho tib si rau cov neeg tawg rog Ukrainian thiab lub teb chaws uas lawv khiav.
Tseeb tiag, qee lub tebchaws nyob sab Europe tseem tab tom npaj npaj.
Poland, uas muaj kwv yees li 530-kilometer av ciam teb nrog Ukraine, tau hais lub hli tas los tias nws tab tom npaj rau txog li 1 lab tus neeg tawg rog Ukrainian, uas lawv npaj yuav tsev nyob hauv hostels, dormitories thiab chaw ua si. Nyob ze Romania tau cia siab tias yuav muaj kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw nyob hauv "ntau pua txhiab tus," thaum Slovakia thiab Czech koom pheej tau kwv yees cov kev nkag mus hauv kaum tawm txhiab.
Txawm li cas los xij, qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev hloov pauv hauv Ukraine, txawm li cas los xij, txhais tau tias qhov ntsuas ntawm cov peev txheej ntawm cov neeg tsiv teb tsaws chaw tseem tsis tau paub.
"Raws li cov teb chaws Europe muaj kev txhawj xeeb, nws yog ib qho ntawm cov kev cuam tshuam loj tshaj plaws ntawm qhov kev kub ntxhov no," Oksana Antonenko, tus thawj coj ntawm kev soj ntsuam kev pheej hmoo thoob ntiaj teb ntawm Kev Tswj Risks, hais rau CNBC hnub Tuesday.
Ib qho kev ntxeem tau tag nrho tuaj yeem hloov pauv ntau lab
Ukraine, lub tsev rau kwv yees li 44 lab, pom kev hloov pauv sab hauv ntawm ib ncig ntawm 1.5 lab tus tib neeg tom qab Russia lub 2014 annexation ntawm Crimea. Lwm tus tseem tsiv mus rau Russia.
Lavxias txoj haujlwm ua ntej lub lim tiam no txhawm rau ntes cov neeg ntxeev siab-tswj thaj tsam Donetsk thiab Luhansk tau pom tias yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam zoo li kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw sab hauv thiab sab hnub tuaj, txawm hais tias muaj qhov sib txawv. Tseeb tiag, ntau twb tau thauj mus rau Russia.
Tab sis hnub Thursday qhov kev cuam tshuam ntxiv mus rau hauv nruab nrab thiab sab hnub poob Ukraine tuaj yeem muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua, cov kws tshaj lij tau ceeb toom.
Tsoomfwv Meskas tau kwv yees tias kev cuam tshuam ntawm Ukraine tuaj yeem ua rau ib txog tsib lab Ukrainians khiav tawm ntawm qhov chaw sib ntaus sib tua. Ukraine tus kws lij choj tiv thaiv tau muab daim duab ntawd ze rau peb mus rau tsib lab.
Yog tias qhov ntawd tshwm sim, peb yeej tham txog ntau pua txhiab yog tias tsis yog lab tus neeg tawg rog.
Oksana Antonenko: koj puas xav tau ntau tus thwjtim?
Tus thawj coj ntawm lub ntiaj teb kev pheej hmoo tsom xam ntawm Kev Tswj Risks
"Yog tias qhov ntawd tshwm sim, peb yeej tham txog ntau pua txhiab yog tias tsis yog lab tus neeg tawg rog, thiab lawv feem ntau yuav khiav mus rau Tebchaws Europe dua li Russia," Antonenko tau hais.
"Yog tias koj tau xaus nrog cov neeg Lavxias nyob hauv Ukraine, cov ntawd yuav yog cov neeg tawg rog nyob sab Europe ntev dua," ntxiv Rodger Baker, Stratfor tus thawj coj laus rau kev tsom xam ntawm Rane.
Poland, Hungary thiab Slovakia tseem ceeb tau txais
Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, tus tsov ntxhuav feem ntawm cov neeg yuav tsiv mus nyob rau hauv ciam teb lub teb chaws: Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Moldova thiab Romania. Raws li EU txoj cai, tsis tas yuav muaj vixaj rau cov neeg Ukrainians nkag mus rau thaj tsam Schengen - ib qho chaw ncig tebchaws ntawm EU lub tebchaws, uas suav nrog tag nrho cov lus hais saum toj no Moldova thiab Romania.
Tab sis cov tebchaws nyob sab Europe sab hnub poob xws li lub teb chaws Yelemees, Fabkis thiab Askiv tuaj yeem hnov txog kev coj ncaj ncees los qhia lub nra ntawm qhov uas UK tus kws lij choj tiv thaiv tau hais tias yuav yog qhov teebmeem kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw phem tshaj "txij li thaum tsov rog."
Ib tug poj niam nqa nws cov khoom thaum cov neeg khiav tawm ntawm tus kheej tshaj tawm Donetsk People's Republic zaum hauv lub npav tos kom hloov chaw.
Andrey Borodulin | AFP | Cov duab Getty
Lub lim tiam dhau los, Pentagon tau hais tias 3,000 tus tub rog Asmeskas tau xa mus rau Tebchaws Poland los pab npaj rau qhov muaj peev xwm nkag mus rau cov neeg tsiv teb tsaws chaw tom qab cov tub ceev xwm nyob ntawd tau hais tias nws yuav tsum tau npaj rau "qhov xwm txheej phem tshaj plaws."
"Yog tias muaj kev ua tsov ua rog hauv Ukraine, peb yuav tsum tau npaj rau kev nkag mus ntawm cov neeg tawg rog tiag tiag, cov neeg khiav tawm ntawm qhov tsis txaus ntseeg, los ntawm kev tuag, los ntawm kev ua phem ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog," Poland tus thawj coj sab hauv, Maciej Wasik, hais rau Polish TV.
"Raws li tsoomfwv, peb yuav tsum tau npaj rau qhov xwm txheej phem tshaj plaws, thiab rau qee lub sijhawm lub chaw haujlwm sab hauv tau ua cov kauj ruam los npaj peb rau kev tuaj txog ntawm ib lab tus tib neeg."
Twb tau, Poland yog lub tsev rau cov zej zog loj Ukrainian. Txawm hais tias tsawg tus neeg tau thov cov neeg tawg rog, Poland tau tshaj tawm ib ncig 300,000 vixaj nyob ib ntus rau Ukrainians nyob rau xyoo tas los no. Tseeb, qee qhov kwv yees li 2 lab tus neeg Ukrainians tau tsiv mus rau Poland txij li kev sib koom ua ke ntawm Crimea.
Teb chaws Europe kev npaj tseem tsis ntseeg
Thaum tib neeg txoj cai saib xyuas tau zoo siab tos txais cov kev npaj, ntau tus tau taw qhia tias pom tseeb ob tus qauv hauv Central European lub teb chaws txaus siab txais cov neeg tawg rog.
Thaum lub sijhawm xyoo 2015 European teebmeem kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw, uas pom cov neeg tawg rog feem ntau los ntawm Syria, Poland tsis kam muab lub tsev vwm. Tsis ntev los no, xyoo 2021, Polish cov tub ceev xwm ciam teb ua nruj ua tsiv rov qab nthwv dej ntawm feem ntau Iraqi Kurdistan cov neeg tsiv teb tsaws chaw ntawm Belarusian ciam teb.
Txawm tias muaj qhov tshwm sim los, tsoomfwv tsis tshua tau npaj txhij. Lawv tab tom tsom mus rau lub sijhawm luv.
Rodger Baker
Senior Vice President ntawm Strategic Analysis, Ran
Lub caij no, kev cuam tshuam kev nom kev tswv ntawm kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw loj no tsis muaj kev txhawj xeeb. Xyoo 2015 kev kub ntxhov ntawm cov neeg tawg rog tau xav dav dav kom txhawb nqa txoj cai nyob deb, tiv thaiv kev nkag tebchaws uas tau nthuav dav thoob plaws Tebchaws Europe hauv xyoo tom qab. Ib qho zoo sib xws ntawm cov neeg tsiv teb tsaws chaw tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev sib tw zoo sib xws hauv ib puag ncig uas tsis txaus ntseeg tom qab Covid.
Tab sis kom txog thaum tsoomfwv paub ntau ntxiv txog qhov muaj kev cuam tshuam ntxiv thiab cuam tshuam txog kev tsiv teb tsaws chaw, lawv qhov kev npaj yuav raug txwv.
Baker hais tias "Txawm tias muaj qhov yuav tshwm sim, tsoomfwv tsis tshua tau npaj txhij txhua," Baker hais. "Tam sim no lawv tau tsom mus rau lub sijhawm luv luv thiab kev tiv thaiv."
Nws tau hais tias "Poland muaj kev nkag siab zoo rau qhov xwm txheej," nws hais ntxiv, lwm tus tsis tau saib thiab cia siab rau qhov zoo tshaj plaws.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/25/ukraine-crisis-poland-neighbors-ready-for-influx-of-migrants.html