PMIs & Cov Av Hauv Kev Pom Zoo, Lub Limtiam Hauv Kev Ntsuam Xyuas

Lub Limtiam Ntsuam Xyuas

  • Asian equities pom lwm lub lim tiam ntawm kev lag luam tsis sib haum xeeb, nrog kev loj hlob cov khoom lag luam pom qhov brunt ntawm kev muag khoom ntawm kev txhawj xeeb ntxiv txog kev loj hlob thoob ntiaj teb thiab txoj cai nyiaj txiag.
  • Trip.com thiab lwm cov khoom lag luam ntsig txog kev mus ncig tau sib sau ua ke thaum ntxov hauv lub asthiv raws li Hong Kong thiab Macau tshem tawm cov kev cai cais tawm rau cov qhua. Tuam Tshoj Mainland yuav tsum ua raws li kev cai los ntawm kev txo lub sijhawm ntawm cov neeg tuaj saib yuav tsum tau cais tawm.
  • Lub National Health Commission rau hnub Tuesday tau tshaj tawm tias nws yuav muab nyiaj qiv rau tsev kho mob rau kev hloov kho khoom siv kho mob, xa ntau cov khoom kho mob siab dua.
  • Kev nce nyiaj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas zoo li nce siab txawm tias Cov Neeg Lub Tuam Txhab Nyiaj Txiag ntawm Tuam Tshoj (PBOC) tseem ua rau nws nyuaj rau luv luv Yuan, tiv thaiv cov txiaj ntsig tus nqi tawm tsam duas.

Xov Xwm Tseem Ceeb

Cov khoom lag luam Esxias tau kaw qis dua tom qab nag hmo Asmeskas kev lag luam kev lag luam poob qis tshwj tsis yog Is Nrias teb, tom qab Reserve Bank of India tau nce cov paj laum tsawg dua li qhov xav tau (0.5% thiab tsis yog 0.75%). Tej zaum US Fed yuav tsum ua tib yam! Kuv pom tsib yam tseem ceeb uas tuaj rau yav hmo ntuj thiab tsim nyog hais, pib nrog lub Cuaj Hlis tus thawj tswj hwm qhov ntsuas (PMI) tso tawm.

Yam 1: PMIs yog diffusion indexes txhais tau hais tias kev nyeem ntawv saum toj no 50 qhia txog kev nthuav dav lub hli dhau ib hlis thiab kev nyeem ntawv qis dua 50 qhia txog kev cog lus. Qhov kev tshawb fawb "ua haujlwm" PMI yog qhov kev xaiv tsa loj los ntawm tsoomfwv National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) thiab tsom mus rau cov tuam txhab loj. Lub caij no, Caixin daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas muaj tsawg tus neeg koom thiab yog li ntawd yuav muaj kev hloov pauv ntau dua. Nws yog ua los ntawm IHS Markit (S&P Dow Jones yuav lawv ob peb lub hlis dhau los) thiab tsom mus rau cov lag luam me thiab nruab nrab (SMEs). Koj puas tau pom txhua qhov kev saib xyuas rau ib qho PMI uas tsis zoo? Kuv thiab! Raws li peb tau npaj tseg, kev txiav txim xa tawm tau qeeb raws li kev txhawb nqa thoob ntiaj teb ploj zuj zus, thiab kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb qeeb qeeb ua rau muaj kev thov tsawg dua rau lub ntiaj teb lub Hoobkas. Qhov no yog vim li cas txoj cai tswjfwm nyiaj txiag thiab kev txhawb nqa kev noj qab haus huv yog thiab yuav txuas ntxiv ua qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Tuam Tshoj tsoomfwv. Nws yog tsim nyog sau cia tias kev cia siab ua lag luam tau muaj zog txawm tias koj yuav tsis nyeem qhov ntawd rau lwm qhov. Nws begs cov lus nug: yog vim li cas cov tuam txhab bullish? Tej zaum lawv pom ntau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm tsoomfwv txoj cai ntawm lub qab ntug.

Yam 2: Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag thiab Lub Xeev Kev Tswj Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag tau hais tias cov neeg muag tsev yuav yuav chav tsev tshiab txij lub Kaum Hli 1st, 2022 , to 31 Decemberst, 2023, yuav tsim nyog rau cov nyiaj ua se tau los ntawm tus kheej. Tsis tas li ntawd, 23 lub nroog uas tau pom cov nqi tsev poob rau peb lub hlis dhau los yuav raug tso cai txo tus nqi qiv nyiaj rau cov neeg yuav khoom thawj zaug. Cov kev ntsuas no tau xa cov khoom vaj khoom tsev uas tau teev tseg hauv Mainland Tuam Tshoj nce los ntawm +4.39% thiab +0.6% hauv Hong Kong, lwm qhov piv txwv ntawm onshore piv rau cov kev xav sab nraud.

Yam 3: Lub SEC tau nplua Deloitte Touch-China $ 20 lab rau qhov ua tsis tau "... ua raws li ntau tus qauv PCAOB auditing qauv, suav nrog kev saib xyuas cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj, cov qauv, cov ntaub ntawv, kev tswj xyuas sab hauv ntawm kev tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag, kev soj ntsuam xyuas, thiab kev tswj kom zoo." Aws! Ntxiv rau qhov raug nplua, nws qhia tau hais tias Suav cov neeg tshawb xyuas los ntawm Plaub Plaub Loj tau ua raws li lawv tus kheej nrog PCAOB kev tshuaj xyuas. Qhov no yog ib qho cim zoo, hauv kuv lub tswv yim.

Yam 4: CNY txaus siab rau +0.15% piv rau US duas kom kaw ntawm 7.11 piv rau nag hmo 7.13 thiab hnub Wednesday 7.20. Tuam Tshoj cov txiaj ntsig tau hais hauv CNY rau US duas, ua rau poob qis dua li 7.11 renminbi sib npaug $ 1 piv rau hais tias 1 Renminbi sib npaug li $ 0.14. PBOC tau npaj kom meej meej los cuam tshuam kom nres Renminbi tus swb. Asia txiaj Performance index ntaus lwm 52-lub lim piam qis.

Yam 5: Indonesia tau pom zoo ib qho ntawm FDA-pom zoo tshuaj tiv thaiv mRNA uas tsim los ntawm Tuam Tshoj-based Walvax Biotechnology, uas nug cov lus nug: thaum twg nws yuav pom zoo hauv Suav teb? Kuv yuav kwv yees ua raws li Party Congress lub hlis no, uas tuaj yeem yog lub zog loj dua ntxiv kom yooj yim dua Zero Covid / Lub Neej Thawj txoj cai.

Rov hais dua rau peb cov phooj ywg hauv Florida, Georgia, thiab Carolinas kom nyob nyab xeeb thaum muaj nag xob nag cua Ian.

Hong Kong tswj kom kaw hauv ntsuab txawm tias Hong Kong cov ntawv teev npe hauv internet tau tawm / sib xyaw raws li Tencent poob -1.55%, Alibaba HK tau nce +1.43%, Meituan poob -2.7%, JD.com HK poob -1.68%, thiab Baidu HK poob -1.13%. Cov ntim luv luv tau qis dua li 29% ntawm Meituan kev lag luam luv luv, 11% ntawm Tencent's, 15% ntawm Alibaba HK's, thiab 27% ntawm JD.com's. Nike cov txiaj ntsig tsis muaj zog tau hnyav rau kev txiav txim siab ua si thiab cov neeg sib tw xws li ANTA Sports, uas poob -4.26%, thiab Li Ning, uas poob -6.39%. Kuv tau hais tias kev ua si sab nraum zoov thiab kev tawm dag zog tau nrov heev hauv Suav teb thaum COVID. Tuam Tshoj Mainland tau tawm ua ntej lub limtiam hnub so rau lub lim tiam tom ntej, nrog kev loj hlob cov khoom lag luam tsis ua haujlwm zoo li cov tub ua lag luam muag cov khoom lag luam kom nce nyiaj rau lawv so haujlwm. Nws yog tsim nyog sau cia tias txoj hauv kev ntawm Hong Kong txoj kev qhib txuas ntxiv mus tsis tu ncua.

Lub Hang Seng thiab Hang Seng Tech indexes diverged mus kaw +0.33% thiab -0.93%, feem, ntawm ntim uas txo -7.39% los ntawm nag hmo, uas yog 67% ntawm 1-xyoo nruab nrab. 256 cov khoom lag luam tau nce thaum 225 tsis kam. Main Board luv muag turnover poob -20% los ntawm nag hmo, uas yog 73% ntawm 1-xyoo nruab nrab li 18% ntawm trading yog luv. Tus nqi tseem ceeb tshaj qhov ua tau zoo ntawm kev loj hlob raws li cov kaus mom me me tshaj lub kaus mom loj. Cov haujlwm ua tau zoo tshaj plaws yog nyiaj txiag, uas tau nce +2.19%; cov ntaub ntawv, + 1.85%; thiab lub zog, uas tau nce +1.42%. Lub caij no, kev sib txuas lus poob -1.27%, cov neeg siv khoom txiav txim siab poob -1.23%, thiab kev lag luam poob -0.06%. Cov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws yog cov tsev txhab nyiaj, kev tuav pov hwm, thiab kev kawm ntawv. Lub caij no, autos, cov khoom ntaus pob ncaws pob, thiab software yog qhov ua tau zoo tshaj plaws. Southbound Stock Connect raug kaw thaum hmo ntuj.

Shanghai, Shenzhen, thiab STAR Board kaw -0.55%, -1.3%, thiab -2.3% ntawm ntim uas poob -10.37% los ntawm nag hmo, uas yog 56% ntawm 1-xyoo nruab nrab. 1,574 cov khoom lag luam tau nce siab thaum 2,886 cov khoom lag luam tsis kam. Tus nqi tseem ceeb tshaj qhov kev loj hlob thaum lub kaus mom loj tshaj lub kaus mom me. Cov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws yog vaj tsev, uas tau nce +4.39%, kev siv hluav taws xob, uas tau nce +1.79%, thiab nyiaj txiag, uas tau nce +1.59%. Lub caij no, thev naus laus zis poob -1.04%, kev txiav txim siab poob -0.99%, thiab kev lag luam poob -0.66%. Cov haujlwm ua haujlwm zoo tshaj plaws yog biotech, tshuaj suav tshuaj, thiab vaj tsev, thaum lub zog tsim hluav taws xob, nws pib / pib qhov chaw, thiab semiconductors yog qhov phem tshaj. Northbound Stock Connect ntim tau nruab nrab raws li cov tub ua lag luam txawv teb chaws muag - $ 182 lab tus nqi ntawm Mainland stocks. Cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj muag tawm, CNY tau txais txiaj ntsig +0.12% piv rau US duas rau 7.11 ntawm 7.13, thiab tooj liab nce +0.48%.

Hmo Kawg Ntawm Kev Sib Pauv Cov Nqi, Tus Nqi, & Liaj Teb

  • CNY rau USD 7.12 piv rau 7.12 nag hmo
  • CNY rau EUR 6.97 piv rau 6.97 nag hmo
  • Tos txais ntawm 1-Hnub Tsoom Fwv Nyiaj Txiag 1.49% tiv tiag 1.28% nag hmo
  • Tos ntawm 10-Xyoo Tsoom Fwv Nyiaj 2.76% piv rau 2.75% nag hmo
  • Yield ntawm 10-Xyoo Chain Development Bank Bond 2.94% piv rau 2.89% nag hmo
  • Tus Nqi Tooj Liab + 0.48% dhau ib hmo

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/brendanahern/2022/09/30/pmis-real-estate-in-focus-week-in-review/