Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov peev nyiaj poob qis dua 1.0% rau hnub Thursday txawm tias tom qab Fed qhov kev ntsuas nyiam tau coj los "qee" xov xwm zoo ntawm kev nce nqi pem hauv ntej.
Mona Mahajan txoj kev xav ntawm kev nce nqi
cov core PCE nqi index tau nce 4.7% nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis piv rau qhov kub dua 4.8% nce siab. Raws li Mona Mahajan - Senior Investment Strategist ntawm Edward Jones - kev nce nqi yuav pib nruab nrab thaum kawg ntawm 2022.
Peb tab tom saib lub lag luam uas muaj peev xwm ua kom txias txias, lub lag luam uas muaj peev xwm ua haujlwm qeeb, uas yuav dhau sij hawm cuam tshuam rau kev loj hlob ntawm cov nyiaj ua haujlwm ib yam nkaus. Yog li, peb cov ntaub ntawv hauv paus tseem yog tias thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo, peb yuav pom cov txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb pib rau nruab nrab.
Nyob rau txhua lub hlis, qhov ntsuas tau nce 0.3% - 0.1 feem pua cov ntsiab lus hauv qab Dow Jones kwv yees. Feem ntau, txawm li cas los xij, qhov ntsuas tseem nyob rau theem kawg pom hauv xyoo 1980s.
Puas yog Asmeskas kev lag luam mus rau kev lag luam?
Mona Mahajan hais tias kev ua lag luam tab tom raug nqi hauv kev lag luam poob qis tom qab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau nce tus nqi los ntawm 75 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus ua ntej lub hli no. Tag kis no rau CNBC's "Squawk Box", nws sau tseg tias:
Kaum ib ntawm kaum plaub lub voj voog dhau los tau xaus rau qee yam ntawm ib puag ncig kev lag luam thiab lub voj voog no tshwm sim los ua nruj heev. Qhov peb tab tom pom yog kev lag luam pib nqi hauv kev poob qis es tsis yog tsom rau kev nce nqi.
Tebchaws Asmeskas kev lag luam poob qis ntawm ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm 1.60% hauv thawj peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2022. Lwm lub quarter ntawm GDP tsis zoo yuav txheeb xyuas cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam.
Tus ncej PCE tus nqi Performance index Lub Tsib Hlis: 'los ntawm lub xyoo xaus kev nce nqi yuav pib mus rau nruab nrab' tshwm sim thawj zaug Tsam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2022/06/30/pce-price-index-may-by-year-end-core-inflation-will-start-to-moderate/