Kev rhuav tshem 200-hnub txav nruab nrab tsis yog qhov hnia ntawm kev tuag rau Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam, uas yuav piav qhia vim li cas Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.76%
Lub Ib Hlis 24 tau rov qab los ntawm 1,000-point plunge thiab ua tiav rau hnub. Nws nyuam qhuav dhau lub lim tiam dhau los thaum Dow thiab S&P 500
SPX,
-1.62%
ua txhaum lawv qhov nruab nrab ntawm 200-hnub txav mus los - suav nrog ntau tus kws tshaj lij hauv khw muag khoom los qhia tias kev lag luam tus qauv tseem ceeb tau poob qis.
Cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm tsis txhawb qhov kev txhais lus tsis zoo no. Kev lag luam hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas keeb kwm tsis tau ua tsis zoo tom qab poob qis dua 200-hnub txav nruab nrab dua li nws ua nyob rau lwm lub sijhawm.
Txhawm rau qhia qhov no, kuv tau txheeb xyuas S&P 500 (lossis nws qhov ntsuas ua ntej) rov qab mus rau nruab nrab-1920s. Kuv tsom tshwj xeeb rau txhua hnub uas qhov ntsuas thawj zaug poob qis dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab. Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom los ntawm cov lus hauv qab no, S&P 500 qhov nruab nrab rov qab los ntawm cov hnub zoo li no me ntsis zoo dua li lwm hnub.
| Slub hli tom ntej | Lub quarter tom ntej | Tom qab 6 lub hlis | Xyoo tom ntej |
| 200-hnub txav nruab nrab muag cov teeb liab | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% |
| Tag nrho lwm hnub | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 7.7% |
Tsis tas li ntawd, tsis muaj qhov sib txawv uas tau tshaj tawm hauv daim ntawv qhia no yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm 95% kev ntseeg siab uas cov kws txheeb xyuas feem ntau siv thaum txiav txim siab seb tus qauv yog qhov tseeb.
30 xyoo dhau los
Tej zaum koj yuav txhawj xeeb tias zaj dab neeg hais los ntawm daim duab no yog skewed los ntawm kev paub ntau xyoo dhau los thiab tsis cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam niaj hnub no. Qhov tseeb, tus qauv qhia hauv lub rooj yuav hais tau ntau dua yog tias kuv yuav tsum tau tsom mus rau ob lossis peb xyoos dhau los. Qhov no tsis yog kev sib tsoo, raws li kuv tau tham hauv kab dhau los. Nws yog raws nraim li koj xav tau muab qhov kev tshwm sim ntawm qhov yooj yim thiab pheej yig pauv pauv cov nyiaj pauv hloov pauv mus rau S&P 500 (lossis lwm yam kev lag luam dav dav).
Ua tibzoo saib ntawm daim duab saum toj no, uas npaj S&P 500 xyoo dhau los nrog rau nws 200-hnub mus nruab nrab. Daim ntawv ceeb toom tias, ntau zaus tshaj tsis dhau 10 xyoo dhau los, thaum twg S&P 500 poob qis dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab nws feem ntau thim rov qab thiab sib sau ua ke.
Tsis muaj kev lees paub tias tib yam yuav tshwm sim rau lub sijhawm no. Tseeb tiag, kev lag luam Tshuag tam sim no qhov kev cia siab yuav yog bleak. Lub ntsiab lus yog tias nws qhov kev cia siab tsis zoo dua vim tias 200-hnub txav nruab nrab tau ua txhaum cai.
Mark Hulbert yog cov uas tau ua haujlwm rau MarketWatch li niaj zaus. Nws Hulbert Ratings taug qab cov ntawv xov xwm kev nqis peev uas them tus nqi them tus nqi yuav raug kuaj. Nws hu tau rau ntawm [email tiv thaiv]
ntxiv: Lub S&P 500, Nasdaq nyuam qhuav ua ib qho kev hloov pauv rau lub hnub nyoog, kos npe rau lawv qhov kev rov qab los loj tshaj plaws txij li thaum muaj teeb meem nyiaj txiag xyoo 2008.
Kuj nyeem: Cov tub ua lag luam-kev lag luam tsis tuaj yeem suav rau 'Fed muab' - yog vim li cas cov neeg tsim cai tsis pom kev maj nrawm los cawm
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/surprised-by-mondays-market-recovery-whenever-the-dow-and-the-sp-500-fall-below-this-key-support-level- stocks-typically-come-roaring-back-11643104365?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo
Kev xav: Thaum twg Dow thiab S&P 500 poob qis dua qhov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb no, cov khoom lag luam feem ntau rov qab los.
Kev rhuav tshem 200-hnub txav nruab nrab tsis yog qhov hnia ntawm kev tuag rau Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam, uas yuav piav qhia vim li cas Dow Jones Industrial Average
-0.76%
-1.62%
DJIA,
Lub Ib Hlis 24 tau rov qab los ntawm 1,000-point plunge thiab ua tiav rau hnub. Nws nyuam qhuav dhau lub lim tiam dhau los thaum Dow thiab S&P 500
SPX,
ua txhaum lawv qhov nruab nrab ntawm 200-hnub txav mus los - suav nrog ntau tus kws tshaj lij hauv khw muag khoom los qhia tias kev lag luam tus qauv tseem ceeb tau poob qis.
Cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm tsis txhawb qhov kev txhais lus tsis zoo no. Kev lag luam hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas keeb kwm tsis tau ua tsis zoo tom qab poob qis dua 200-hnub txav nruab nrab dua li nws ua nyob rau lwm lub sijhawm.
Txhawm rau qhia qhov no, kuv tau txheeb xyuas S&P 500 (lossis nws qhov ntsuas ua ntej) rov qab mus rau nruab nrab-1920s. Kuv tsom tshwj xeeb rau txhua hnub uas qhov ntsuas thawj zaug poob qis dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab. Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom los ntawm cov lus hauv qab no, S&P 500 qhov nruab nrab rov qab los ntawm cov hnub zoo li no me ntsis zoo dua li lwm hnub.
Tsis tas li ntawd, tsis muaj qhov sib txawv uas tau tshaj tawm hauv daim ntawv qhia no yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm 95% kev ntseeg siab uas cov kws txheeb xyuas feem ntau siv thaum txiav txim siab seb tus qauv yog qhov tseeb.
30 xyoo dhau los
Tej zaum koj yuav txhawj xeeb tias zaj dab neeg hais los ntawm daim duab no yog skewed los ntawm kev paub ntau xyoo dhau los thiab tsis cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam niaj hnub no. Qhov tseeb, tus qauv qhia hauv lub rooj yuav hais tau ntau dua yog tias kuv yuav tsum tau tsom mus rau ob lossis peb xyoos dhau los. Qhov no tsis yog kev sib tsoo, raws li kuv tau tham hauv kab dhau los. Nws yog raws nraim li koj xav tau muab qhov kev tshwm sim ntawm qhov yooj yim thiab pheej yig pauv pauv cov nyiaj pauv hloov pauv mus rau S&P 500 (lossis lwm yam kev lag luam dav dav).
Ua tibzoo saib ntawm daim duab saum toj no, uas npaj S&P 500 xyoo dhau los nrog rau nws 200-hnub mus nruab nrab. Daim ntawv ceeb toom tias, ntau zaus tshaj tsis dhau 10 xyoo dhau los, thaum twg S&P 500 poob qis dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab nws feem ntau thim rov qab thiab sib sau ua ke.
Tsis muaj kev lees paub tias tib yam yuav tshwm sim rau lub sijhawm no. Tseeb tiag, kev lag luam Tshuag tam sim no qhov kev cia siab yuav yog bleak. Lub ntsiab lus yog tias nws qhov kev cia siab tsis zoo dua vim tias 200-hnub txav nruab nrab tau ua txhaum cai.
Mark Hulbert yog cov uas tau ua haujlwm rau MarketWatch li niaj zaus. Nws Hulbert Ratings taug qab cov ntawv xov xwm kev nqis peev uas them tus nqi them tus nqi yuav raug kuaj. Nws hu tau rau ntawm [email tiv thaiv]
ntxiv: Lub S&P 500, Nasdaq nyuam qhuav ua ib qho kev hloov pauv rau lub hnub nyoog, kos npe rau lawv qhov kev rov qab los loj tshaj plaws txij li thaum muaj teeb meem nyiaj txiag xyoo 2008.
Kuj nyeem: Cov tub ua lag luam-kev lag luam tsis tuaj yeem suav rau 'Fed muab' - yog vim li cas cov neeg tsim cai tsis pom kev maj nrawm los cawm
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/surprised-by-mondays-market-recovery-whenever-the-dow-and-the-sp-500-fall-below-this-key-support-level- stocks-typically-come-roaring-back-11643104365?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo