Kev xav: Cov nqi kub tau nce siab, tab sis qhov kev sib tw yog nyob rau hauv av tsis xis nyob

Kub txoj kev ntawm qhov tsawg kawg nkaus tiv thaiv nyob rau lub sij hawm ze yog poob.

Tias yog vim li cas lub sij hawm ua lag luam kub hauv zej zog yog bullish heev tam sim no. Qhov ntawd yog ib qho cim tsis zoo los ntawm qhov tsis sib xws. Nws txhais tau hais tias cov kev xav cua yuav tau tshuab mus rau cov kev taw qhia ntawm tus nqi qis rau ob peb lub lis piam tom ntej.

Kuv vam tias kuv yuav tsum tsis txhob ceeb toom rau koj tias qhov kev tsom xam qhov sib txawv no tsis lav tias kub yuav poob. Kub tus
GC00,
+ 0.42%
ib hnub-rau-hnub gyrations nyob rau ob peb lub lis piam dhau los tau hnyav heev nyob rau hauv xov xwm tawm ntawm Ukraine. Needless hais, cov xov xwm ntawd tsis muaj dab tsi ua nrog kev pom zoo ntawm kev lag luam kub timers.

Tab sis qhov kev pom zoo ntawd muaj ntau yam ua rau kev ua lag luam teb li cas rau kev tsim kho thaj chaw. Thaum lub sijhawm ua lag luam ntawm qhov sib npaug yog qhov txawv txav ntawm qhov kev cia siab ntawm kub, raws li lawv tam sim no, lawv twb tau cia siab tias cov xov xwm kub ntsig txog hnub tom ntej yuav muaj kev kub ntxhov heev. Thaum cov xov xwm zoo ntawd twb tau luv nqi lawm, kev xav tsis thoob yuav tshwm sim ntawm qhov downside.

Txhawm rau ntsuas qhov kev pom zoo ntawm cov timers kub, kuv lub tuam txhab suav lawv qhov nruab nrab pom zoo rau kev ua lag luam kub. (Qhov no yog qhov uas sawv cev los ntawm Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index, lossis HGNSI.) Qhov nruab nrab tam sim no sawv ntawm 67.1%, uas yog siab dua 96% ntawm tag nrho lwm cov kev nyeem txhua hnub txij li xyoo 2000.

Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom los ntawm daim ntawv qhia nrog, cov khoom lag luam kub mining nyob rau ob peb xyoos dhau los no tau ntseeg tau poob qis thaum twg HGNSI nce mus txog 90.th feem pua ​​ntawm cov keeb kwm faib. Qhov no decile yog ntxoov grey nyob rau sab saum toj ntawm daim ntawv.

Yog tias koj xav tau ib qho kev ceeb toom tias kev txheeb xyuas qhov tsis sib xws tsis tas yuav ua haujlwm, tsuas yog nco qab kuv lub hli dhau los kab ntawm kev lag luam kub kev xav. Qhov xaus ntawm kev tsom xam tsis sib xws nyob rau lub sijhawm ntawd yog tias kub feem ntau yuav daig hauv kev lag luam nqaim ntawm $ 1,750 thiab $ 1,850. Qhov tseeb, raws li peb paub tam sim no, kub tau nce siab txog $ 1,950 nyob rau lub hli dhau los, txog $ 100 ib ooj saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev lag luam no.

HGNSI ib hlis dhau los tau sawv ntawm 20.6%, ze li 50 feem pua ​​​​cov ntsiab lus qis dua qhov nws sawv tam sim no. Qhov tshwm sim yog li tam sim no nyiam tus nqi qis dua.

Yuav ua li cas txog kev ua lag luam timers hauv lwm qhov chaw nqis peev?

Kev lag luam kub tsuas yog ib qho ntawm plaub qhov chaw uas kuv taug qab kev ua lag luam timers 'qhov nruab nrab raug pom. Lwm tus yog cov khoom lag luam dav dav, raws li qhia los ntawm cov qauv ntsuas xws li Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.53%
thiab S&P 500
SPX,
-0.79%,
Nasdaq Tshuag lag luam
COMP,
-1.66%
thiab US bond market. Txhua lub hlis hauv qhov chaw no kuv qhia ib qho ntawm lawv thiab txheeb xyuas qhov nws tau hais los ntawm qhov tsis sib xws ntawm qhov pom.

Nyob rau hauv lub sijhawm no, daim duab saum toj no qhia txog qhov twg cov timers tam sim no sawv hauv tag nrho plaub qhov chaw.

Mark Hulbert yog cov uas tau ua haujlwm rau MarketWatch li niaj zaus. Nws Hulbert Ratings taug qab cov ntawv xov xwm kev nqis peev uas them tus nqi them tus nqi yuav raug kuaj. Nws hu tau rau ntawm [email tiv thaiv].

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-prices-have-been-surging-but-the-rally-is-on-shaky-ground-11646401369?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo