(Bloomberg) - Ib qho kev xaiv loj loj yuav ua rau S&P 500's bounce rau hnub Wednesday, raws li Wells Fargo & Co.
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg
Kev lag luam, uas koom nrog kev yuav thiab muag cov kev xaiv hu ua khi rau qhov ntsuas ntawm tus nqi ntawm ib ncig ntawm $ 31 lab, tej zaum yuav pab txhawb kev rov qab los uas pom qhov ntsuas ntsuas ntsuas qhov poob qis 1.8%, hais tias Chris Harvey, lub tuam txhab lub taub hau ntawm kev ncaj ncees lub tswv yim.
Cov kev xav hais tias kev lag luam derivatives muaj peev xwm ua rau muaj kev txav mus los hauv ib qho cuab yeej cuab tam tau muaj feem ntau nyob rau xyoo no cov kev lag luam topsy-turvy, tab sis kuj feem ntau tsis sib haum xeeb. Feem ntau, qhov kev pom yog tias tus neeg tsim khoom lag luam nyob rau sab nraud ntawm kev xaiv pauv yuav tau yuav lossis muag cov khoom lag luam kom sib npaug ntawm qhov chaw.
Raws li qhov tshwm sim, ib lub tswv yim xa mus los ntawm Greek lo lus delta, tus neeg muag khoom yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev ntawm kev ua lag luam. Lub sijhawm no, hauv qhov muag ntawm Harvey, qhov cuam tshuam tau zoo.
"Cov Greeks ntawm kev lag luam yog qhov zoo li qhov ua rau ib nrab hnub pop rau S&P 500," Harvey tau sau ntawv rau cov neeg siv khoom.
Kev lag luam suav nrog kev yuav 20,000 S&P 500 hu tas sij hawm thaum Lub Kaum Hli nrog tus nqi tawm tsam ntawm 4,500 thiab 14,000 bullish daim ntawv cog lus tas sij hawm nyob rau lub Peb Hlis ntawm kev tawm tsam ntawm 4,300, thaum muag 48,000 hu maturing nyob rau lub Ib Hlis nrog ib qho kev tawm dag zog ntawm 4,500 - ib tug thawj koom ruam hais tias qhov tseem ceeb yuav rally nyob rau hauv lub hlis tom ntej.
Gareth Ryan, tus thawj coj ntawm IUR Capital tau hais tias "Cov tswv lag luam uas coj mus rau sab nraud ntawm qhov no muaj qhov pheej hmoo loj heev los daws," said Gareth Ryan, tus thawj coj ntawm IUR Capital, ntxiv tias lawv tuaj yeem yuav cov nyiaj tau los yav tom ntej kom lawv cov phau ntawv nruab nrab. “Nws yeej tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam nyiaj ntsuab. Qhov no yog ib qho kev lag luam loj tshaj plaws los ntawm qhov loj me uas kuv tau pom nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev. "
Tsis yog txhua tus pom qhov kev hloov pauv yog qhov laj thawj pom tseeb rau S&P 500's spike. Chris Murphy, tus thawj coj ntawm derivatives lub tswv yim ntawm Susquehanna International Group, tau sau tseg S&P 500 qhov kev rov qab los ua ke nrog kev thim rov qab hauv duas thiab kev kho dua tshiab hauv Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Bank ntawm Atlanta's GDPNow index.
Murphy hais tias "Lub USD rub rov qab los ntawm qhov siab yog qhov tseem ceeb rau S&P rebound, ntxiv rau Atlanta GDP kev hloov kho," Murphy hais. "Lub delta feem ntawm cov kev xaiv kev lag luam tsis yog loj. Nws tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau S&P 500 rally. "
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg Businessweek
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