Kev lag luam roj zoo li niaj hnub no txawv dua li nws tau ua ib xyoos dhau los, thaum Russia tau txeeb Ukraine.
"Nws yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws ntawm kev lag luam dislocations thiab distortions nyob rau hauv lub zog kev lag luam feem ntau hais tias kuv puas nco qab," Ed Morse, ntiaj teb no tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb khoom ntawm Citi, hais rau Yahoo Finance.
Ua ntej muaj kev cuam tshuam rau Lub Ob Hlis 24, 2022, Russia tau xa tawm ntau ntawm nws cov khoom siv roj av thiab roj av mus rau Tebchaws Europe, nrog ib feem me me mus rau Tuam Tshoj, Is Nrias teb, thiab lwm lub tebchaws Esxias.
Thaum kawg ntawm 2022, qhov piv txwv ntawd tau hloov pauv tag nrho.
Morse tau hais tias "Nws muaj, los ntawm kev xav ntawm kev lag luam, tsim ob lub lag luam, lub lag luam pob tshab [roj], thiab kev lag luam uas tsis muaj pob tshab," Morse hais.
Andy Lipow ntawm Lipow Oil Associates tsis ntev los no tau sau tseg tias "Lavxias cov roj crude tsuas yog hloov pauv los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom qub hauv Tebchaws Europe mus rau cov neeg siv khoom tshiab hauv Asia," Andy Lipow ntawm Lipow Oil Associates tsis ntev los no tau sau rau hauv daim ntawv teev cov neeg siv khoom. "Tebchaws Europe lub zog sib nrauj los ntawm Russia yog yuav luag tiav."
Qhov tseeb tshaj plaws hauv kev rau txim rau Moscow los ntawm cov tebchaws sab hnub poob hauv kev teb rau kev ua tsov rog tau raug yuam ua ntej lub hli no: Cov no suav nrog EU txwv tsis pub xa cov khoom lag luam roj hauv Lavxias. Ua ntej ntawd, ib g7prix ntawm Lavxias teb sab roj tau siv nyob rau hauv thiaj li yuav tsis muaj zog lub teb chaws cov nyiaj txiag.
"Nyob rau hauv ib txoj kev ncig, lub Kaum Ob Hlis 5, 2022, tus nqi lub kaus mom uas tau txiav txim rau Lavxias teb sab roj crude exports tau ua haujlwm. EU thiab Asmeskas thiab lwm tus tsis tau yuav los ntawm Russia, uas tawm hauv Russia nrog cov neeg siv khoom tsawg. Cov neeg siv khoom xav tau tus nqi qis dua, "said Lipow.
Nws tsis yog txhua xyoo uas tus nqi hluav taws xob nce siab zoo li lawv tau ua dhau xyoo dhau los. Hnub tom qab Russia qhov ntxeem tau, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) tau mus txog qhov kawg ntawm $ 123.70 ib chim thiab Brent yav tom ntej tau nqis los ntawm $ 127.98.
Biden cov thawj coj tau tso cai tso tawm los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov tswv yim roj av cia kom txo tau cov nqi roj av, uas tau nce mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli xyoo tas los.
Thaum kawg tus nqi poob, thiab hnub no, WTI tab tom ua lag luam nyob ib ncig ntawm $ 75 ib chim theem thaum Brent tab tom hovering ib ncig ntawm $ 82 ib chim.
Kev rov qhib ntawm Tuam Tshoj tom qab qhov kev txwv nruj nruj yog pom tias muaj kev kub ntxhov rau tus nqi zog mus tom ntej, tab sis txog tam sim no cov roj feem ntau tau ua lag luam nyob rau hauv ib qho nruj heev.
"Crude tau mus rau sab raws li Tuam Tshoj nthuav zaj dab neeg sib ntaus sib tua nrog 'kev lag luam nyob ib ncig ntawm lub ces kaum' zaj dab neeg. Txog tam sim no nws yog qhov tsis txaus ntseeg, "Stewart Glickman, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev ncaj ncees ntawm CFRA Research, hais rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag.
Cov nqi roj ntuj ob qho tib si hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab Asmeskas kuj tau nqis los ntawm lawv qhov siab tshaj plaws. Lub zog hluav taws xob, uas muaj qhov blockbuster 2022, tab tom pom qhov tsis muaj zog 2023.
"Tus nqi hluav taws xob tau qis qis rau xyoo no vim peb muaj lub caij ntuj no sov heev hauv North America thiab Europe. Cov huab cua tau ua rau cov nqi roj ntuj poob qis thiab cov nqi roj tsis muaj zog, uas hnyav rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, "Jay Hatfield, CEO ntawm Infrastructure Capital Advisors.
'Kev hloov hluav taws xob pom ib qho acceleration'
Ob lub tebchaws Asmeskas thiab Europe tau nce lawv cov kev siv zog mus rau ntsuab nrog kev siv zog tauj dua tshiab, raws li cov tuam txhab nqis peev hauv hnub ci, cua, thiab biofuels.
Kev muaj peev xwm rov qab tau hluav taws xob hauv EU tau kwv yees kom ob npaug ntawm 2022 thiab 2027, raws li International Energy Association.
Citi's Morse hais tias "Lub zog hloov pauv tau pom qhov nrawm nrawm raws li qhov tshwm sim ntawm Russia / Ukraine," hais tias Citi's Morse. "Nws nyob ntawm txoj kev, tab sis nws tau nrawm dua."
Ines yog tus tshaj xov xwm ua lag luam loj rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag. Ua raws nws ntawm Twitter ntawm @ines_ferre kev
Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance
Rub tawm Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag app rau Kua or Android
Ua raws li Yahoo Finance Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Flipboard, LinkedIn, Thiab YouTube
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-oil-market-looks-drastically-different-today-than-it-did-when-russia-invaded-ukraine-203904387.html