Cov roj poob qis dua $ 100 ib chim rau thawj zaug txij li lub Tsib Hlis Raws li 'Zoo Zoo Li Kev Txom Nyem' Hurts Xav Tau

Tojsiab

Cov nqi roj tau poob 9% Hnub Tuesday - poob qis dua $ 100 ib chim rau thawj zaug txij li lub Tsib Hlis - raws li qee cov kws tshaj lij ceeb toom tias cov nqi tuaj yeem poob qis li $ 60 toj ib chim thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo yog tias kev lag luam poob qis heev cuam tshuam qhov kev thov.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Tus nqi ntawm US benchmark West Texas Intermediate swb ze li ntawm 9% rau kev lag luam nyob ib ncig ntawm $ 98 ib chim, thaum lub ntiaj teb benchmark Brent crude tam sim no zaum ntawm tsuas yog $ 102 ib chim.

Lub sijhawm kawg cov roj pauv tau qis dua $ 100 ib chim yog nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis - thiab txawm hais tias tus nqi tau nce los ntawm qhov ntawd, WTI thiab Brent crude tau poob rau lub Rau Hli thawj zaug hauv rau lub hlis vim cov kws tshaj lij txhawj xeeb tias kev lag luam yuav ua rau muaj kev xav tau thoob ntiaj teb.

Txawm hais tias tus nqi nruab nrab nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no, cov roj tau nce ze li 15% xyoo no - tsoo qhov siab ntawm ze li $ 140 ib chim nyob rau lub Peb Hlis thaum ntxov tom qab cov tebchaws sab hnub poob tau txiav txim siab rau Lavxias teb sab zog ntshuam, txawm hais tias lub teb chaws tseem muag nws cov khoom rau Tuam Tshoj thiab Is Nrias teb.

Nrog cov roj tam sim no hovering nyob ib ncig ntawm $ 100 ib chim, qee cov kws tshaj lij kwv yees qhov mob ntau ntxiv tom ntej tom qab xyoo no: Citi cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais tias cov nqi yuav poob mus rau ib ncig ntawm $ 60 thaum kawg ntawm 2022 yog tias kev lag luam poob rau hauv kev lag luam.

Nrog rau kev poob qis "qhov yuav nce ntxiv," qhov kev thov poob qis thiab cov khoom siv ntau dhau yuav ua rau tus nqi raug mob, Citi cov kws tshaj lij tau hais hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau hnub Tuesday, sib cav tias Brent roj av tuaj yeem tso rau $ 65 toj ib chim thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo no thiab tej zaum yuav poob mus rau $ 45 hauv 2023. .

Txawm hais tias muaj kev poob qis tsis ntev los no, qee cov kws tshaj lij tseem muaj kev ntxhov siab: "Kev ntshai kev poob qis yog tua cov kev xav tau ntawm cov khoom siv roj av, tab sis nrog cov nqi kwv yees li 17% qis dua lub Peb Hlis siab, cov roj yuav tsum tsis txhob qis dua," said Edward Moya, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev lag luam loj ntawm Oanda. .

Dab Tsi Los Saib:

"kev nruj" hauv kev lag luam hluav taws xob thoob ntiaj teb tau tawm tsam los ntawm "qhov muaj feem yuav muaj kev lag luam poob qis," uas nrog rau kev nce nqi ntawm cov nqi pib xyoo no tau pib "txo cov roj xav tau," raws li tsab ntawv tsis ntev los no los ntawm Ritterbusch thiab Associates.

Tseem Ceeb:

Cov nqi roj yog "tsis muaj zog heev" raws li cov tub ua lag luam "loj hlob zuj zus ntxiv txog qhov kev xav ntawm kev lag luam," tseem raug ntes nyob rau hauv "tug-ntawm-kev ua tsov ua rog ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev loj hlob kev txhawj xeeb, thaum cov teb chaws Europe tseem ntsib teeb meem roj nqi loj," hais tias Vital Knowledge tus tsim. Adam Crisafulli.

Tangent:

Euro poob rau ib tshiab 20-xyoo qis tawm tsam tus duas hnub Tuesday. Cov txiaj ntsig tau ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm kev nce nqi roj los ntawm Russia kev ua tsov ua rog hauv Ukraine xa kev poob nyiaj txiag kev ntshai nce siab dua, nrog cov tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab scrambling kom nce paj paj. Amid Western kev nplua rau Lavxias roj thiab roj, Euro cheeb tsam kev nce nqi tau nce siab - nce mus txog 8.6% hauv Lub Rau Hli. Cov nyiaj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, lub sijhawm no, tseem muaj zog txawm tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve zoo ib yam li cov paj laum hauv kev sib tw kom txias cov neeg siv khoom nce nqi. Nrog dab tsi tam sim no zoo li "tsis muaj kev tsov rog Lavxias teb sab hauv Ukraine," qhov cuam tshuam ntawm cov roj thiab lwm yam khoom lag luam tau "fanned mob siab rau kev nce nqi" thoob plaws ntiaj teb, hais tias Mark Zandi, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm Moody's Analytics.

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