Roj Extends Losses raws li cov tub luam hnyav Tuam Tshoj Outlook, Iran Supply

(Bloomberg) - Cov roj txuas ntxiv poob thaum pib ntawm lub lim tiam raws li cov tub lag luam hnyav kev txhawj xeeb txog Suav kev thov thiab kev cia siab rau ntau Iranian cov khoom.

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West Texas Intermediate poob ze $ 88 ib chim, poob ntau npaum li 4.3%, nrog kev lag luam muag tawm raws li Tuam Tshoj qhov kev xav tsis thoob hauv cov paj laum tseem ceeb txhawb kev txhawb nqa rau kev lag luam raug cuam tshuam los ntawm tus kab mob lockdowns thiab vaj tse kev puas tsuaj. Lub teb chaws qhov kev xav tau roj pom tseeb lub hli tas los yog kwv yees li 10% qis dua xyoo-rau-xyoo.

"Peb yeej pom qhov twg Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam nyob ntawm thiab nws tsis tshua muaj rosy dua li cov neeg tau cia siab, kev siv yuav qis dua li qhov kev cia siab, yeej rau cov roj," Sucden Financial tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb Geordie Wilkes tau hais hauv xov tooj.

Tom qab tshaj li ib xyoos ntawm kev cuam tshuam thiab tshem tawm kev sib tham, kev cog lus nuclear nrog Iran zoo li yuav muaj ntau dua rau hnub Monday. Ib tug kws tshaj lij rau Iranian kev ua haujlwm txawv teb chaws tau hais tias tuaj yeem muaj lub hauv paus rau daim ntawv cog lus kos npe "nyob rau yav tom ntej," thaum Tus Thawj Fwm Tsav Tebchaws Txawv Tebchaws Hossein Amirabdollahian tau hais hauv kev sib tham sib cais tias lub tebchaws yuav qhia rau European Union hmo no ntawm nws txoj haujlwm thaum tawm tsam. kev sib cav ntau dua li lub hli tsis ntev los no.

Qee qhov peev xwm ntxiv ntawm Iranian roj mus rau lub lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav tau raug nqi nyob rau hauv Saxo Bank tus thawj coj ntawm cov khoom lag luam zoo Ole Hansen, tab sis "txhua yam xov xwm ntxiv yuav muab cov mos txwv rau cov nyiaj muag roj raws li kev tiv thaiv kev lag luam qeeb, ”nws hais.

Crude tau zuam qis dua ob peb lub hlis dhau los ntawm kev txhawj xeeb txog kev lag luam poob qis, ua rau tag nrho cov txiaj ntsig tau muab tso rau tom qab Russia qhov kev cuam tshuam ntawm Ukraine. Cov thawj tswj nyiaj tau txiav lawv qhov kev twv txiaj ntawm WTI kom qis tshaj hauv ob xyoos, raws li Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag Futures Trading Commission.

Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam rov qab tau poob qis poob qis thaum Lub Xya Hli raws li Covid-19 cov kab mob tshiab tau cuam tshuam rau cov neeg siv khoom thiab kev lag luam kev siv nyiaj. Kev tsim khoom lag luam tau nce 3.8% los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los, qis dua Lub Rau Hli 3.9% thiab cov kws lag luam uas ploj lawm qhov kev kwv yees ntawm 4.3% nce. Roj refining kuj poob thaum cov nroj tsuag kaw rau kev saib xyuas.

Cov roj tseem nce nyob ib ncig ntawm 20% xyoo no thiab qhov nce ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob tshaj li thawj ib nrab tau txhawb nqa cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj tau los rau cov neeg tsim khoom. Saudi Aramco tau tshaj tawm cov txiaj ntsig loj tshaj plaws hauv peb lub hlis twg ntawm cov tuam txhab teev npe thoob ntiaj teb, tom qab nws cov neeg sib tw loj xws li Shell Plc thiab Exxon Mobil Corp.

Qhov kev pom zoo rau kev lag luam roj tseem sib xyaw. Lub koom haum International Energy lub lim tiam dhau los tau tsa nws qhov kev kwv yees rau kev xav tau thoob ntiaj teb kev loj hlob xyoo no, thaum OPEC cia siab tias kev lag luam yuav tawm mus rau qhov nyiaj txaus rau lub quarter no. Lub cartel trimmed nws forecasts rau tus nqi ntawm crude nws yuav tsum tau mus twj tso kua mis.

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