Hauv kuv tshooj Forbes kawg, kuv tau tshuaj xyuas qee qhov kev tshawb pom loj los ntawm kev xaiv tsa tshiab tau ua nyob rau hauv kev cia siab tias thawj hnub tseem ceeb ntawm cov xwm txheej ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 6 ntawm US Capitol. Hauv kab ntawv no, kuv khawb me ntsis tob rau hauv ib feem tseem ceeb ntawm zaj dab neeg: cov neeg Asmeskas txaus siab koom nrog kev ua phem rau lawv tsoomfwv. Cov lus nug ua cov ncauj lus tseem ceeb, tab sis yuav tsum tau saib xyuas hauv kev txhais lawv cov txiaj ntsig. Cov no yog cov lus nug hypothetical, thiab raws li qee qhov kev xaiv tsa no qhia, nws tsis meej meej tias tib neeg xav li cas thaum lawv teb lawv. Kuv tus npoj yaig AEI, Dan Cox, kuj muaj ib qho kev xav zoo heev ntawm qhov kev kawm.
cov Washington Post/University of Maryland online daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas tau nug cov neeg nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, "Koj puas xav tias nws puas tsim nyog rau cov pej xeem los ua phem rau tsoomfwv, lossis nws yeej tsis tsim nyog?" Peb caug plaub feem pua hais tias nws yog kev ncaj ncees. Cov neeg pov npav tau pab ntxiv cov txiaj ntsig ntawm tsib lwm cov lus nug uas tau nug hauv xov tooj txij li xyoo 1995. Cov lus teb no tau nce los ntawm qis dua 9% hauv ABC Xov Xwm /Washington Post xov tooj kev xaiv tsa xyoo 1995 tom qab Oklahoma City foob pob mus rau qhov siab dhau los ntawm 23% hais tias kev ua phem rau tsoomfwv tuaj yeem ua ncaj ncees hauv kev tshawb fawb Lub Kaum Hli 2015. Plaub caug feem pua ntawm Republicans thiab 23% ntawm Democrats hauv kev xaiv tsa tshiab tau hais tias kev ua phem tuaj yeem tsim nyog. Cov neeg pov npav tau ua raws li 34% uas tau teb cov lus pom zoo los ntawm kev nug lawv raws li qhov xwm txheej ua phem yuav ua rau raug cai. Cov lus nug tau qhib-kawg, yog li cov neeg xaiv tsa tau muab cov lus teb rau pawg. Qhov saum toj kawg nkaus, tuaj yeem pab dawb los ntawm 22%, hais tias tsoomfwv ua txhaum lossis tshem tawm tib neeg txoj cai lossis kev ywj pheej, lossis kev tsim txom tib neeg. Kaum tsib feem pua tau muab cov lus teb qhia tias nws yuav ua tau ncaj ncees yog tias tsoomfwv tsis muaj kev ywj pheej ntxiv lawm lossis tau dhau los ua kev tswjfwm, yog tias muaj kev tawm tsam, lossis yog tub rog tau tuav. Kaum peb feem pua ntawm cov lus teb tau muab faib ua tsoomfwv ua txhaum Txoj Cai Lij Choj, 12% tsoomfwv siv lub hwj chim / kev ua phem, thiab 11% yog tsoomfwv ua phem rau nws cov pej xeem.
Lub Kaum Ob Hlis lig CBS Xov Xwm / YouGov online kev xaiv tsa tau nug txog seb qee qhov kev ua yeeb yam puas tsim nyog rau cov pej xeem sim ua kom tiav cov hom phiaj kev nom kev tswv lossis txoj cai. Kaum peb feem pua hais tias ua rau lub cev raug mob lossis raug mob kom ua tiav qhov kawg no tuaj yeem tsim nyog, thiab hauv lwm lo lus nug, 13% hais tias kev puas tsuaj lossis kev puas tsuaj tuaj yeem yog. Republican thiab Democratic cov lus teb tau zoo ib yam.
Nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ob Hlis Ntuj NPR / Ipsos online kev xaiv tsa, 24% tau hais tias qee zaum nws tsis ua li cas los koom nrog kev ua phem los tiv thaiv Asmeskas kev ywj pheej, thiab hauv cov lus nug sib txawv, 22% zoo li tau teb cov lus teb hais txog kev tiv thaiv Asmeskas kab lis kev cai thiab cov txiaj ntsig. Tsawg dua 10% xav pom zoo nrog ob nqe lus. Partisans tau pom zoo rau qhov no. Nees nkaum-peb feem pua ntawm Democrats thiab 30% ntawm Republicans pom zoo nrog thawj nqe lus; 21% ntawm Democrats thiab 27% ntawm Republicans pom zoo nrog tus thib ob.
CBS Xov Xwm / YouGov cov neeg pov npav tau mus txog qhov sib txawv nrog cov lus nug no: “Xav tias qee tus neeg tau hu rau kev siv dag zog lossis kev ua phem los sim ua kom tiav cov hom phiaj kev nom kev tswv. Puas yog ib qho ntawm cov teeb meem no tseem ceeb heev uas kev siv dag zog yuav raug tsim nyog nyob ntawm qhov xwm txheej, lossis puas yuav yuam tsis raug cai? Peb caug-tsib feem pua (qhov siab) hais tias kev quab yuam yuav raug txiav txim rau pej xeem cov cai / kev sib txig sib luag. Nees nkaum plaub feem pua (qhov qis) txog kev rho menyuam tawm. Hauv rau thaj chaw uas cov neeg pov npav tau soj ntsuam, 65% lossis ntau dua hais tias kev quab yuam lossis kev ua phem tsis tuaj yeem ua rau raug cai. Republicans muaj feem ntau dua li Democrats hais tias kev ua phem tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev ncaj ncees rau kev xaiv tsa (38% txog 21%), tus kabmob coronavirus lossis cov cai txhaj tshuaj (27% txog 23%), thiab phom (37% txog 22%). Democrats me ntsis yuav hais tias nws tuaj yeem tsim nyog rau pej xeem cov cai lossis kev sib npaug (36% txog 31%). Tab sis cov txiaj ntsig tau zoo sib xws rau kev rho menyuam (22% Republicans, 24% Democrats) thiab teeb meem kev ua haujlwm (25% Republicans, 26% Democrats).
Cov lus nug no tseem ceeb heev rau kev kawm raws li Dan Cox tau ua. Lawv ua qhov tseem ceeb tshwj xeeb vim tias ntau tus neeg Amelikas xav tias yuav muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv nom tswv feem ntau thiab hauv kev xaiv nom tswv. Txhawm rau ua ib qho xwb, hauv CBS Xov Xwm / YouGov kev xaiv tsa, 38% xav tias yuav muaj kev poob rau hauv kev xaiv tsa thawj tswj hwm yav tom ntej kom lees txais qhov kev poob siab, tab sis 62% xav tias yuav muaj kev kub ntxhov. Ntawm 62% xav kom muaj kev kub ntxhov, tsuas yog 2% hais tias lawv tus kheej yuav pom zoo rau kev quab yuam lossis kev ua phem yog tias lawv sab tsis yeej, thaum 72% hais tias lawv yuav tsis. Ib lub hlis twg tau hais tias nws yuav nyob ntawm qhov xwm txheej.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/bowmanmarsico/2022/01/06/new-polls-on-january-6-part-ii-and-political-violence/