Tshiab Padre Xander Bogaerts 'Bat Sure Yuav Mus Rau Fenway Park

Hauv kev cuam tshuam kawg ntawm 2022 Lub Rooj Sib Tham Lub Caij Ntuj Sov, San Diego Padres tau kos npe rau yav dhau los Red Sox' shortstop Xander Bogaerts rau 11-xyoo, $ 280M daim ntawv cog lus uas yuav kav mus txog nws hnub nyoog 40 lub caij. Cov Padres tau ua tsis tiav thaum kawg them nqi rau ob qho tib si Trea Turner thiab Aaron Tus Kws Txiav Txim ua ntej lub lim tiam, tab sis tsaws ntses loj lub sijhawm no.

Cov Padres tseem siv lawv qhov chaw luv luv-tag nrho-tshaj-thoob-teb lub tswv yim - ze li ib nrab ntawm lawv cov kab ke niaj hnub tam sim no yuav suav nrog cov pab koomtes loj tam sim no lossis yav tom ntej hauv Bogaerts, Manny Machado, Ha-Seong Kim thiab Fernando Tatis Jr. .. Qhov no zoo li yog ib txoj hauv kev zoo, txawm tias koj yuav tsum tau cog lus txog ib txhiab daus las hauv cov txheej txheem.

Thiab rau Red Sox thiab lawv cov kiv cua, qhov no yog tshuaj iab. Ua ntej nrog kev lag luam ntawm franchise pob zeb Mookie Betts thiab tam sim no nrog kev poob ntawm Bogaerts, ib lub koom haum kev sib tw ib zaug tau raug rhuav tshem ua ntej nws lub sijhawm. Nrog lub moos ticking kom txog rau thaum lub hnub qub Rafael Devers 'dawb lub koom haum, qhov kawg ntawm lub sijhawm tshwm sim ze.

Tab sis cia peb tig mus rau qhov ua tau zoo ntawm daim ntawv cog lus no rau Padres. Yog tias koj tau nyeem kuv cov haujlwm tsis ntev los no no, koj paub tias kuv tau braced rau ib co overly pricey daim ntawv cog lus yuav tsum tau txuas mus rau lub xyoo no lub keeb kwm chav kawm ntawv ntawm free neeg sawv cev shortstops. Bogaerts thiab Trea Turner: XNUMX Lab tus kiv cua tos koj rau Webtalk! tam sim no tau pom cov tsev tshiab, thaum Carlos Correa thiab Dansby Swanson tseem tab tom nrhiav. Txawm hais tias kuv xav tias Phillies them nyiaj ntau dua rau Turner, lawv tau tsaws tam sim no zoo tshaj qhov nruab nrab ntawm tus neeg ua si ntawm qhov chaw hwm, thiab txuas ntxiv lub sij hawm kom txo qis AAV siab dua qib uas xav tau los ntawm cov neeg ua si. Ob peb xyoos dhau los tuaj yeem ua rau tsis zoo, tab sis lub club tab tom twv ntawm World Series title ntawm xyoo 1 thiab 4 ntawm qhov kev cog lus.

Kuv txawm tsawg sanguine txog Bogaerts deal. Yog lawm, lawv kuj tau kos npe rau lawv lub hom phiaj rau 11-xyoo kev pom zoo, tab sis tsis muaj AAV luv nqi ntawm no. Cia peb nrog cov khoom pom tseeb ua ntej. Bogaerts yog ib txoj hauj lwm .292-.356-.468 hitter. Ntawm Fenway Park, nws raug ntaus .312-.375-.497. Ntawm txoj kev, nws ntaus .271-.338-.420. Fenway, feem ntau vim yog Green Monster nyob rau hauv sab laug teb, ua rau inflates batting nruab nrab, nrog ib tug tshwj xeeb pronounced nyhuv rau singles thiab doubles. Nyob rau hauv zoo tib yam ntawm cov puav, Bogaerts tau ntaus 22 ntau dua ob npaug thiab 22 ntau homers ntawm Fenway tshaj ntawm txoj kev.

Tam sim no nws tab tom tsiv mus rau qhov chaw ua si hauv tsev ntau dua, Petco Park. Nws tau nthuav tawm qee qhov kev hloov pauv txawv txav hauv ib puag ncig, yuav yog vim muaj kev hloov pauv ntawm cov txheej txheem marine, tab sis ntau zaus tshaj li qhov tsis, Petco tsis tshua muaj phooj ywg rau hitters dua Fenway.

Ntawm qhov kev txhawj xeeb ntau dua, txawm li cas los xij, yog Bogaerts 'batted pob profile. Hauv ib lub caij nkaus xwb nws tau ntaus nws cov khoom ya ya hnyav dua (los ntawm ib nrab tus qauv sib txawv lossis ntau dua) cov pab koomtes nruab nrab, thiab qhov ntawd yog nyob rau hauv COVID-19 kev sib kis-ua rau luv luv 2020 lub caij. Thiab nyob rau hauv 2022, thawj zaug nws qhov nruab nrab ya pob tawm qhov ceev yog materially nyob rau hauv pab koomtes nruab nrab. Tsis muaj qhov zoo sib xws.

Tam sim no tsis muaj qhov hais tias Bogaerts tsis yog tus ntaus pob zoo lossis tias nws yuav tsis muaj hnub nyoog zoo. Nws qhov nruab nrab qhov nruab nrab thiab qhov tawm hauv av nrawm tau ua ntu zus tau zoo tshaj qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov pab koomtes (qhov qub dhau los dhau qhov kev sib txawv ntawm qhov nruab nrab hauv 2018 thiab 2020, qhov kawg ntawm 2016 thiab 2018, dhau ib nrab ntawm 2017 thiab 2019), thiab cov cwj pwm no muaj hnub nyoog zoo. Qhov no yog, ob qho tib si ntawm cov no tsis tau siab dua qhov nruab nrab txij li xyoo 2020, yog li tus qauv tsis zoo nyob ntawd.

Muaj ntau yam nyiam. Nws yog ib tug shortstop, thiab ib tug khoom yog tsis zoo kawg li tiv thaiv nyob rau ntawd. Tsis muaj pov thawj tias nws yuav ploj mus txhua lub sijhawm sai sai - nws qhov profile K / BB, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau sab K, yog qhov tsim nyog, ntxiv rau muaj cov lus hais saum toj no los ntaus pob nyuaj ntawm kab thiab hauv av. Nws feem ntau txau lub pob nyob ib puag ncig hauv av, lwm txoj kev nyiam sib raug zoo nrog qhov nruab nrab zoo batting.

Tab sis nws tsis yog tus neeg ncaws pob zoo, thiab tam sim no nws tau them nyiaj zoo li ib qho - dhau ntawm nws lub hnub nyoog 40 lub caij. Nws qhov zoo tshaj plaws "Tru" Production + (kuv lub pob ntaus pob raws li npe rau wRC +) cov qhab nia yog 128, 124 thiab 123 hauv 2018, 2019 thiab 2021, raws li. Nws "Tru" Production + tau lagged nws wRC + txhua xyoo, feem ntau los ntawm qhov dav dav, thiab tsis zoo li Turner, tsis muaj qhov nrawm nrawm ntawm kev ua si ntawm no. Nws tau txais kev pab nyob rau hauv wRC + chav haujlwm los ntawm Fenway, los ntawm ntau tshaj li qhov kev hloov pauv hauv qhov chaw ua si tau kwv yees.

Xyoo 2022, nws "Tru" Production + ntawm 108 lagged nws Fangraphs wRC + ntawm 134, yuav luag zoo sib xws ntawm 2020 qhov tsis sib xws ntawm 107 vs. 134. Cov Padres tej zaum yuav tau ua txhaum $ 280M rau kev ua txhaum thawj zaug uas yuav tsis raug ntaus 20 homers hauv ib lub caij rau lawv. Thiab thaum, paub tseeb tias, nws tuaj yeem nce nws lub pob ya nrawm heev thiab ntaus ntau homers, qhov kev puas tsuaj nws yuav ua nws qhov nruab nrab batting hauv cov txheej txheem yuav ntau dua li offset nws. Nws tsuas yog tsis ntaus nws cov phom ya hnyav heev.

Yog li tau siv rau Xander Bogaerts hauv San Diego Padres lineup. Nws tsis muaj cov lus xaiv tawm, thiab tsis muaj kev lag luam hauv nws daim ntawv cog lus. Nws yuav nyob ib puag ncig, thiab thaum nws yuav tsis txaj muag rau nws tus kheej, nws yuav tsis tshaj tawm hom lej feem ntau cuam tshuam nrog $ 280M daim ntawv cog lus.