Nasdaq 100 Performance index, QQQ Tshuag forecast: tsis txhob sib ntaus Fed

cov Nasdaq 100 index thiab Invesco QQQ Tshuag tau txais kev hu xov tooj tsis zoo rau hnub Tuesday. Tom qab nce mus rau ib lub xyoo-rau-hnub siab ntawm $ 12,862, tech-heavy Performance index tau thim rov qab los ntawm ntau dua 6.7% rau $ 12,160. Nws tseem tseem ceeb dua li xyoo tas los qhov qis ntawm $ 10,475. 

Tsis txhob sib ntaus Fed

Lub ntsiab lus tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam nyiaj txiag yog kev hloov pauv tsis tu ncua hauv Fed txoj cai. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no qhia tau tias Asmeskas kev lag luam ua tau zoo. Kev nce nqi tseem ceeb tshaj 6%, uas yog siab dua Fed lub hom phiaj ntawm 2.0%. Tus nqi poob haujlwm tau poob mus rau qib qis tshaj hauv 3.4%, qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv ntau dua 50 xyoo.

Yog li, cov lej no txhais tau tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve muaj ntau txoj haujlwm ua. Jerome Powell, tus thawj coj ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve, tau hais tias Fed yuav muaj feem cuam tshuam cov paj laum nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej. Economists cia siab tias lub txhab nyiaj yuav nce 0.50% hauv lub Peb Hlis tom qab taug kev los ntawm 0.25% thaum Lub Ob Hlis. Lub tsev txhab nyiaj twb tau nce los ntawm 450 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus txij li xyoo tas los.

Yog li ntawd, qhov tsis muaj zog hauv Nasdaq 100 index feem ntau yog vim cov tub ua lag luam uas ntshai tsam Federal Reserve. Nyob rau hauv feem ntau lub sij hawm, qhov Performance index nyiam underperform thaum Fed yog hiking. Hauv ib nqe lus, Rick Rieder ntawm Blackrock hais tias:

"Peb xav tias muaj lub sijhawm tsim nyog uas Fed yuav tsum coj Fed Cov Nyiaj Them Nqi rau 6%, thiab tom qab ntawd cia nws nyob ntawd rau lub sijhawm txuas ntxiv kom txo qis kev lag luam thiab nce nyiaj nce mus txog ze li 2%.

Lub caij no, kev lag luam daim ntawv cog lus tseem ceeb toom txog kev lag luam. Qhov 2-xyoo daim ntawv cog lus tau nce mus rau qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2007. Ib yam li ntawd, 10-xyoo daim ntawv cog lus tau nce mus rau 4%, uas txhais tau hais tias cov txiaj ntsig nkhaus tau poob mus rau qhov qis tshaj txij li xyoo 1981.

Feem ntau cov technology cov tuam txhab hauv Nasdaq 100 Performance index tau nyob rau hauv liab. SiriusXM, Moderna, Rivian, D. thiab Enphase yog cov ua yeeb yam phem tshaj plaws hauv qhov ntsuas xyoo no. Lwm qhov kev lag luam tseem ceeb hauv qhov ntsuas yog Honeywell, Walgreens Boots Alliance, ADP, thiab Lululemon. 

Ntawm qhov tod tes, cov koom haum QQQ sab saum toj xyoo no yog Nvidia, Align, Warner Bros Discovery, Meta Platforms, Tesla, thiab Airbnb.

Nasdaq 100 Index forecast

Nasdaq daim duab los ntawm TradingView

Daim ntawv qhia txhua hnub qhia tau tias Nasdaq Performance index tau nyob rau hauv qhov nruj nruj nyob rau hauv ob peb hnub dhau los. Nws tau daig me ntsis saum 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement qib. Qhov ntsuas tau dhia me ntsis saum toj 25-hnub thiab 50-hnub exponential txav nruab nrab (EMA). Nws tseem yog qhov chaw siab tshaj plaws rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 13.

Yog li ntawd, raws li kev sib ntaus sib tua ntawm Fed qhov teeb meem, muaj qhov yuav tshwm sim tias Nasdaq 100 Performance index yuav poob mus ntxiv vim cov neeg muag khoom tsom rau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm $ 11,000. Yog tias qhov no tshwm sim, QQQ tus nqi Tshuag yuav thim rov qab rau kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 250.