(Bloomberg) - Cov khoom lag luam pheej yig hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau teeb tsa lub cim ceeb toom tseem ceeb uas tuaj yeem pom S&P 500 swb ntau npaum li 26% hauv thawj ib nrab xyoo no, raws li Morgan Stanley cov kws tshaj lij.
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Cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tsis ntev los no qhia tias kev lag luam tuaj yeem tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis, tab sis qhov ntawd kuj tau ua rau muaj peev xwm ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve pivot tawm ntawm lub rooj, raws li ib pab neeg coj los ntawm Michael Wilson - qeb thib 1 hauv xyoo tas los Institutional Investor tshawb fawb thaum nws raug kwv yees qhov muag tawm hauv cov khoom lag luam. Qhov ntawd yog tshuav tus nqi siab dua nyob rau hauv txoj kab nkhaus thiab cov khoom lag luam kim dua txhua lub sijhawm txij li xyoo 2007 los ntawm kev ntsuas ntawm kev pheej hmoo pheej hmoo, lawv ntxiv.
Tus nqi pheej hmoo pheej hmoo tau nkag mus rau theem hu ua "qhov chaw tuag", ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo-khoom plig tsis zoo tshwj xeeb vim tias Fed nyob deb ntawm qhov xaus nws cov nyiaj txiag nruj thiab cov kev cia siab ntawm cov nyiaj tau los tseem nyob 10% mus rau 20% siab dhau, Wilson tau hais. "Nws yog lub sijhawm los rov qab mus rau lub hauv paus chaw pw ua ntej cov lus qhia tom ntej hauv cov nyiaj tau los," nws tau sau rau hauv tsab ntawv rau hnub Monday.
Cov kws tshaj lij pom zoo tias S&P 500 tuaj yeem swb mus rau qis li 3,000 - 26% poob los ntawm nws qhov kev kaw tsis ntev los no - hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2023. Qhov ntawd yog "tawm ntawm kev pom zoo ntawm lub sijhawm no," tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov koom haum ua haujlwm. thiab cov neeg lag luam muag khoom lag luam tau nce siab dua li lawv tau nyob hauv ib xyoos, lawv tau hais.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-wilson-says-p-063632540.html