Dow Jones yav tom ntej yuav qhib hnub Sunday yav tsaus ntuj, nrog rau S&P 500 yav tom ntej thiab Nasdaq yav tom ntej, nrog rau kev saib xyuas ntawm CPI daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag thiab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve.
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Kev lag luam kev lag luam tawm rov qab lub lim tiam dhau los nrog cov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb txuas ntxiv lawv cov qauv ntawm kev nce mus rau qhov siab tshiab tab sis tom qab ntawd ploj mus. Nws yog ib qho nyuaj rau kev yuav cov khoom lag luam.
Lub lim tiam tom ntej no cov tub ua lag luam tau txais ib-ob txhaj tshuaj ntawm cov xov xwm loj nyiaj txiag. Hnub Tuesday, Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm yuav tshaj tawm nws lub Kaum Ib Hlis CPI daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag. Hnub Wednesday yav tav su, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav nce nqi ntxiv nrog Fed tus thawj coj Jerome Powell muab cov lus qhia txog kev nruj ntxiv nyob rau thaum ntxov 2023.
Qhov ntawd tuaj yeem yog qhov ua rau muaj kev lag luam loj loj los yog poob, lossis kev ua rau sab nraud tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus. Cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau tos rau daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag thiab Fed xov xwm ua ntej ntxiv qhov tshwm sim.
Breakout tsis ua hauj lwm los yog fizzles yog dav, nrog DXCM Tshuag poob rau hnub Friday tom qab luv luv clearing point rau hnub Thursday ntawm FDA pom zoo.
Tab sis ntawm no yog tsib cov khoom lag luam saib: Dow Jones giants Kab ntsig (CAT) thiab Goldman Sachs (GS), Sanmina (SANM), McKesson (MCK) thiab MercadoLibre (MELI). Kom paub meej, tsis muaj ib qho ntawm cov khoom lag luam no ua tau, nrog MELI Tshuag tshwj xeeb xav tau qee yam haujlwm.
Microsoft (MSFT) yog faring kuj zoo rau megacaps, nrog Kua (AAPL) hauv qab nws 50-hnub kab thiab Tesla (TSLA) sim kom tsis txhob teeb tsa lub lag luam dais tshiab. Tab sis MSFT cov khoom lag luam tseem nyob hauv qab nws txoj kab 200-hnub thiab tsis tau ua tiav ntau lub hli dhau los.
Cov vis dis aus tau muab tso rau hauv tsab xov xwm tau tshuaj xyuas kev ua lag luam hauv qhov tob thiab tshuaj xyuas dexcom ua (DXCM), MercadoLibre thiab CAT Tshuag.
Fed Tej zaum ditch nws 2% Inflation Target - Los yog Economy, S&P 500 Face Hard Landing
CPI Inflation Thiab Fed Lub Rooj Sib Tham
Hnub Tuesday ntxov, Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm yuav tshaj tawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis tus nqi siv khoom lag luam. Zuag qhia tag nrho thiab tseem ceeb CPI tus nqi nce nqi yuav tsum txias nyob rau ob peb lub hlis tom ntej, yog tias tsuas yog vim kev sib piv tau nruj dua. Tab sis cov nqi kev pabcuam tau muaj zog heev.
Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve xav pom ntau qhov kev poob qis ntawm cov kev pabcuam kev nce nqi, nrog rau cov nyiaj tau los, ua ntej yuav tsum tsis txhob muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv. Thaum 2 teev tsaus ntuj ET, Fed xav tias yuav nce nws cov nyiaj tau los ntawm 50 cov ntsiab lus hauv paus, mus rau 4.25% -4.5%, xaus ib txoj hlua ntawm plaub 75-piv-taw tes mus taug kev. Cov tub ua lag luam yuav xav tau qee qhov lus qhia txog lub rooj sib tham Lub Ob Hlis, thiab qhov nyiaj pub nyiaj siab npaum li cas yuav ncav cuag qhov kawg. Kev lag luam tam sim no tus nqi nyob rau lwm qhov ib nrab-point Fed tus nqi nce nyob rau lub Ob Hlis, txawm hais tias muaj lub caij nyoog zoo ntawm lub quarter-point txav.
Fed tus thawj coj Powell cov lus hais thaum 2:30 teev tsaus ntuj ET, nrog rau CPI daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag, tuaj yeem teeb tsa lub suab ntawm Fed txoj cai mus rau xyoo 2023.
Powell thiab ntau tus neeg tsim cai lij choj tau taw qhia tias kev lag luam kev lag luam yuav tsim nyog los coj kev nce nqi tswj hwm.
Dow Jones Hnub No
Dow Jones qhib yav tom ntej thaum 6 teev tsaus ntuj ET Hnub Sunday, nrog S&P 500 them rau yav tom ntej thiab Nasdaq 100 futures.
Nco ntsoov tias kev ua hmo ntuj hauv Dow yav tom ntej thiab lwm qhov tsis tas txhais mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam tiag tiag hauv qhov txuas ntxiv mus Tshuag lag luam kev sib ntsib.
Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Sib Tw
Kev lag luam kev lag luam sib tw pom qhov tseem ceeb thim rov qab rau cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb hauv lub lim tiam dhau los.
Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tau poob 2.8% hauv lub lim tiam dhau los kev ua lag luam Tshuag. S&P 500 Performance index poob 3.4%. Nasdaq composite poob 4%. Tus me-cap Russell 2000 plunged 5%.
Lub 10-xyoo Treasury yield tau nce 6 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 3.57%, rov qab los ntawm 3.4% ib nrab lub lis piam.
US cov roj av yav tom ntej tau poob 11% rau $ 71.02 ib chim lub lim tiam dhau los, nrog rau cov roj av yav tom ntej poob 9.8%. Ob leeg ntaus 2022 qis. Natural gas nqi poob 0.6%.
ETFs
Ntawm qhov tseem ceeb ETFs, iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) poob qis 4.6%, nrog rau Microsoft cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb. Lub VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (Smh) rov qab 1.7%.
Kev xav txog ntau-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) poob 9.2% lub lim tiam dhau los thiab ARK Genomics ETF (ARKGYog ') 8.1%. TSLA Tshuag yog qhov tuav loj thoob plaws Ark Invest's ETFs.
SPDR S&P Hlau & Mining ETF (XME) muab 6.4% lub lim tiam dhau los. Lub Ntiaj Teb X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PHOO) poob rov qab 2.85%. Teb Chaws Asmeskas Ntiaj Teb Jets ETF (LUJ) nce 3.3%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) poob 2%. Lub Zog Xaiv SPDR ETF (XLE) dived 8.45%, txiav txim siab tawg nws 50-hnub kab. Cov Nyiaj Txiag Xaiv SPDR ETF (XLF3.9% rov qab. Kev Kho Mob Xaiv Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) poob 1.3% tom qab nce hauv yim ntawm cuaj lub lis piam ua ntej.
Tsib Qhov Zoo Tshaj Suav Suav Los Saib Tam Sim No
Megacap Tshuag
Apple cov khoom lag luam poob 3.8% hauv lub lim tiam dhau los, poob qis dua qhov tseem ceeb hnub Tuesday thiab ntaus tawm tsam rau hnub Friday. Cov xov xwm phem ntawm iPhone ntau lawm tej zaum yuav raug nqi nyob rau hauv, thiab AAPL Tshuag yog rebounding.
Cov phooj ywg Dow tech titan Microsoft Tshuag tseem poob 3.8%, tab sis tuav kev txhawb nqa ntawm 21-hnub kab, qis qis tshaj qhov nce 50-hnub xwb. Tab sis nws zoo hauv qab 200-hnub kab. MSFT cov khoom lag luam yog qhov tseem ceeb sib piv rau ib hlis dhau los, zoo li S&P 500 thiab Nasdaq.
Tesla Tshuag poob 8.1% hauv lub lim tiam dhau los, txawm tias hnub Friday 3.2% pop. TSLA Tshuag tau dhia saum toj tsis ntev los no dais lag luam qis. Tesla tau tshaj tawm cov kev txhawb siab tshiab Tuam Tshoj lub lim tiam dhau los no nrog kev tshaj tawm xov xwm tshaj tawm tias Shanghai cog yuav txiav cov khoom lag luam loj nyob rau ob peb lub lis piam tom ntej, txawm tias yuav tsum tso tawm Model Y.
Tesla Vs. BYD: Yam EV Giant Yog Qhov Yuav Zoo Dua?
Cov Khoom Yuav Mus Saib
Caterpillar Tshuag poob 3.7% rau 227.29 lub lim tiam dhau los, undercutting 21-hnub kab. Kev thim rov qab tuaj yeem xaus ua qhov kev sib cav sib ceg. CAT Tshuag muaj ib muas point ntawm 238 lossis 239.95 los ntawm lub khob ntev. Hauv lwm lub lim tiam, Dow cov cuab yeej hnyav hnyav tuaj yeem muaj pav ca nrog qhov 239.95 buy point. Kev ncua ntev me ntsis yuav cia txoj kab nrawm nrawm 50-hnub nqaim qhov sib txawv nrog CAT Tshuag.
Goldman Tshuag poob qis 5.6% nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los rau 359.14, ib puag ncig-tawm ntawm kev tawm tsam los ntawm khob base nrog 358.72 yuav taw tes, ua ntej nce me ntsis saum nws. Ib qho khoom bounce los ntawm no tuaj yeem muab kev nkag tshiab, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tias 50-hnub lossis 10-lub lim tiam kab ntes tau. Ntawm daim ntawv qhia txhua lub limtiam GS Tshuag muaj 13-hli khob-nrog-kuav puag, nrog 389.68 qhov yuav khoom, raws li MarketSmith tsom xam. Lub lim tiam dhau los tam sim no tau tsim qhov tob ntxiv ntawm qhov kov, uas kuj tuaj yeem dhau los ua lub hauv paus tiaj tus hauv ib lub lis piam.
Sanmina Tshuag poob 7.3% rau 62.48 lub lim tiam dhau los no. SANM cov khoom lag luam tau sib sau ua ke nruj hauv thaj chaw tau txais txiaj ntsig tom qab lub Kaum Hli Ntuj tawg los ntawm lub khob puag. Shares tuaj yeem pib thim rov qab mus rau 50-hnub / 10-lub lim tiam kab, muab lub sijhawm yuav khoom, txawm tias qhov poob qis txhua lub lim tiam. SANM Tshuag tseem tab tom ua haujlwm ntawm lub hauv paus ua tau.
McKesson Tshuag poob 4% rau 371.37 lub lim tiam dhau los, poob rau hnub Friday kom qis dua 50-hnub thiab 10-lub lim tiam kab. MCK cov khoom lag luam tab tom ua haujlwm ntawm kev sib sau ua ke tshiab tom qab kev muag muag muag thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 10-11 uas ua rau muaj kev tiv thaiv ntau yam khoom kho mob. Ib qho kev txav siab tshaj lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2 siab ntawm 389.45 tuaj yeem muab kev nkag thaum ntxov, tseem nyob ze rau qhov nruab nrab ntawm kev txav mus los.
MELI Tshuag poob 5.1% rau 896.48, nws qhov thib plaub ncaj nraim poob txhua lub lis piam. Lub Latin American e-lag luam thiab kev them nyiaj loj loj muaj 1,095.44 qhov yuav khoom, nrog rau qhov kev nkag mus rau ib ncig ntawm 1,025. Kev nkag mus rau qhov hnyav tuaj yeem yog qhov kev txiav txim siab rov qab los ntawm MELI cov khoom lag luam qhov nruab nrab, nrog rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2 siab ntawm 957 raws li qhov tshwm sim. Thaum MercadoLibre Tshuag tau nce qis dua, qhov poob txhua lub lim tiam tuaj ntawm cov ntim sib zog nrog qee qhov muaj zog zoo kaw.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Ua Lag Luam
Ib lub lim tiam dhau los, kev sib tw ua lag luam tau nce siab tshiab, nrog rau S&P 500 saum nws 200-hnub kab thawj zaug hauv lub hlis. Tab sis raws li cov tub ua lag luam rov ntsuam xyuas cov hauj lwm tshaj tawm thiab Fed tus thawj coj Powell cov lus pom, cov txiaj ntsig loj tau thim rov qab.
S&P 500 poob qis dua nws txoj kab 200-hnub, thaum Nasdaq tau sim nws 50-hnub. Ob leeg ntaus tawm tsam ntawm 21-hnub kab lig hauv lub lim tiam. Lub Russell 2000 poob qis dua nws cov kab 200-hnub thiab 21-hnub thiab tuaj yeem nqes mus rau nws 50-hnub, tsuas yog txiav nws txoj kab 10-lub lim tiam.
Lub rooj sib tham-tus thawj coj Dow tuav kev txhawb nqa nyob ib puag ncig nws 21-hnub.
S&P 500 yog qhov tseem ceeb uas nws nyob tom qab Kaum Ib Hlis 10, thaum lub Kaum Hli Ntuj CPI kev nce nqi tshaj tawm cov khoom lag luam. Lub Nasdaq thiab Russell 2000 rov qab mus rau cov theem thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis, tab sis kuj thaum lub Kaum Hli Ntuj.
Yog tias koj yuav tsum tsim qhov xwm txheej los ntxias cov tub ua lag luam kom rov qab ua dua, qhov kev nce siab tam sim no yuav yog qhov kev nthuav dav: Kev lag luam sib tw ntawm ob peb qhov kev nce qib loj hauv ib hnub tom qab los ntawm kev thim rov qab ntau zaus.
Nws tseem yog ib qho kev lees paub kev lag luam rally. Txawm li cas los xij, kev poob ntxiv, xws li Nasdaq lossis tshwj xeeb tshaj yog S&P 500 kom meej meej rhuav tshem lawv cov kab 50-hnub, yuav muaj kev txhawj xeeb.
Hnub Tuesday Lub Kaum Ib Hlis CPI daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev nce nqi thiab hnub Wednesday Fed lub rooj sib tham tshaj tawm thiab Powell cov lus tuaj yeem muab lub zog rau kev sib tw ua lag luam, lossis kev txiav txim siab muag. Tab sis lawv kuj tuaj yeem txhawb nqa lwm lub lag luam loj loj uas zoo li txiav txim siab, tsuas yog ua raws li lwm qhov rub rov qab lossis rov qab.
Lub Sijhawm Kev Ua Lag Luam Nrog IBD Txoj Haujlwm Kev Ua Lag Luam ETF
Ua Dab Tsi Tam Sim No
Cov neeg ua lag luam yuav tsum ceev faj txog kev nthuav dav ntxiv kom txog thaum CPI daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev nce nqi thiab Fed lub rooj sib tham nyob rau hauv daim iav rearview. Txawm hais tias kev lag luam dhia ntawm cov ntaub ntawv nce nqi thiab Fed tus thawj coj Powell cov lus pom, cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau xaiv txog kev yuav khoom tshiab, yog tias qhov ntsuas tseem ceeb tsuas yog poob rov qab rau ob peb ntu tom ntej.
Qee lub sij hawm ib qho kev txhawb nqa, kev lag luam tsis tu ncua yuav tuav. Thaum qhov no tshwm sim, kev yuav khoom yuav muaj ntau.
Yog li npaj koj cov khoom lag luam hnub so khoom lag luam npaj. Ib tug loj tus naj npawb ntawm cov khoom lag luam los ntawm ntau lub sectors tau teeb tsa lossis ze rau qhov ua li ntawd.
nyeem Daim Duab Loj txhua txhua hnub nyob rau hauv sync nrog kev ua lag luam kev taw qhia thiab ua lag luam thiab cov sectors.
Thov ua raws li Ed Carson ntawm Twitter ntawm @IBD_ECarson rau cov khoom lag luam hloov tshiab thiab ntau dua.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/market-rally-awaits-cpi-inflation-report-federal-reserve-what-to-do/?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo