Mariners 'Julio Rodriguez Tsim nyog Nws Lucrative, Complex New Contract

Ntau lub koom haum - tshwj xeeb tshaj yog Atlanta Braves - tau hustling kos npe rau lawv cov tub ntxhais hluas zoo tshaj plaws rau kev sib cog lus mus sij hawm ntev hauv lub hlis / xyoo tsis ntev los no. Lub Braves tau kaw Ronald Acuna Jr., Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley thiab Michael Harris rau kev sib koom ua ke hauv pab pawg. Albies 'kev pom zoo, tshwj xeeb, yog club-phooj ywg uas nws tawm tsam kev ncaj ncees, thiab kuv tsis ua cov lus no maj mam.

Cov Braves tau ua txoj haujlwm zoo los txhim kho cov neeg no, uas zoo li muaj txiaj ntsig nyob ua ke rau lub sijhawm ntev thiab yeej ib pawg ntawm cov khoom siv zoo heev, tej zaum ntawm cov nuj nqis ntawm lawv txoj haujlwm tau txais lub zog.

Julio Rodriguez, ntawm qhov tod tes, yog Mariner. Kuv tau ua haujlwm hauv Seattle ib pliag, thiab txawm tias thaum ntawd, nws tau ntev lawm txij li lawv yeej. Ichiro tseem nyob ntawd, thiab txawm tias nws yog ib lub hnub qub ci ntsa iab, nws tsis yog neeg hauv tsev, zoo li Ken Griffey Jr. ua ntej nws. Rodriguez yog tus txiv leej tub uas cov kiv cua tau tos txij li Junior, thiab tam sim no lawv zoo siab vim tias tus menyuam tshiab xav nyob hauv Pacific Northwest rau lub sijhawm ntev.

Nws tuaj yeem ua tau ntau npaum li $ 470M ntau li ntau li 18 lub caij, pib xyoo no. Nws tau lees tias yuav khwv tau $ 120M txog xyoo 2029, thiab tom qab ntawd qhov kev pom zoo tuaj yeem mus rau ib qho ntawm peb txoj hauv kev. Yog tias nws tsis zoo dhau qhov kev ncua ntawd, nws tuaj yeem siv 5-xyoo, $ 90M kev xaiv. Yog tias nws dhau los ua tus megastar feem ntau txhua tus ntseeg tias nws yuav yog, lub club tuaj yeem siv 8 lossis 10-xyoo kev xaiv uas tuaj yeem muaj txiaj ntsig nyob qhov twg los ntawm $ 200-350M raws li nws qhov chaw tso rau hauv MVP pov npav ntawm tam sim no thiab 2029.

Nws yeej yog ib daim ntawv cog lus muaj tswv yim heev uas muab tus nqi rau ob tus neeg ua si thiab club. Kev lag luam hauv pem teb yog qhov zoo nkauj staggering ib qho yog tias nws tsis dhau los ua lub hnub qub, thiab lub qab nthab, thaum geometrically txawm ntau staggering, tseem muab nqi tshaj daim ntawv cog lus yog tias nws dhau los ua lub ntsej muag ntawm qhov kev ua si.

Yuav kom tau txais qhov kev pom zoo no, ib tus yuav tsum yog tus neeg ua si tiam neeg. Thiab tsis txhob saib tam sim no, tab sis kuv tau ntsuas qhov kev ua tau zoo me me thiab cov pab koomtes loj rau ntau dua ib tiam tam sim no, yog li cia peb rov qab mus saib qhov twg J-Rod qeb duas piv rau lwm qhov tshwm sim ntawm cov pab koomtes me thiab lub caij nyoog tshiab. .

Txij li thaum xyoo 1993, kuv tau txheeb xyuas cov kev cia siab me me uas siv kuv txoj Kev Tsim Nyog Muaj Peev Xwm txheeb ze. Nws ntsuas cov neeg ua haujlwm OBP thiab SLG txheeb ze rau lawv cov pab koomtes, hloov kho rau hnub nyoog thiab qib, tab sis tsis kho rau txoj haujlwm lossis chaw ua si hauv tsev. Nws yog ib daim ntawv teev npe uas ua haujlwm raws li tus tswv ua raws li cov ntaub ntawv, lub ntsiab lus pib los ntawm kev coj ua ntau yam kev tshawb fawb.

Rodriguez ua tiav 15th ntawm kuv daim ntawv teev npe 2019, thiab thib 5 hauv 2021 (tsis muaj lub caij sib tw me me hauv 2020 vim yog COVID-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw). Txij li thaum xyoo 1994, muaj 61 tus neeg ua si uas tau ua tiav hauv 15 ntawm kuv daim ntawv teev npe hauv cov kev sib tw me me rov qab. (Plaub tus neeg ua si ntxiv, Manny Ramirez, Jim Thome, Chipper Jones thiab Cliff Floyd tej zaum yuav ua rau nws 65 tau muaj npe xyoo 1992.)

64 ntawm cov 65 ua si hauv cov pab koomtes loj - A's 1B qhov zeem muag Miles Head (#12 hauv 2011, #7 hauv 2012) yog qhov zam. Ib pawg ntau dua tsis tau dhau los ua MLB li niaj zaus - Victor Diaz, Alex Escobar, Chad Hermansen, Josh Kroeger (ua si hauv tus phooj ywg-tus phooj ywg Tucson hauv hitter-friendly PCL), Calvin Pickering thiab Chris Snelling. Andy Marte thiab Oscar Taveras tuag. Thiab Wander Franco tseem tsis tau tsim nyog ua MLB tsis tu ncua.

Cov seem ntawm lawv tau ua MLB ib txwm muaj tsawg kawg ib lub caij, thiab feem ntau tau ntau, ntau dua li ntawd. Tsuas yog 16 tus players uas tseem tshuav tau tshaj tawm tsawg dua 10 txoj haujlwm WAR, thiab mus txog qib ntawd nyuaj dua li qhov koj xav.

Ib qho ntawm thawj tus neeg ua si uas tau txais kev cog lus ntev MLB ua ntej mus txog qhov loj - Astro 1B Jon Singleton - yog ib qho ntawm 16 tus neeg ua si. Hauv txoj kev xav, nws yuav yog ib zaj dab neeg ceeb toom rau Mariners 'kev nqis peev hauv Rodriguez. Tab sis nws tau lees tias ib feem ntawm Rodriguez 'zes qe - nws tsis yias tawm, thiab Astros shrugged nws tawm thiab teeb tsa lub club championship.

Puas muaj kev pheej hmoo ntau npaum li cas yog Mariners tiag tiag noj ntawm no? Cia peb saib ntawm 20 qhov kev cia siab zoo tshaj plaws / rookies rov qab mus rau 1994 hais txog lawv cov menyuam yaus (siv kuv qhov kev ntsuam xyuas tau hais los saum no) thiab cov pab koomtes loj thaum ntxov (raws li lub hnub nyoog rookie xyoo / OPS +) pedigrees thiab pom qhov twg J-Rod haum:

# 20 - 1B ANTHONY RIZZO - (MLB rookie hnub nyoog = 22, OPS + = 116) – Rizzo ranked 5th ntawm kuv 2011 me daim ntawv teev npe, thiab 4th nyob rau hauv 2012. Nws thaws ib ncig me ntsis ua ntej tsim nws tus kheej nyob rau hauv lub loj pab koomtes raws li ib tug Cub, thiab tau sau 39.1 MLB WAR. Muaj kev tsis ntseeg nyob rau qee lub sijhawm hauv nws txoj haujlwm AAA txog seb nws puas yuav yog MLB lub hnub qub, tab sis tsuas yog lub sijhawm luv luv xwb.

# 19 - ntawm Adam DUNN – (22, 121) – Tsis txhob luag. Dunn yog ib tug stud, tus txiv neej loj uas muaj peev xwm khiav tau tiag tiag thaum nws nyob hauv cov pab pawg me. Nws ranked 15th ntawm kuv 2000 daim ntawv teev, thiab 1st nyob rau hauv 2001. Nws lub hwj chim yog evergreen, tab sis txhua yam pib rov qab mus sai sai. Dunn tau sau 17.9 MLB WAR.

# 18 - NTAWM MOOKIE BETTS – (22, 117) – Me ntsis, koj hais? Zoo, nco ntsoov tias peb tab tom ntsuas cov players no raws li lawv lub hnub nyoog thiab MLB kev ua tau zoo hauv lawv lub caij nyoog tshiab. Betts tau laus dua thiab tsis muaj txiaj ntsig ntau dua li feem ntau ntawm cov neeg ua si hauv Top 20. Nws tau nyob #9 ntawm kuv 2013 cov npe sib tw me, thiab #4 hauv 2014. Betts muaj 55.6 MLB WAR thiab suav.

# 17 - 1B VLADIMIR GUERRERO JR. – (20, 106) – Nws txiv yuav tig los tom qab ntawm daim ntawv teev npe no. Guerrero ranked 2nd ntawm kuv 2017 cov npe sib tw me thiab thib 1 hauv 2018. Nws tau pib ua MLB ib txwm muaj thaum muaj hnub nyoog 20 - khi rau tus yau tshaj ntawm cov npe no - yog li 106 OPS + yog qhov txaus nyiam heev. Nws twb muaj 12.9 MLB WAR.

# 16 - 3B SCOTT ROLEN – (22, 121) – Peb Thawj Pawg Ntseeg. Rolen ua tiav 12th ntawm kuv daim ntawv teev npe xyoo 1995, thiab thib 4 hauv xyoo 1996. Nws tau txais 70.1 MLB WAR thiab tau nkag mus rau hauv Hall tom qab qee qhov kev tshwm sim ntxov. Nco ntsoov tias peb tseem laus dua thiab ua haujlwm tsawg dua Julio Rodriguez - 2022.

# 15 - NTAWM GRADY SIZEMORE – (22, 123) – Me ntsis ntawm ib tug ceeb toom taleas ntawm no. Tsis muaj leej twg yuav tau twv thib ob ntawm cov neeg Khab yog tias lawv muab cov yuam sij rau lub nroog thaum ntxov hauv nws txoj haujlwm, tab sis kev raug mob thaum kawg tau tsoo nws. Nws ua tiav 2nd ntawm kuv daim ntawv teev npe xyoo 2002 thiab 15th hauv 2003. Nws tseem muaj peev xwm khaws tau 27.8 MLB WAR.

# 14 - 3B EVAN LONGORIA – (22, 127) – Kev raug mob tau plagued rau theem tom ntej ntawm nws txoj hauj lwm, tab sis tsis txhob hnov ​​qab tias tus txiv neej no zoo npaum li cas. Nws ua tiav 6th ntawm kuv daim ntawv teev npe xyoo 2006, thiab 4th hauv 2017. Tam sim no nws tau nce 58.5 MLB WAR. Peb tseem laus dua thiab ua haujlwm tsawg dua 2022 Julio.

# 13 - Los ntawm BJ UPTON – (22, 136) – OK, tam sim no peb laus dua tab sis me ntsis ua tau zoo dua Julio. Kuv xav tias qhov no yog lwm cov lus ceeb toom. Upton tsis nco qab yuav ua li cas ntaus thaum tseem yog ib tug tub hluas tsim nyog. Nws tau ua tiav nyob rau saum 15 ntawm kuv cov npe sib tw me peb zaug ncaj - 6th, 1st thiab 9th hauv 2003-04-05. Upton mob nrog "tsuas yog" 16.8 MLB WAR.

# 12 - SS COREY SEAGER - (22, 134) - Seager tau them nyiaj dawb hauv lub koom haum pub dawb lub caij so dhau los no, thiab yuav tau txais $ 31.5M hauv nws hnub nyoog 37 lub caij. Kuv xav hais tias M's muaj ntau yam upside tshaj lawv franchise player daim ntawv cog lus tshaj Rangers. Seager ua tiav 12th hauv kuv 2013 qeb duas, thiab 7th hauv 2014. Nws muaj 25.1 MLB WAR tam sim no.

# 11 - 1B FREDDIE FREEMAN – (21, 116) – Peb tab tom tau zoo nkauj ze rau thaj tsam Julio tam sim no. Tib lub hnub nyoog li Rodriguez li ib tug neeg tshiab, me ntsis tsim khoom. Freeman kuj muaj peb lub caij ncaj ncaj 15 lub caij, ua tiav 5th, 15th thiab 6th hauv 2008-10. Nws tseem nyob saum nws qhov kev ua si, thiab muaj 48.0 WAR hauv txhab nyiaj.

# 10 - VLADIMIR GUERRERO - (22, 117) - Ntawm cov 1st xyoo tsis tu ncua tus lej ib leeg, tej zaum nws yuav qis me ntsis ntawm daim ntawv teev npe no, tab sis nws yog tus ciam teb tsis tu ncua xyoo ntawd, thiab nws cov khoom tau nce mus rau 150 OPS + thaum muaj hnub nyoog 23. Nws ua tiav 9th ntawm kuv. Cov npe sib tw me hauv xyoo 1995, thiab thib 2 hauv xyoo 1996. Nws tau tshaj tawm 59.5 txoj haujlwm WAR, thiab nyob hauv Hall of Fame.

# 9 - 3B ADRIAN BELTRE – (20, 114) – Ib qho nyuaj rau qeb ntawm no. Muaj lub caij zoo nkauj heev, thiab tom qab ntawd tus puav tau rov qab mus rau ib ntus. Nws ua tiav 3rd, 1st thiab 11th hauv kuv qhov kev sib tw me me los ntawm 1996-98. Pom tseeb, lub hnab looj tes yeej ib txwm nyob ntawd, tej zaum yuav zoo dua li Rolen's, thiab nws 93.5 WAR yuav ua rau nws yooj yim Hall of Famer thaum nws tsim nyog.

# 8 - NTAWM GIANCARLO STANTON – (20, 118) – Ranked 2nd, 4th and 1st on my 2008-10 lists. Tau zoo nkauj kom meej meej ib tug puav-thawj lub zeem muag los ntawm qhov tau-mus, tab sis tus puav tau meej meej zoo nkauj tshwj xeeb. Ntau qhov kev raug mob ntawm txoj kev, tab sis Stanton tau racked 44.9 WAR rau hnub tim.

# 7 - DH YORDAN ALVAREZ YOG – (22, 173) – Hais txog qhov nyuaj rau qeb. Ib tug laus rookie tshaj tag nrho cov players nyob rau theem no ntawm daim ntawv teev npe, tab sis nws rookie xyoo ntau lawm nyob deb thiab deb qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm leej twg. Tab sis ua ntej peb mus vwm khiav nws mus rau qhov siab dhau lawm, nws yog DH ntshiab thiab tau raug mob. 4th, 11th thiab 7th ntawm kuv cov npe 2017-19.

# 6 - JULIO RODRIGUEZ – (21, 131) – Nws nyob ntawm no. Twb tau muaj 4.4 WAR hauv tsawg dua MLB tag nrho lub caij. Ua si qhov xav tau kev tiv thaiv zoo, ua rau nws pom tseeb ntawm Stanton, Alvarez. Nws yog qhov tseeb los ntawm kev saib cov neeg ua si hauv qab nws ntawm daim ntawv teev npe no tias Mariners muaj txoj cai lij choj ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm lawv qhov kev pom zoo txog nws lub neej yav tom ntej. Tsuas yog tias....

# 5 - NTAWM JASON HEYWARD - (20, 131) - Yog, Kuv yuav tsum ntsuas Heyward ua ntej Rodriguez. Raws li ib tug neeg tshiab, nws tau ua tiav zoo li Julio thiab nws tseem hluas dua ib xyoos. Nws kuj yog ib tug tshwj xeeb tiv thaiv outfielder. Yog hais tias lub Braves muab nws lub sijhawm ntawd version ntawm Julio daim ntawv cog lus, tsis muaj leej twg yuav tau ntaus lub qhov muag. Nws tau ua tiav 6th ntawm kuv 2008 cov npe sib tw me, thiab 1st hauv 2009. Nws raug mob kom tau txais tus neeg sawv cev dawb loj nrog Cubs, yeej lub nplhaib Ntiaj Teb Series, thiab tsis yog qhov kev nqis peev uas muaj ntau yam koj xav tau ( 38.7 career WAR). Qhov ntawd tau hais tias, yog tias Rodriguez muaj hnub nyoog la Heyward, Mariner kiv cua yuav tsis zoo siab.

# 4 - SS CARLOS CORREA – (20, 135) – 1st tag nrho cov ntawv xaiv. 7th, 11th, 1st ntawm kuv 2013-15 cov npe sib tw me. Ib tug 20-xyoo-laus MLB tsis tu ncua raws li ib tug rookie nrog 135 OPS +. Tau muaj qee qhov kev raug mob ntawm txoj kev, thiab tseem yog angling rau nws thawj zaug HUGE dawb tus neeg saib xyuas them nyiaj, tab sis twb tau ua tiav 37.8 WAR.

# 3 - RONALD ACUNA JR. - (20, 143) - Tsis yog tus neeg ua haujlwm pub dawb uas tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo heev, tab sis ntaus los ntawm Hnub Ib ntawm cov menyuam yaus, ua tiav 14th ntawm kuv daim ntawv teev npe xyoo 2016 thiab thib 1 hauv 2017. Tsis tau nws tus kheej tom qab raug mob hauv caug mob hnyav kawg. lub caij, tab sis tsis muaj kev txhawj xeeb loj. Tseem tsis tau 25, thiab twb muaj 17.1 WAR.

# 2 - NTAWM MIKE TROUT – (20, 168) – Ob tug txiv neej sab saum toj zoo li #1 thiab #1A. Kuv muab Trout tso rau ntawm no vim nws yog 2nd ntawm rov qab-rau-rov qab cov npe me me hauv xyoo 2010-11, thaum lwm tus txiv neej yog #1 xyoo sib law liag. Trout tau sau 80.5 txoj hauj lwm WAR, tab sis tau tsoo phab ntsa raug mob hauv ob peb lub caij dhau los. Kev xav txog kev sim - Mariners puas yuav zoo siab nrog Mike Trout ntau lawm txog hnub nyoog 28 xyoo, ua raws li kev poob qis los ntawm Julio tom qab lawv siv nws qhov kev xaiv max?

# 1 - NWS ALEX RODRIGUEZ – (20, 161) – Lwm yam, tseem tsis tau hais txog homegrown M tus superstar. Tau kawg, nws tawm hauv Seattle sai li sai tau, thiab qhov ntawd tsis tau hnov ​​qab. Txawm li cas los xij, nws yog qhov kev cia siab zoo tshaj plaws ntawm tiam kawg-ntxiv, ua tiav 1st ntawm kuv 1994 thiab 1995 cov npe sib tw me. 117.6 MLB WAR. Nws qhia meej tias yuav tsim nyog ib qho kev cog lus uas lig-90s Mariners yuav tau muab rau nws.

Yog li, raws li Julio Rodriguez 'cov ntaub ntawv sib tw me me thiab qhov ua tau zoo ntawm cov pab koomtes thaum ntxov, Kuv xav hais tias Mariners muaj txoj hauv kev zoo kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm lawv cov peev. Yog tias nws dhau los ua ib lub hnub qub nruab nrab - ib qho kev nyab xeeb zoo nkauj - daim ntawv cog lus yuav tsum them rau nws tus kheej.

Tab sis M's tab tom nrhiav ntau tshaj qhov ntawd - lawv tab tom nrhiav rau tus nqi loj dua li daim ntawv cog lus. Thiab feem ntau ntawm cov neeg ua si nyob ib puag ncig ntawm Rodriguez ntawm daim ntawv teev npe no yuav tau xa qhov ntawd. Qhov downside? Tej zaum Jason Heyward, thiab qhov ntawd tsis yog phem. Ib qho bonanza thaum ntxov, ua raws li qhov muaj peev xwm loj-nyiaj flameout, zoo li Mike Trout qhov xwm txheej tsis zoo tam sim no, kuj tseem nyob hauv qhov muaj peev xwm. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj plaws yog Julio Rodriguez zoo, thiab txhua tus zoo siab.