Manhattan cov tsev muag khoom poob qis hauv Q4, cov neeg ua lag luam ntshai kev lag luam khov

Manhattan cov tsev muag khoom poob 29% hauv Q4 2022, poob loj tshaj plaws txij li pib muaj kev sib kis

Manhattan cov tsev muag khoom tau poob los ntawm 29% hauv lub quarter thib plaub, ua rau muaj kev ntshai ntawm lub khw muag khoom khov uas cov neeg yuav khoom thiab cov neeg muag khoom nyob rau sab nraud vim kev lag luam thiab kev ntshai ntshai.

Muaj 2,546 qhov muag hauv peb lub hlis twg, nqis los ntawm 3,560 xyoo tas los, raws li tsab ntawv ceeb toom los ntawm Douglas Elliman thiab Miller Samuel. Qhov kev poob qis yog qhov loj tshaj plaws txij li lub quarter thib peb ntawm 2020, thaum lub sijhawm muaj kev sib kis loj.

Cov nqi kuj tau poob rau thawj zaug txij li thaum ntxov 2020, nrog rau tus nqi nruab nrab nqes 5.5%.

Qhov kev poob qis hauv kev muag khoom thiab tus nqi yog qhov kawg ntawm qhov kev hais lus nrov nrov hauv Manhattan vaj tsev tom qab hnub phem tshaj plaws ntawm kev sib kis thiab ua rau muaj kev ntshai ntawm kev tsis muaj zog txuas ntxiv mus rau xyoo tshiab. Cov paj laum nce ntxiv, kev lag luam tsis muaj zog thiab kev lag luam poob qis, uas muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev rau Manhattan vaj tsev, txhua tus yuav hnyav rau kev ua lag luam xyoo no.

Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais tias lawv qhov kev txhawj xeeb loj yog qhov kev sib tw ntev ntev ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom thiab cov neeg muag khoom - nrog cov neeg muag khoom tsis kam sau npe thaum tus nqi poob thiab cov neeg yuav khoom ncua lawv cov kev tshawb fawb kom txog thaum cov nqi poob ntxiv.

Jonathan Miller, CEO ntawm Miller Samuel, lub tuam txhab soj ntsuam thiab kev lag luam tshawb fawb tau hais tias "Kuv tuaj yeem pom kev lag luam hloov mus rau sab nraud, nrog qee qhov kev poob qis hauv qee qhov haujlwm," said Jonathan Miller, CEO ntawm Miller Samuel. "Thiab nws tuaj yeem ua rau tsis muaj zog ntxiv yog tias muaj qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev poob haujlwm thiab poob haujlwm."

Txawm hais tias tus nqi thiab kev muag khoom poob qis, txawm li cas los xij, cov khoom muag tseem nruj raws li cov neeg muag khoom tuav tawm ntawm cov npe. Muaj 6,523 chav nyob hauv kev ua lag luam thaum kawg ntawm lub quarter thib plaub, raws li tsab ntawv ceeb toom, tsuas yog 5% ntawm xyoo tas los tab sis tseem zoo hauv qab qhov nruab nrab ntawm keeb kwm ntawm ib ncig ntawm 8,000. Yog tias tsis muaj qhov nce ntau hauv cov khoom muag, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais tias tus nqi tsis zoo li yuav poob txaus los ntxias ntau tus neeg yuav khoom tos kom txo nqi. Qhov nruab nrab luv nqi los ntawm thawj daim ntawv teev nqi rau cov nqi muag khoom yog 6.5%, nce los ntawm 4.1% hauv peb lub hlis twg, raws li Serhant.

Cov paj laum nce ntxiv kuj tau hloov ntau tus neeg yuav khoom hauv Manhattan rau hauv tag nrho cov nyiaj ntsuab deals, uas suav txog 55% ntawm tag nrho cov muag khoom hauv lub quarter thib plaub, qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov ntaub ntawv, raws li Miller.

Raws li nrog ntau qhov kev rov qab los, ntu high-end thiab khoom kim heev tseem yog qhov muaj zog tshaj plaws. Tus nqi muag khoom nruab nrab rau cov chav tsev khoom kim heev - txhais tau tias yog qhov siab tshaj 10% ntawm kev ua lag luam - nce 4% hauv lub quarter thib plaub, piv rau kev poob qis hauv kev lag luam dav dav hauv Manhattan. Tus nqi nruab nrab rau cov chav tsev khoom kim heev tau nce 21% piv rau 2019, ob npaug ntawm kev nce ntxiv raws li kev lag luam dav.

Kev pom zoo rau 2023

Cov raj xa dej ntawm kev sib cog lus hauv kev ua haujlwm lossis tsis ntev los no tau kos npe qhia tias qeeb thawj peb lub hlis twg. Tsuas muaj 2,312 daim ntawv cog lus kos npe hauv lub quarter thib plaub, poob 43% xyoo tas los, raws li Corcoran. Lub quarter yog qhov phem tshaj plaws rau cov ntawv cog lus tshiab tau kos npe hauv kaum xyoo dhau los, raws li tsab ntawv ceeb toom los ntawm Serhant.

"Cov ntawv cog lus tau kos npe yog qhov taw qhia ncua sij hawm ntawm kev thov thiab sau npe ib qho kev ua tiav qeeb tshaj plaws rau txhua xyoo txij li xyoo 2008," raws li Corcoran.

Cov tub lag luam, txawm li cas los xij, hais tias lawv tseem muaj kev cia siab thiab ntau tus tau kwv yees qhov kev xav tsis thoob hauv xyoo 2023, vim tias cov nqi ruaj khov thiab cov neeg yuav khoom pom cov hauv kev hauv kev lag luam softer. John Gomes, tus tsim ntawm pab pawg Eklund Gomes ntawm Douglas Elliman, tau hais tias Lub Kaum Ob Hlis yog "qhov hluav taws kub" nrog kev npau taws ntawm kev cog lus rau xyoo kawg.

Nws tau hais tias "Nws tau ntes peb ntawm kev tiv thaiv," nws hais. "Txhua yam tshwm sim nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis."

Gomes tau hais tias ib tus neeg yuav khoom tau them $ 20 lab rau lub tsev hauv nroog Greenwich Village uas tsis nyob hauv khw. Nws hais tias cov neeg ua lag luam vaj tse tau muab rau plaub qhov sib cais hauv kev tsim kho tshiab "zoo li lawv yuav raug lees txais hnub no."

Ian Slater ntawm Compass tau hais tias muaj "kev sib cais" loj hauv kev ua lag luam thaum Lub Yim Hli thiab Lub Cuaj Hli, nrog kev sib faib dav ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom thiab cov muag khoom thiab kev lag luam pib tsis muaj zog. "Tam sim no kuv pom cov neeg yuav khoom lees txais cov paj laum li qhov qub qub thiab xav tias nyiam yuav ntau dua - lossis tsawg kawg uas tus nqi tsis poob."

Gomes hais tias ib qho laj thawj rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis Ntuj tawg ntawm kev ua ub no yog cov neeg yuav khoom txawv teb chaws, uas tau pib rov qab mus rau lub nroog thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis. Nrog rau cov nyiaj poob qis me ntsis thiab kev txwv tsis pub mus ncig thoob ntiaj teb, cov neeg ua haujlwm hais tias cov neeg yuav khoom los ntawm Middle East thiab Tuam Tshoj rov qab los rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis.

Cov tuam txhab hais tias cov neeg yuav khoom kuj tseem siv nyiaj ntsuab kom tsis txhob muaj cov paj laum ntau dua thiab ua kom zoo dua cov nqi qis. Thiab cov neeg tsim khoom nrog cov tsev apartment tshiab ntawm kev ua lag luam tau txo tus nqi kom tshem tawm cov tsev tsis tau muag.

Nws tau hais tias "Cov neeg tsim khoom tau ua qhov tseeb, lawv tau txais kev pom zoo ntawm tus nqi thiab cov nqi kaw," nws hais. "Kuv zoo siab rau xyoo tom ntej."

Kev Kho: Muaj 2,312 daim ntawv cog lus hauv Manhattan tau kos npe rau lub quarter thib plaub, raws li Corcoran. Ib qho version dhau los ntawm zaj dab neeg no tsis lees paub lub hauv paus ntawm daim duab ntawd.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/04/manhattan-apartment-sales-plunge-q4-brokers-fear-frozen-market.html