Lub Sijhawm Ntev Kub Dais JC Parets tig Bullish; $5,000 Muaj peev xwm

Lub sijhawm ntev dais ntawm kev nqis peev hauv kub kub zoo li muaj flip-flopped.

Tam sim no nws yog bullish, thiab ua li cas!

JC Parets, uas tau tsim thiab khiav lag luam kev tsom xam AllStarCharts.com tam sim no pom tus nqi ntawm kub bullion mus rau $ 5,000 ib troy ounce. Ntawm lwm yam, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas siv cov kab kos duab los kwv yees qhov twg cov cuab yeej cuab tam yuav mus tom ntej.

Lub hli kub yav tom ntej yog tam sim no hloov tes ntawm kwv yees li $ 1,824 ib ooj ntawm CME. Tab sis cov nqi rau cov khoom vaj khoom tsev muaj kev nyab xeeb-haven tau pauv nyob rau hauv ib thaj tsam ntawm ib ncig $1,640 txog $2,035 txij thaum ntxov 2020, uas yog lub xyoo COVID-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLDGLD
) Cov nyiaj pauv hloov pauv, uas tuav tuav cov khoom bullion, ua raws li cov qauv zoo sib xws ntawm kev nce thiab nqis nrog ntau yam.

"Nws tau ob xyoos txij li thaum kub tau nce siab tshiab txhua lub sijhawm," Parets thiab nws pab neeg sau hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom tsis ntev los no. “Thiab, thaum nws tsis tau mus qhov twg los, nws muaj tseem buoyant. " Nws qhov tseem ceeb.

Daim ntawv ceeb toom txuas ntxiv raws li hauv qab no:

• "Raws li kev ntxhov siab vim qhov kev ua lag luam sib txawv no tuaj yeem yog los ntawm kev lag luam kev xav, nws tau nthuav tawm qhov kev xav tau zoo heev."

Muab qhov yooj yim, qhov tseeb tias tus nqi bullion tsis tau poob zoo li cov kav dej txhuas txhais tau tias muaj cov neeg yuav khoom uas pab kom tus nqi ruaj khov.

Yog li vim li cas ho tsis qhov sideways ntau ntawm cov nqi txuas ntxiv ad infinitum? Muaj ob peb yam.

Ua ntej, tsab ntawv ceeb toom sau tseg tias kev lag luam hedgers txo lawv txoj haujlwm. Kev lag luam hedgers yog cov neeg hauv kev lag luam kub, xws li cov miners thiab jewelers, uas siv lub lag luam yav tom ntej los tswj cov nqi pheej hmoo.

Raws li cov hedgers txo lawv qhov chaw ua lag luam tuaj yeem tawm mus. Feem ntau cov miners muag cov ntawv cog lus yav tom ntej kom ntseeg tau tias lawv tau txais tus nqi ruaj khov rau cov kub uas lawv rho tawm hauv av. Qhov ntawd ua haujlwm rau lub tuam txhab mining tab sis nws kuj txhais tau tias muaj kev poob qis ntawm tus nqi bullion. Thaum cov miners nres hedging lub downward siab raug tshem tawm.

Daim ntawv qhia hais tias nws li no:

• "Lawv [kev lag luam hedgers] qhov chaw mus txog qib sib xws nrog cov hauv qab tseem ceeb rau kub hauv 2016 thiab 2018. Qhov no tsis tas txhais tau tias hauv qab yog kub, tab sis nws txhais tau hais tias theem tau teeb tsa rau kev sib tw tawg."

Lub 'hauv qab' yog hais txog lub sijhawm thaum tus nqi kub nres thiab pib sib tw.

Qhov tsab ntawv ceeb toom tseem tau hais tias yog qhov tseeb, cov nqi kub yuav poob qis los ntawm qib tam sim no tab sis cov khoom nyob rau hauv qhov chaw rau kev nce siab ntawm tus nqi. Daim ntawv ceeb toom txuas ntxiv zoo li no:

• "Ib qho kev tsis txaus siab hauv kev ua lag luam yuav zoo li yuav ua rau muaj kev sib tw txuas ntxiv hauv kub. Thiab, xav txog kev khiav cov hlau tseem ceeb tau nyiam tawm ntawm lawv qhov qis los ntawm lub caij nplooj zeeg no, tej zaum nws twb pib lawm. "

Daim ntawv tshaj tawm qhia txog tus nqi epic txav los ntawm tsawg dua $ 425 hauv 2004 mus rau ntau dua $ 1,900 hauv 2011. Qhov ntawd yog qhov nce ntawm ib ncig ntawm 350%. Ib qho kev txav zoo sib xws rau lub sijhawm no yuav pom cov nqi mus rau saum $ 8,000.

"Ua ntej, tau kawg, nws yuav tsum mus txog 5,000. Nws yog lej lej, tab sis nws tuaj yeem tuaj sai dua li ntau qhov kev cia siab,” tsab ntawv ceeb toom hais. [Kuv qhov tseem ceeb.]

Daim ntawv tshaj tawm kuj tau taw qhia txog qhov muaj peev xwm sib sau ua ke hauv cov nyiaj, nrog rau cov tuam txhab mining muaj txiaj ntsig zoo.