(Bloomberg) - Tus Thawj Fwm Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag Laus Lawrence Summers tau ceeb toom tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tej zaum yuav xav tau nce cov paj laum ntau dua li kev lag luam xav tau tam sim no, ua tsaug rau cov kev nyuaj siab nyiaj txiag.
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"Peb muaj txoj hauv kev ntev mus kom tau nyiaj nce nqi" mus rau Fed lub hom phiaj, Summers hais rau Bloomberg TV "Wall Street Week" nrog David Westin. Raws li rau Fed cov neeg tsim cai, "Kuv xav tias lawv yuav xav tau ntau dua ntawm cov paj laum ntau dua li kev lag luam tam sim no txiav txim siab lossis tshaj li lawv tau hais tam sim no."
Cov paj laum yav tom ntej qhia tias cov tub lag luam cia siab tias Fed yuav nce tus nqi mus txog 5% los ntawm Lub Tsib Hlis 2023, piv nrog cov phiaj xwm tam sim no ntawm 3.75% mus rau 4%. Economists cia siab tias yuav nce 50-qhov tseem ceeb ntawm lub Kaum Ob Hlis 13-14 lub rooj sib tham txoj cai, thaum Fed cov neeg ua haujlwm tseem tau teem sijhawm los tshaj tawm cov kev kwv yees tshiab rau tus nqi tseem ceeb.
Summers tau hais tias "rau qhov tseeb yog qhov xwm txheej uas peb tuaj yeem sau tau," Summers hais txog qhov feem pua siab tshaj plaws rau Fed tus qauv ntsuas. "Thiab qhov ntawd qhia kuv tias tsib tsis yog qhov kev kwv yees zoo tshaj plaws."
Summers tau hais lus ntau teev tom qab tsab ntawv ceeb toom txog haujlwm txhua hli hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau pom tias muaj kev vam meej dhia hauv cov nyiaj tau los nruab nrab ib teev. Nws hais tias cov nuj nqis no tau nthuav tawm txuas ntxiv cov nqi zog hauv kev lag luam.
"Rau kuv cov nyiaj, qhov kev ntsuas zoo tshaj plaws ntawm kev nce nqi hauv qab yog saib cov nyiaj ua haujlwm," said Summers, tus xibfwb ntawm Harvard University thiab them nyiaj pab rau Bloomberg TV. "Kuv qhov kev nkag siab yog tias kev nce nqi yuav muaj kev txhawb nqa me ntsis dua li cov neeg tab tom nrhiav."
Nyeem ntxiv: Kev Ua Lag Luam Ua Lag Luam yog nruj heev rau Fed Comfort li Labor Pool Shrinks
Cov nyiaj khwv tau los nruab nrab ib teev tau nce 0.6% nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis hauv qhov kev nthuav dav dav uas yog qhov loj tshaj txij li lub Ib Hlis, thiab tau nce 5.1% los ntawm ib xyoo dhau los. Cov nyiaj ua haujlwm rau kev tsim khoom thiab cov neeg ua haujlwm tsis saib xyuas tau nce 0.7% los ntawm lub hli dhau los, feem ntau yuav luag ib xyoos.
Txawm hais tias muaj ntau qhov kev ntsuas hauv Asmeskas tau qhia txog qhov cuam tshuam tsis pub dhau los ntawm Fed txoj kev sib tw nruj, Summers ceeb toom tias kev hloov pauv yuav tshwm sim sai sai.
Nws tau hais tias "Muaj tag nrho cov txheej txheem no uas ncaws tawm," nws hais. "Thaum ib lub sijhawm, cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tawm ntawm lawv cov nyiaj khaws tseg thiab tom qab ntawd koj muaj Wile E. Coyote lub sijhawm," nws hais rau tus cwj pwm tas luav uas ntog ntawm pob tsuas.
Hauv kev ua lag luam vaj tsev, muaj feem yuav muaj kev maj nrawm ntawm cov neeg muag khoom tso lawv cov khoom hauv khw thaum cov nqi pib poob, nws hais. Thiab "ntawm qee lub sijhawm, koj pom credit qhuav," yuam cov teeb meem them rov qab, nws hais ntxiv.
"Thaum koj nkag mus rau qhov xwm txheej tsis zoo, muaj qhov avalanche nam - thiab kuv xav tias peb muaj kev pheej hmoo tiag tiag uas yuav tshwm sim rau qee lub sijhawm" rau Asmeskas kev lag luam, Summers tau hais. "Kuv tsis paub thaum twg nws yuav los," nws hais txog kev poob qis. "Tab sis thaum nws ncaws hauv, kuv xav tias nws yuav muaj zog txaus."
Lub Hom Phiaj Inflation
Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag yav dhau los kuj tau ceeb toom tias "qhov no yuav yog qhov kev lag luam uas tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo, tsis zoo li cov nyiaj paj qis uas peb tau pom yav dhau los."
Summers rov hais dua tias nws tsis xav tias Fed yuav tsum hloov nws lub hom phiaj kev nce nqi mus rau, hais tias, 3%, los ntawm 2% tam sim no - ib feem vim muaj teeb meem kev ntseeg siab tom qab tau tso cai rau kev nce nqi nce siab hauv ob xyoos dhau los.
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