Tom qab ib tug stellar ob-xyoos khiav, lub tsev lag luam yog sputtering li buyers thim rov qab sharply. Ib tus thawj coj ntawm vaj tse tau hais tias kev ua lag luam yog qhov tseeb ntawm kev kho, thiab nws nyuaj rau kev sib cog lus raws li ntau daim ntawv cog lus poob.
Tom qab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau nce cov paj laum, "kev thov poob qis hauv lub Tsib Hlis thiab Lub Rau Hli ...
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CEO Glenn Kelman hais rau MarketWatch hauv kev xam phaj.
Txij thaum ntawd los, kev lag luam vaj tsev txij li tau rov zoo li qub, nws tau sau tseg, tab sis "peb tseem yuav muaj, txawm tias muaj kev sib cog lus, qhov kev tshem tawm siab heev."
"Nws tsuas yog nyuaj rau kev sib cog lus ua ke vim tias kev lag luam tsis hloov pauv," nws hais ntxiv. "Nws yog lub sijhawm tsis paub tseeb."
"'Nws tsuas yog nyuaj rau kev sib cog lus ua ke vim tias kev lag luam tsis hloov pauv.'"
Teb rau buyers rub rov qab los ntawm kev ua lag luam, cov neeg muag khoom kuj tau dhau los ua kev txhawj xeeb txog kev sau npe.
Cov npe tshiab rau cov tsev tau poob 15% hauv plaub lub lis piam xaus lub Yim Hli 21, a tsab ntawv ceeb toom luam tawm hnub Thursday los ntawm Redfin tau hais. Qhov ntawd yog qhov poob qis tshaj plaws hauv cov npe txij li pib muaj kev sib kis.
Qhov ntawd yog thawb cov khoom vaj khoom tsev me ntsis, Redfin tau hais tias, raws li tus naj npawb ntawm cov tsev muag khoom tau nqis 0.6% ntawm plaub lub lis piam dhau los.
Txhawm rau nrhiav kev sib tw sai sai, cov neeg muag khoom tau nqi lawv lub tsev ntau dua, nrog rau qhov nruab nrab nug tus nqi ntawm cov tsev tshiab uas tau teev npe poob 5% los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv siab tshaj plaws hauv lub Tsib Hlis.
Tab sis tsis yog txhua tus neeg muag khoom tuaj yeem nrhiav cov neeg yuav khoom txaus siab. Hauv qee qhov kev lag luam kub kub xws li Boise, Idaho, 70% ntawm cov tsev muag khoom tau txo lawv cov nqi thaum Lub Xya Hli, Redfin hais.
Cov neeg tsim khoom tseem tab tom sim nyuaj dua los ntxias cov neeg yuav khoom, Kelman ntxiv, thiab "zoo li txhoj puab heev" nrog kev txiav nqi raws li cov neeg muag khoom hauv tsev.
"'Qee qhov kev kho tus nqi uas nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv pej xeem understate tsuas yog qhov kev kho mob hnyav npaum li cas.'"
Rau nws cov nyiaj tau los peb lub hlis twg hu Hnub Wednesday, Toll Brothers
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Thawj Tswj Hwm thiab CEO Douglas C. Yearley tau hais tias lub tuam txhab tau "pib ua kom muaj kev txhawb nqa me me" nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no, nrog rau qhov kev txhawb siab nruab nrab thaum Lub Yim Hli yog kwv yees li $ 30,000 rau $ 1.1 lab hauv tsev.
"Qee qhov kev kho tus nqi uas nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv pej xeem understate tsuas yog qhov kev kho mob hnyav npaum li cas," Kelman ntxiv. Freebies zoo li granite countertops lossis khoom siv tsis cuam tshuam hauv cov npe teev nqi.
Tab sis tus nqi ntawm ib lub tsev niaj hnub no tseem tsis tau ncav cuag ntau lab tus neeg yuav khoom.
Kev them taus vaj tse tau poob mus rau theem qis tshaj txij li xyoo 1989, National Association of Realtors sau tseg.
Tus nqi muag tsev nruab nrab yog $371,125, raws li Redfin. Qhov ntawd nce 6% piv rau xyoo dhau los. Cov nqi muag khoom tau nqis 6% tom qab nce siab thaum Lub Rau Hli, thaum tus nqi nruab nrab hauv tsev yog $ 394,775.
"'Hauv xyoo 2007, peb kwv yees tias yuav muaj kev sib tsoo. Peb tau muag tsev rau cov neeg uas them tsis taus.'"
Rau ib tsev neeg uas tau txais 30-xyoo-laus tus nqi qiv nyiaj nrog 20% kev them nqi qis, cov nyiaj them txhua hli rau lub tsev ib txwm tau nce 54% los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los rau $ 1,944, NAR tau hais.
cov 30-xyoo taag-tus nqi qiv nyiaj nruab nrab 5.55% raws li lub Yim Hli 25, raws li Freddie Mac. Ib xyoo dhau los, qhov ntawd yog 2.68%.
Muab cov ntaub ntawv tsis muaj zog thiab nrog cov neeg yuav khoom - thiab tam sim no cov neeg muag khoom - rub rov qab, cov kws tshaj lij kev lag luam tau hu nws tias yog vaj tse kev txom nyem.
Tab sis qhov ntawd tsis tas txhais tau tias kev ua lag luam poob qis, Kelman tau hais.
“Hauv xyoo 2007, peb tau kwv yees tias yuav muaj kev sib tsoo. Peb tau muag tsev rau cov neeg uas tsis muaj peev xwm them taus lawv - qhov chaw uas lawv tsis tuaj yeem ua tus thawj them nqi tsev, "Kelman tau hais.
"Thiab qhov ntawd tsis yog li ntawd," nws hais ntxiv. "Tam sim no, muaj ntau lab lab nyiaj daus las thiab cov neeg uas tab tom yuav tsev tau qhab nia zoo."
Raws li cov New York Fed, 65% ntawm $ 758 billion nyob rau hauv cov nuj nqis qiv pib hauv lub quarter thib ob xyoo no yog rau cov neeg qiv nyiaj nrog cov qhab nia ntawm ntau dua 760.
Tau txais kev xav ntawm kev lag luam vaj tsev? Sau rau MarketWatch reporter Aarthi Swaminathan ntawm [email tiv thaiv]
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-a-remarkably-uncertain-time-redfin-ceo-warns-of-rapidly-cooling-housing-market-says-deals-under-contract-are- tau-tso tseg-11661467568?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo