Lub tsev hauv paus ntawm Standard thiab Poors hauv Manhattan.
txais
Nyob ntawm seb koj txhais li cas kev sib tsoo, peb twb muaj ib qho.
Hauv cov hnub qub kev sib tsoo yog qhov poob ntawm qhov siab ntawm 25% lossis ntau dua. S&P 500 poob 26% los ntawm qhov siab mus rau qhov tsis ntev los no.
Ntawm no yog daim duab:
Daim duab S&P 500 qhia tau hais tias 26 & poob los ntawm nws qhov siab - qhov ntawd yog kev sib tsoo
Credit: ADVFN
Daim ntawv qhia no qhia txog qhov pib ntawm lub caij nplooj zeeg, uas yog thaum lub lag luam dais pib, tsis yog tom qab lub lag luam twb poob lawm raws li cov neeg kho dua tshiab xav kom koj nkag siab nws. Lub lag luam dais no tau pib thaum Lub Ib Hlis 1 thaum lub khw nkag siab tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav txiav tawm cov nyiaj pub dawb.
Nws yog ib qho qauv zoo nkauj.
Qhov kev sib tw tsis ntev los no muab kev cia siab tab sis qhov ntawd yog qhov ua lag luam rallies ua.
Cia peb saib ntawm daim ntawv qhia kaw no:
Saib ze ntawm S&P 500 daim ntawv qhia
Credit: ADVFN
Qhov ntawd yog qhov tseeb qauv yog li kev hu ua yooj yim heev. Puas yog nws dhau los yog muaj lwm ceg qis?
Ua ntej qhov sib volatility yog loj. Qhov ntawd txhais tau hais tias dab tsi yog tsav lub lag luam yog qhov loj ntawm qhov tsis paub tseeb ntawm ob txoj kev. Suab nrov = volatility thiab suab nrov = randomness. Peb nyob rau thaj av loj random.
Yog tias koj coj qhov random tawm, koj tseem tsis tau luag ntxhi:
Daim ntawv S&P 500 nrog lub suab nrov nrov tshem tawm
Credit: ADVFN
Nyob rau sab ntxiv koj yuav muaj cov ntaub ntawv muaj zog nws tag nrho yog tias qhov ntsuas tau tawm ntawm cov tramlines, tab sis cov lus nug yog, dab tsi tuaj yeem ua rau qhov ntawd tshwm sim?
Tau kawg, cov lus teb yog qhov thim rov qab los ntawm Fed thiab cov ntawv luam ntawv rov ua dua. Qhov ntawd zoo li kuv yog qhov kev cia siab tsis txaus ntseeg tab sis raws li kev lag luam tam sim no tau tsav los ntawm kev nom kev tswv nws tsis yog tag nrho ntawm cov ntawv qhia zaub mov.
Yog li ntawm snap peb tuaj yeem cia siab tias yuav rov qab los.
Rau kuv kuv pom kuv tus kheej tab tom nrhiav cov lus nug tsis txaus ntseeg los nug kom ua "peb puas tau pom hauv qab?" hu.
Kuv lo lus nug yog, Enron nyob qhov twg, Lehman / BearSterns thiab lwm yam, nyob qhov twg, lub tuam txhab kev sib tsoo uas txhais tau tias muaj kev sib tsoo?
Tej zaum koj yuav hais tias nws nyuam qhuav tshwm sim thiab nws yog FTX hauv cryptoland. Qhov ntawd tsis yog ua tsis tau tab sis rau kuv crypto yog "canary nyob rau hauv lub thee mine" tsis yog lub thee mine nws tus kheej hauv qhov xwm txheej no. FTX yog qhov overture rau "kev lag luam tiag." Hauv kev lag luam tiag tiag, qhov zoo li no tseem tsis tau tshwm sim. Tsis muaj leej twg txawm hu tawm lub sector nws tuaj yeem tshwm sim hauv.
Txawm li cas los xij, tej yam zoo li tsis zoo, zoo li tsis muaj qhov kawg ntawm qhov pom thiab ib txwm nyob hauv cov cheeb tsam no tej yam tawg thaum peb tsoo hauv qab.
Tsis muaj dab tsi tawg.
Yog li peb puas tuaj yeem pom hauv qab?
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2022/11/21/the-crash-of-2022-is-it-over-one-simple-reason-it-is-not/