Cov neeg lag luam nug "Nyob qhov twg?" Raws li Short Sellers Xovxwm Bets

Xov Xwm Tseem Ceeb

Asian equities xaus ib lub hlis tsis zoo nrog lub suab nrov ntawm cov ntim siab heev uas tau tsav los ntawm hnub no MSCI index rebalance.

Tuam Tshoj lub Tsib Hlis PMIs plam qhov kev cia siab vim Kev Tsim Khoom yog 48.8 piv rau qhov kev cia siab ntawm 49.5 thiab lub Plaub Hlis 49.2 thiab Tsis yog kev tsim khoom yog 54.5 piv rau qhov kev cia siab ntawm 55.2 thiab lub Plaub Hlis 56.4. PMIs yog qhov ntsuas diffusion nrog kev nyeem ntawv siab dua 50 qhia txog kev loj hlob / qis dua 50 qhia txog kev poob qis ntawm lub hli dhau ib hlis. Kev tsim cov ntawv nyeem tsis zoo tsis yog lub cim zoo rau kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb vim tias ntau ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev tsim khoom raug xa tawm. Non-manufacturing pace ntawm kev loj hlob tau qeeb tab sis tseem loj hlob. Nws yog qhov nthuav tias nyob rau hauv ob qho tib si PMIs, kev cia siab ua lag luam yog siab nrog Manufacturing's 54.1 thiab Non-manufacturing's 60.4. Qhov kev tso tawm tau lees paub cov tub ua lag luam 'kev txhawj xeeb tias Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam rov qab los yog nce ntxiv tiv thaiv qhov cuam tshuam ntawm cov neeg tsim cai' tsis muaj kev txhawb nqa. “Nov nyob qhov twg?” yog ib txoj kab tseem ceeb los ntawm xyoo 1980s Wendy kev lag luam. Tseeb, cov neeg tsim cai hais txog qhov kev ua si zoo txawm tias tsis tau xa tawm ntawm kev txhawb nqa.

CNY tsis muaj zog piv rau US duas vim qee qhov kev xav tias kev daws teeb meem hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tuaj yeem ua rau lub Rau Hli Fed cov paj laum nce raws li Asia duas index poob. Yog lawm, cov tub ua lag luam tab tom ua siab ntev xav txog COVID tau khiav tawm thoob plaws Tuam Tshoj hauv Q4. Txawm hais tias Tuam Tshoj yog ib qho kev nkag mus rau lub sijhawm niaj hnub no MSCI qhov ntsuas qhov sib npaug, cov xwm txheej muaj peev xwm tso cai rau cov tub ua lag luam txav peev. Lub hli-kawg "qhov rais hnav khaub ncaws" los ntawm cov thawj coj muaj ntau yam thaum peb pom qhov pom kev pom kev pom / tau txais cov npe tawm ntawm lub hli xaus nqe lus / cov ntawv tseeb. Nyob rau hauv luv luv, cov tub ua lag luam muaj feem ntau hnyav US cov khoom lag luam uas tam sim no suav txog ze li ob feem peb ntawm MSCI Txhua Lub Tebchaws Ntiaj Teb Index. Nyob rau hauv Asia, kuv xav tias nyiaj tau tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj los pab nyiaj paj rau Nyiv thiab Is Nrias teb.

Ntau tus brokers hu ua hnub no yog hnub capitulation raws li cov tub ua lag luam puked up shares ntawm txhua tus nqi. Kev muag khoom yog concentrated nyob rau hauv offshore Tuam Tshoj, piv txwv li cov neeg ua lag luam txawv teb chaws lub ntsiab lus ntawm Tuam Tshoj, ntau dua li onshore Tuam Tshoj, uas yog feem ntau tuav los ntawm cov tub ua lag luam hauv Suav teb. Cov ntim luv tau dhia mus rau 20% ntawm tag nrho cov ntim, uas yog theem siab nyob rau hauv lub teeb ntawm kev dhia loj hauv MSCI-tsav siab ntim hauv Hong Kong. Peb pom ib tus neeg cov khoom lag luam nce mus txog qhov siab heev luv luv turnover theem raws li feem pua ​​​​ntawm tag nrho cov khoom lag luam xws li Alibaba, uas pom 32% luv ntim, Kuaishou, uas pom 38% luv ntim, JD.com, uas pom 21% luv ntim, thiab Mus ncig. .com, uas pom 44% luv ntim. Kuv xav pom zoo (dua) tias cov tuam txhab no them cov nyiaj faib los ua rau cov neeg muag luv luv no. Nws yog qhov nthuav tias cov luv luv yuav nias lawv cov thawj koom ruam ntawm cov theem no, txawm hais tias qhov kev cuam tshuam ntawm geopolitical tau ua rau cov tub ua lag luam tso tseg. Yog lawm, peb yuav muaj cov neeg ua lag luam mus sij hawm ntev, piv txwv li Tuam Tshoj "National Team", uas yog suav nrog cov tuam txhab tuav pov hwm thiab cov nyiaj txiag muaj txiaj ntsig / cov phiaj xwm nyiaj laus, yuav hnub no poob rau hauv lawv txoj kev xav.

Mainland tech shares tau txais ntawm txhua yam tsis ntev los no AI kev txaus siab coj los ntawm subsectors xws li semiconductors thiab computer hardware. Nws yog qhov nthuav tias ob qho tib si Elon Musk thiab Jamie Dimon tsis thim rov qab los ntawm lub sijhawm hauv Suav teb, raws li pom los ntawm lawv qhov kev mus ncig tam sim no thiab yav tom ntej. Vam tias, hnub no yog qhov qis vim tias tej yam yuav zoo dua mus tom ntej, hauv kuv lub tswv yim.

Hang Seng thiab Hang Seng Tech indexes poob -1.94% thiab -2.04%, feem, ntawm qhov ntim uas tau nce +80.82% los ntawm nag hmo, uas yog 144% ntawm 1-xyoo nruab nrab. 82 cov khoom lag luam nce siab thaum 420 tsis kam. Main Board luv turnover nce +123%, uas yog 174% ntawm 1-xyoo nruab nrab li 20% ntawm turnover yog luv turnover. Kev loj hlob yam “ua tau zoo dua,” piv txwv li poob qis dua, dua li qhov muaj txiaj ntsig zoo li lub kaus mom me me “ua tau zoo dua” lub kaus mom loj los ntawm cov npoo me me. Tag nrho cov haujlwm tsis zoo vim lub zog poob -4.63%, vaj tse poob -2.65%, thiab kev pabcuam kev sib txuas lus poob -2.28%. Tag nrho cov subsectors yog qhov tsis zoo vim tias lub zog, cov khoom siv hauv tsev, thiab vaj tse yog cov ua haujlwm tsis zoo. Southbound Stock Connect ntim tau teeb pom kev zoo li cov tub lag luam hauv av tau muag ib qho nyiaj - $ 49 lab tus nqi ntawm Hong Kong cov khoom lag luam vim Meituan yog ib qho nruab nrab net yuav, Tencent yog ib qho muag muag muag, thiab Li Auto thiab Kuiashou yog ob qho tib si muag me me.

Shanghai, Shenzhen, thiab STAR Board diverged mus kaw -0.61%, -0.44%, thiab +0.91%, ntsig txog, ntawm ntim uas nce +0.34% los ntawm nag hmo, uas yog 101% ntawm 1-xyoo nruab nrab. 1,727 cov khoom lag luam tau nce siab thaum 2,946 cov khoom lag luam poob qis. Kev loj hlob thiab tus nqi qis dua thaum lub kaus mom me me poob qis dua lub kaus mom loj. Cov kev pabcuam kev sib txuas lus thiab thev naus laus zis tau nce +0.51% thiab +0.05%, feem, thaum lub zog poob -3.05%, cov neeg siv khoom lag luam poob -2.35%, thiab kev kho mob poob -1.64%. Cov chaw ua haujlwm zoo tshaj plaws yog cov khoos phis tawj, software, thiab kev thauj mus los hauv av thaum cov thee, cawv, thiab dej kev lag luam yog qhov phem tshaj. Northbound Stock Connect ntim tau siab npaum li cov tub ua lag luam txawv teb chaws muag ib qho nyiaj - $ 534 lab tus nqi ntawm Mainland stocks nrog Kweichow Moutai yog ib qho loj muag muag, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed ​​Railway, uas tau ntxiv rau Tshuag Txuas tsuas yog tsis ntev los no, yog ib qho me me yuav. , thiab Tuam Tshoj Tourism Duty Free yog qhov muag nruab nrab. CNY poob -0.4% rau 7.10 CNY ib USD thaum Asia Dollar Index poob -0.25% piv rau US duas. Cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj tau sib sau ua ke thaum tooj liab thiab hlau tau tawm.

Txoj kev tshwm sim tom ntej

Koom nrog peb Hnub Wednesday, Lub Rau Hli 7th ntawm 8:30 sawv ntxov EDT rau peb lub rooj sib tham virtual:

KraneShares Ntiaj Teb Kev Nyab Xeeb & Carbon Virtual Investment Summit

Nyem no mus sau npe

Thov nco ntsoov qhov txuas saum toj no yog rau nplooj ntawv sau npe virtual. Rau cov neeg uas xav mus koom qhov kev tshwm sim ntawm New York Tshuag Txauv rau hnub Wednesday, Lub Rau Hli 7th, tseem muaj cov rooj zaum tsawg kawg rau lub rooj sib tham ntawm tus kheej. Nyem no mus rau npe. Kev tso npe rau qhov kev tshwm sim ntawm tus kheej yog qhib rau cov kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag nkaus xwb.

4.5 CFP & CIMA CE Credits Muaj

Hmo Kawg Ua Yeeb Yam

Hmo Kawg Ntawm Kev Sib Pauv Cov Nqi, Tus Nqi, & Liaj Teb

• CNY rau USD 7.10 piv rau 7.07 nag hmo
• CNY rau EUR 7.59 piv rau 7.59 nag hmo
• Asia Dollar Index -0.25% thaum hmo ntuj
• Tos ntawm 10-xyoo Tuam Tshoj Kev Tsim Kho Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj 2.68% tiv tiag 2.70% nag hmo
• Tos ntawm 10-xyoo Tuam Tshoj Kev Tsim Kho Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj 2.85% tiv tiag 2.88% nag hmo
• Tus Nqi Tooj Kub -0.18% dhau ib hmo
• Steel Nqe -1.00% thaum hmo ntuj