Inflation Cov ntaub ntawv poob loj tshaj plaws hauv yuav luag 3 xyoos

Ntsiab Cai

• Kev nce nqi poob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, nrog rau tag nrho Consumer Price Index (CPI) poob 0.1% rau lub hli.
• Nws yog qhov txo qis tshaj plaws txij li lub Plaub Hlis 2020, thiab coj tus nqi txhua xyoo ntawm kev nce nqi ntawm tus kheej mus rau 6.5%, los ntawm 7.1% lub hli tas los.
• Tus neeg tsav tsheb loj tshaj plaws ntawm kev txo qis yog txo qis roj thiab cov nqi roj av, uas tau poob ob tus lej. Nws tsis yog txhua yam xov xwm zoo txawm li cas los xij. Qe tau nce 11.1%.

Txhua lub hlis, ib nrab ntawm lub teb chaws tos nrog bated ua tsis taus pa saib seb qhov kev nce nqi tshiab yuav ua li cas. Ok, qhov ntawd tej zaum yuav yog me ntsis exaggeration, tab sis tseem, yuav ua li cas lub sij hawm yuav ciaj sia. Leej twg yuav tau xav tias tus neeg nruab nrab yuav txaus siab rau kev nce nqi ntawm cov taum pauv thiab cov ntaub pua tsev.

Tab sis ntawm no peb nyob.

Thiab thaum peb tau siv los pom cov lus "txhua lub sijhawm siab" rov qab ua dua nrog txhua qhov kev tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag, nws zoo li cov dominoes thaum kawg pib poob.

Vim lub hlis no, cov nqi poob qis. Yog, ua tau down. Nws tsis yog tias lawv tau nce qis dua lub Kaum Ob Hlis xyoo tas los, txhais tau tias tus nqi txhua xyoo tam sim no qis dua. Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm cov khoom tau qis dua li lawv nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis.

Ua ntej peb mus ua ntej ntawm peb tus kheej, peb tab tom tham txog qhov txo qis ntawm 0.1%. Yog li nws tsis yog lub sijhawm yuav tawg qhib lub champagne thiab xaj cov tav tav, tab sis txawm li cas los xij, nws txoj kev vam meej.

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Inflation poob 0.1% thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis

Lub ntsiab lus ntawm kev nce nqi nce 0.1% nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, uas txhais tau hais tias txhua xyoo tus nqi qis rau 6.5%. Qhov ntawd tseem siab, tab sis peb tab tom pom qee qhov kev txav tiag tiag hauv daim ntawv xov xwm txhua xyoo tam sim no, uas tseem nyob ntawm 7.1% lub hli tas los.

Ib qho ntawm cov tsav tsheb loj tshaj plaws rau kev poob yog qhov poob qis hauv cov nqi roj av (-9.4%) thiab lwm yam roj av (-11.9%). Nws txhais tau hais tias qhov txo qis ntawm cov nqi ntawm qhov chaw nres tsheb roj rau cov neeg tsav tsheb, uas yuav yog qhov kev pab cuam uas yuav pab tau cov tsev neeg.

Muaj ntau ntawm lwm qhov chaw uas pom qhov loj loj txo qis thiab. Raws li ib txwm muaj cov ntaub ntawv nrog cov nuj nqis nce nqi, cov khoom zoo nkauj random. Tus nqi ntawm nqaij npuas kib poob 2.9%, txiv hmab txiv ntoo tshiab yog 1.9% pheej yig dua lub hli ua ntej, txiv neej ris tsho hauv qab thiab swimwear poob 1.4% thiab cov poj niam hnav ris tsho qis dua 2.4%.

Wardrobes yog cov yeej tiag tiag thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis vim tias cov txiv neej khau kuj poob 2.4%, poj niam khau qis qis 0.6%, xws li poj niam ris tsho hauv qab (-0.7%) thiab watches (-0.1%).

Cov tsheb siv thiab cov tsheb thauj khoom poob ntxiv (-2.5%) uas yog xov xwm zoo rau cov neeg hauv khw rau qee lub log tshiab, tab sis tsis yog xov xwm zoo rau cov tuam txhab zoo li Carvana. Cov khoom siv tsheb thiab cov khoom siv tsis yog cov log tsheb poob qis 1.2%.

Cov nqi tshuaj tsis yog tshuaj kho mob poob 0.4%, cov khoom siv suab tau nqis 2.4%, kev pov hwm kev noj qab haus huv poob qis 3.4%, tsheb thiab tsheb xauj tsheb poob 1.6% thiab cov nqi them nyiaj poob qis 3.5%.

Koj tau txais daim duab, ntau yam khoom tau pheej yig dua. Tab sis tsis yog txhua yam.

Thaum tag nrho cov nqi poob qis, muaj ntau yam khoom uas pheej yig dua mus txog lub Kaum Ob Hlis. Qee qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yog qe, uas tau nce los ntawm 11.1%, txhais tau tias tag nrho koj cov qe thiab nqaij npuas noj tshais tseem yuav raug nqi ntau dua.

Xav txog qhov kev xaiv qab zib los pib hnub hloov? Zoo qab zib yob, kas fes thiab donuts tau nce 2.6% ib yam nkaus. Txiv lws suav nce 3.4%, lettuce nce 4%, taum qhuav thiab peas yog 3.2% kim dua thiab butte nce 3.3%.

Txhua yam, koj yuav tsum tsis txhob cia siab tias yuav pom qhov sib txawv loj rau koj lub khw muag khoom noj txhua lub lim tiam, tab sis nws yog qhov kev vam meej.

Core CPI, uas tshem tawm cov khoom noj khoom haus tsis zoo thiab lub zog, tau nce 0.3%, uas yog raws li kev cia siab. Nws muab cov lus tshaj tawm txhua xyoo ntawm 5.7%, uas yog nqis los ntawm 6% sau lub hli tas los.

Cov kev lag luam tau ua li cas?

Lawv tsis quav ntsej nws, zoo nkauj heev. Qhov ntawd tsis yog qhov xav tsis thoob tiag tiag, vim tias lub hlis no cov nuj nqis tau pib bang raws li cov kws tshuaj ntsuam 'kev kwv yees. Lub S&P 500 tau dav dav nyob rau hauv lub sijhawm qhib kev lag luam, thiab Cov Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj Txiag tau txo qis me ntsis.

Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm kev lag luam daim ntawv cog lus tam sim no qhia tias Fed yuav saib xyuas kev siv cov paj laum ntawm 0.25 feem pua ​​​​cov ntsiab lus ntawm lawv lub rooj sib tham tom ntej rau Lub Ob Hlis 1st. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias sai sai los ntawm lawv cov ntaub ntawv nce, uas pom cov nqi nce los ntawm 0.75 feem pua ​​​​cov ntsiab lus plaub zaug hauv ib xyoos dhau los.

Ntawm lub rooj sib tham zaum kawg hauv lub Kaum Ob Hlis, qhov no tau hloov kho me ntsis nrog kev nce qib ntawm 0.5 feem pua ​​​​cov ntsiab lus.

Fed tau hais meej tias lawv yuav ua txhua yam uas lawv yuav tsum tau ua txhawm rau txhawm rau coj kev nce nqi rov qab mus rau lub hom phiaj ntawm 2-3%, tab sis tus thawj coj Jerome Powell tau hais tias lawv cia siab tias yuav tuaj yeem ua qhov no yam tsis muaj kev nyuaj. tsaws rau kev lag luam.

Yuav ua li cas cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem nrhiav kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv?

Cov qauv yog nyob rau hauv txoj kev, tab sis kev nce nqi tsis zoo li yuav rov qab los rau hauv lub hom phiaj ib ntus. Muaj ntau cov cuab yeej cuab tam sib txawv uas cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem saib txhawm rau muab lawv nrog qee qhov kev tiv thaiv kev nce nqi. Qee qhov piv txwv suav nrog:

Treasury Inflation Protected Securities

TIPS, lossis Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, yog ib hom ntawv cog lus los ntawm tsoomfwv Meskas. Lawv zoo ib yam li lwm daim ntawv cog lus, tab sis lawv muaj qhov tshwj xeeb ntxiv los tiv thaiv koj cov peev nyiaj los ntawm kev nce nqi.

Thaum koj nqis peev hauv TIPS, tus nqi ntawm koj daim ntawv cog lus yuav nce nrog kev nce nqi. Yog li, txawm tias koj yuav tau yuav daim ntawv cog lus rau qee qhov nyiaj, los ntawm lub sijhawm nws loj tuaj, nws yuav tsim nyog ntau dua ntawm kev yuav lub zog.

Cov paj laum ntawm TIPS kuj tau nce ntxiv kom nce nyiaj nce ntxiv. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias koj qhov peev txheej tus nqi yuav tsis txo ntau npaum li nws xav tau nrog cov ntawv cog lus tsis tu ncua.

Kub thiab Precious Hlau

Cov hlau muaj txiaj ntsig tau raug suav hais tias yog kev tiv thaiv tiv thaiv kev nce nyiaj txiag thiab lub khw muag khoom muaj txiaj ntsig rau ntau txhiab xyoo. Txawm niaj hnub no, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog kub tau pom tias yog 'kev nyab xeeb' khoom vaj khoom tsev, thiab feem ntau ua tau zoo thaum lub sij hawm muaj teeb meem nyiaj txiag.

Niaj hnub no kev nqis peev kub feem ntau yog ua los ntawm kev siv ETFs thiab cov khoom lag luam raws li cov nyiaj, tab sis qee cov kab mob kub tuag tseem tuav cov kev nqis peev kub ntawm txoj kev qub.

Av

Khoom vaj khoom tsev yog lwm yam khoom vaj khoom tsev uas ib txwm tau suav tias yog ib qho khoom tiv thaiv kev nce nqi. Cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov nqi xauj tsev feem ntau yuav nce ntawm tus nqi nce nqi, thiab tuaj yeem nce siab tshaj tus nqi ntawm kev nce nqi hauv qee lub sijhawm.

Los ntawm kev txuas ntxiv, tus nqi peev ntawm ib qho cuab yeej tuaj yeem nce siab tshaj nyiaj nce mus rau lub sijhawm ntev thiab. Vim tias cov cuab yeej tsis muaj txiaj ntsig ntau dua li lwm cov khoom muaj nqis xws li cov khoom lag luam, kev muag khoom txaus ntshai thiab kev viav vias loj hauv qhov muaj nuj nqis tsawg dua.

Qhov ntawd tsis yog hais tias lawv tsis tshwm sim, raws li peb pom xyoo 2008.

npas

Cov khoom muaj xws li roj, nplej, ntaub plaub, paj rwb thiab tooj liab. Cov no yog cov khoom siv raw uas peb siv los tsim cov khoom thiab cov khoom uas peb siv thiab siv txhua hnub. Lawv tuaj yeem ua tau zoo heev tiv thaiv kev nce nqi, vim tias qhov kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov khoom muag feem ntau yog dab tsi ua rau kev nce nqi hauv thawj qhov chaw!

Tej zaum koj yuav tsis xav khaws ib pab yaj lossis ib thaj teb ntawm cov nplej, tab sis niaj hnub no muaj ntau yam kev nqis peev uas tso cai rau kev xav hauv cov khoom muaj nqis, tsis tas yuav xa 4,000 barrels roj av.

Yuav ua li cas los nqis peev hauv inflation hedged cuab tam

Yog tias koj tsis xav tawm mus thiab koom ua ke ib qho kev nce nqi hedged portfolio koj tus kheej, peb tau txais koj them. Ntawm Q.ai, peb siv lub zog ntawm AI los pab kom koj cov khoom muaj nqis nce nrog tus nqi nrog peb Inflation Protection Kit.

Cov Khoom Siv no nqis peev hauv kev sib xyaw ntawm TIPS, cov hlau muaj txiaj ntsig thiab pob tawb ntawm cov khoom lag luam. Txhua lub lim tiam, peb AI kwv yees seb cov cuab tam sib txawv no yuav ua li cas raws li qhov kev pheej hmoo-hloov kho, thiab tom qab ntawd cia li rov ua cov ntaub ntawv raws li qhov kev kwv yees.

Koj puas xav tsom mus rau cov hlau muaj nuj nqis xwb? Peb Precious Metal Kit siv AI tib txoj kev, tab sis tsom nws lub tswv yim rau cov hlau raws li ETFs uas nqis peev hauv ntau yam ci ntsa iab xws li kub, nyiaj, platinum thiab palladium.

Download Q.ai hnub no rau kev nkag mus rau AI-powered peev tswv yim.