"'Kev nce nqi yuav mus tsis zoo nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis lossis Lub Rau Hli, vim hais tias cov vaj tsev sib npaug yog taw qhia qhov zoo. Qhov kev pheej hmoo yog [tus thawj coj Fed Jerome Powell] txuas ntxiv mus.'"
Billionaire Barry Sternlicht, tus thawj tswj hwm thiab tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm cov cuab yeej cuab tam Starwood Capital Group, cia siab tias Asmeskas kev lag luam yuav swb mus rau kev lag luam poob qis hauv peb lossis plaub lub quarter ntawm 2023 vim yog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov nyiaj txiag sib ntaus sib tua cov paj laum, txawm tias kev nce nqi. tus nqi, nws hais tias, tuaj yeem nkag mus rau thaj chaw tsis zoo los ntawm ib nrab xyoo.
Nyob rau hauv kev sib tham nrog CNBC's "Squawk Box" Hnub Thursday, tus neeg ua lag luam billionaire tau hais tias cov nqi vaj tse, kev nce nqi loj tshaj plaws, tuaj yeem yooj yim rau lub xyoo no, uas yuav pab coj tus nqi nce mus txog 2% ntev los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve, thiab cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tus nqi tseem tuaj yeem pom cov nqi poob. hauv lub Tsib Hlis lossis Lub Rau Hli.
MarketWatch tau tshaj tawm ua ntej lub hli no hais tias cov kws lag luam nyiaj txiag ntawm Goldman Sachs pom qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev nce nqi poob qis dua li qhov xav tau raws li kev thov cov nqi xauj tsev rau cov tsev nyob poob, raws li kev qiv nyiaj txhua hli txij li xyoo 2021. Txawm li cas los xij, lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab "tswj hwm" kev ntsuas txhua xyoo ntawm kev xauj tsev - cov nqi vaj tse - tseem nce siab. Tus nqi vaj tse, uas yog ib feem loj tshaj plaws ntawm CPI, dhia 0.8% nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, thaum nws nce txhua xyoo nce mus rau qhov tshiab 40-xyoo siab ntawm 7.5% los ntawm 7.1%, Bureau of Labor Statistics tau tshaj tawm.
Sternlict ceeb toom xyoo tas los ntawd kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav "crumble" yog tias US central bank tsis tso tseg kev nce paj paj. Nws kuj tau hais tias Fed yuav tsum tau ncua sijhawm los soj ntsuam seb nws cov paj laum li cas cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam vim tias lub txhab nyiaj tau ua tiav "txaus" los tiv thaiv kev nce nqi. Fed tau xa xya tus nqi sib law liag rau xyoo 2022 txhawm rau txhawb nqa lub hom phiaj ntawm tsoomfwv cov peev nyiaj mus rau 4.25% mus rau 4.5%, qhov siab tshaj plaws lub hom phiaj pub nyiaj txij li xyoo 2007.
Nyuam qhuav pib lub lim tiam no, Cathie Wood, CEO ntawm Ark Investment Management, tau hais hauv nws lub tuam txhab 2023 kev lag luam outlook tias kev nce nqi thaum kawg yuav nqis mus rau qib 2% thiab kwv yees tias nws tuaj yeem mus tsis zoo vim qhov kev cog lus tsis tu ncua hauv cov nyiaj tau los.
US stock indexes tiav siab dua Hnub Thursday tom qab tom qab daim ntawv tshaj tawm GDP qhia plaub-quartyog US economic kev loj hlob tau muaj zog me ntsis dua li cov kws tshawb fawb txog nyiaj txiag tau npaj tseg, txhawb nqa Wall Street qhov kev cia siab txog qhov kev cia siab rau kev lag luam. Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab
DJIA,
xaus li 0.6%, thaum S&P 500
SPX,
sawv 1.1% thiab Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
tau txais 1.8%.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-will-go-negative-by-mid-year-but-risk-remains-as-the-fed-may-keep-raising-rates-billionaire- investor-barry-sternlicht-says-11674755395?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo